Bewitch Stakes (Keeneland) Predictions, Picks & Betting Odds
If you're playing only to win, go with my top pick War Like Goddess (7/2)
Bewitch Stakes – Post Position and Odds
Check out our predictions and odds for the Bewitch Stakes at Keeneland!
|H R Diaz Jr||A Delacour|
|2||DELTA’S KINGDOM||6/1 |
|L Saez||W Mott|
|3||THREE FLAMINGOS||8/1 |
|B J Hernandez Jr||C DeVaux|
|F Geroux||B Cox|
|5||PASS THE PLATE||15/1 |
|R Bejarano||P McGee|
|6||KALIFORNIA QUEEN||4/1 |
|T Gaffalione||C Brown|
|M Mena||A Stall Jr|
|8||WAR LIKE GODDESS||7/2 |
|J Leparoux||W Mott|
|9||GUN SOCIETY||30/1 |
|A Beschizza||R Attfield|
|10||MARGARET’S JOY||20/1 |
|J Talamo||M Nihei|
|11||ENGLISH AFFAIR||30/1 |
|C Lanerie||G R Arnold II|
|12||COURT RETURN||20/1 |
|J Velazquez||J Carroll|
Best Bets for the Bewitch Stakes
Here are my plays ($48 in total)
$1 Trifecta part wheel – War Like Goddess, Dominga and Delta’s Kingdom over War Like Goddess, Dominga, Delta’s Kingdom, Kalifornia Queen and Three Flamingos over War Like Goddess, Dominga, Delta’s Kingdom, Three Flamingos, Kalifornia Queen and Pass the Plate = $48
War Like Goddess (7/2)
The lightly raced War Like Goddess will look to improve upon her good record when she headlines a field of 12 older females going 1 ½-miles on the turf in the Grade 3 Bewitch Stakes on closing day at Keeneland.
Trained by Hall of Famer Bill Mott, the 4-year-old daughter of the English Channel has won three of four-lifetime starts, all on the turf. In her latest, she rallied from well back early to nail favored Always Shopping by a nose in the Grade 3 Orchid on March 27 at Gulfstream Park. Julien Leparoux will again be in the saddle on Friday.
Trainer Chad Brown is constantly a big threat in graded turf races in the United States. In the Bewitch, he sends out Kalifornia Queen, who will be making only her second start in America. A Group 2 stakes winner in Germany, she finished just behind War Like Goddess in the Grade 3 The Very One at Gulfstream Park.
Dominga, from the powerhouse barn of Brad Cox, is another who should get plenty of wagering support. The stakes-winning 4-year-old daughter of Ghostzapper has beaten just a neck when second in last month’s Tom Benson Memorial Stakes at Fair Grounds, in her 2021 debut.
How to Watch the Bewitch Stakes
|Bewitch Stakes Information|
|What||Bewitch Stakes (Grade 3)|
|When||Friday, April 23 — 5:30 pm Eastern time|
|How to Watch||TVG|
War Like Goddess
This one has done little wrong for trainer Bill Mott in her four-lifetime starts. She has only lost once, and that came when making a good late run in her stakes debut. It seems she really has a future in long races like this and Keeneland’s turf course, which has been playing kindly to closers, should suit her well. She is the likely favorite but looks worthy of those odds. I am expecting bigger and better things for her. She is the top pick.
You always need to respect Chad Brown imports and this one looks no different. A good horse in Europe, she should become a stakes winner in the United States. Her first race here was decent, but not good enough to win this. Look for improvement in her second start out, which should make her a danger. I like a few others better, as she seems a little one-paced, but I do fear her as a real threat to stay the distance and be involved late.
One of many in with a shot, this daughter of Ghostzapper, out of a Dynaformer mare, should like the distance as she stretches out to 12 furlongs for the first time on Friday. A consistent stakes performer at 3, she should only get better with age for trainer Brad Cox and looked good in just missing in a stakes race in New Orleans in her first start of the year. Look for her to be more involved early at this distance, and I am expecting rider Florent Geroux to have her in a position to win at the top of the stretch. Not my top pick, but she is a legitimate threat.
The second from the barn of Bill Mott, this 5-year-old daughter of Animal Kingdom is still looking for her first stakes victory, but she’s been knocking on the door of late. She has finished within striking distance in three straight graded stakes, all coming at 1 ⅜-miles or longer. She has more tactical speed than many in this field and will also be ridden for the first time by Luis Saez, who is Keeneland’s leading rider. She’s not only a threat to hit the board, but to win the whole thing.
A stakes winner in every other start in her last six, she disappointed last time when fading to ninth in the Tom Benson Memorial as the favorite. Now she stretches out to a marathon distance for the first time, where she should be able to dictate the early pace on the lead. It will be a matter of how far she can stretch her speed on a course that has not exactly been kind to front runners. The German-bred mare often gets bet hard but may offer a little better value this time. She is one of many in here with a chance to win.
One of several in here sired by the English Channel, she has been steadily improving for trainer Cherie DeVaux. Although it took her a long time to break her maiden, she seems to be heading in the right direction and looks to be fond of the long-distance races. She was a good second behind War Like Goddess to close out her season last year and had a sharp win in her 4-year-old debut last month. I would expect another good performance in her stakes debut. She is a threat.
Pass the Plate
This daughter of Temple City has been a pretty consistent performer in stakes company over the last year-plus. She has very little speed but usually fires with a solid rally. Now she stretches out three furlongs beyond what she has ever tried before in a deep field. I think the 12-furlong distance could be good for her, but it’s more likely she is a horse to use at the bottom of your trifecta and superfecta tickets.
A two-time winner at Woodbine in 2020, she ran the race of her life last fall to finish second in the Grade 1 E P Taylor Stakes, also at Woodbine. A performance like that one, which came at odds of 41-1, would give her a real chance to win this, but the problem is that neither her races before, or since, look good enough to make serious noise in here. I am going to wait until she returns to Canada to be excited for her chances.
Still lightly raced, this 5-year-old daughter of the English Channel has won only a maiden race in eight starts for trainer Michelle Nihei. Usually finishing well, her performances since that victory four starts back are good enough to feel like she has stakes potential, but the Bewitch would look to be a difficult assignment for her as of now. I will pass.
This daughter of Curlin will make her fourth consecutive try in stakes company on Friday, after failing to hit the board in the first three. On the bright side, she paired up a couple of nice allowance races last fall in Kentucky, including a good second going the distance at Keeneland. While this is a tough spot and she deserves to be a longshot, I could see her breaking through at some point with a surprise — probably not in this one, though.
Owned and trained by legendary trainer Roger Attfield, this one was a stakes winner at Woodbine as a juvenile. Unfortunately, she has not found the winner’s circle since. Last year, she raced primarily in stakes races up north and was 0-for-8 for the season. This looks like a tough spot for her seasonal debut. I will pass.
This 7-year-old daughter of the English Channel has won turf stakes at both Churchill Downs and Ellis Park in the past, but her recent form does not instill confidence against this deep field. Rusty Arnold-trained horses always deserve a second look on the Keeneland turf, but I still cannot back this one.
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Taken to the races at a very young age, Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing his entire life. Professionally, his work has been published on several leading industry sites. Brian served as the Editor of Horse Racing Nation from 2010-2017, where he still writes a regular column and hosts the popular weekly webcast HorseCenter.
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