Image for Brian Zipse Brian Zipse - October 14, 2022

Los Alamitos Futurity Predictions, Betting Odds, Top Picks (Los Alamitos)

Post Position and Odds – Los Alamitos Futurity

Check out our predictions and odds for the Los Alamitos Futurity at Los Alamitos!

PP Horse Odds Jockey Trainer
1 OLYMPIC LEGEND 15/1
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J Valdivia Jr L Mendez
2 DURANTE 6/1
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U Rispoli D O’Neill
3 MESSIER 3/5
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F Prat B Baffert
4 BAROSSA 7/2
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J J Hernandez B Baffert
5 SLOW DOWN ANDY 4/1
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M Gutierrez D O’Neill

Best Bets for the Los Alamitos Futurity

Here are my plays ($40 in total)

$20 Exacta box – Slow Down Andy and Messier = $40

If you’re playing only to win, go with my upset pick Slow Down Andy (4/1).

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Los Alamitos Futurity

As the only one in the field of five to have won a stakes race, Messier will be heavily favored on Saturday when the 2-year-old son of Empire Maker walks into the starting gate for the Grade 2 Los Alamitos Futurity.

The preferred half of a strong duo from the barn of Bob Baffert, Messier was 6 ½-length winner when breaking his maiden at Santa Anita in October, before coming back three weeks later for an impressive victory in the Grade 3 Bob Hope Stakes at Del Mar. With two wins and a second from three starts, the bay colt looks to announce himself as one of the top Kentucky Derby candidates with a victory in the 1 1/16-mile feature.

His stablemate Barossa should have his backers in the $300,000 race. A son of Into Mischief, he broke his maiden nicely two starts back, before finishing well back in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile in his stakes debut.

Challenging Baffert domination once again in the Los Alamitos Futurity will be trainer Doug O’Neill, who also has two runners entered. Durante was a recent maiden winner at Del Mar in his third career start, but Slow Down Andy might be the stronger half of the pair. A son of the champion Nyquist, he broke his maiden easily in his debut and then finished a good second in the Golden State Juvenile at Del Mar last time.

Race Analysis

Messier

The sky’s the limit for this well bred son of Empire Maker. Trained by Bob Baffert and bred in Canada, he has improved with each start. After running a decent second in his 5 furlong debut at Los Alamitos in the summer, he returned four months later with a powerhouse maiden win at Santa Anita. Building off that, he drew away late in the 7 furlong Bob Hope Stakes at Del Mar four weeks ago. That Grade 3 victory points him out as clearly the one to beat in here, but also as a name to watch on the 2022 Kentucky Derby trail. This will be his first try at a distance, but his breeding suggests that he will only get better as the distances increase. Keep in mind that his sire was an impressive winner of the 12 furlongs Belmont Stakes. Because of all this, he looks to be a prohibitive favorite on Saturday. He’s a very likely winner, but there is one other horse in here who I think could give a run for the money.

Barossa

The other Baffert runner was a participant in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, but never threatened his stablemate Corniche, ultimately finishing ninth. This will be easier than that, but I don’t know if we saw enough in there to like his chances against another talented stablemate. A son of Into Mischief, he was a $775,000 yearling purchase, but has yet to live up to his price tag so far. Prior to the Breeders’ Cup, he did improve each race, and was able to score a solid maiden win in his third career start, but he will need to improve on all of his four lifetime starts if he is to seriously threaten on Saturday.

Slow Down Andy

Bred in California, this son of Nyquist has gotten off to a promising start to his career. He looked good winning his debut for trainer Doug O’Neill on October 9. He stalked a solid pace that day and drew off for an easy win, going 5 ½ furlongs. Off only that experience, he was made the favorite in a big field for the Golden State Juvenile at Del Mar over Breeders’ Cup weekend. There he stalked fast fractions and made it the lead on the outside, before eventually succumbing late to the rally of Finneus. It was a statebred race, but all in all, I thought his performance in the 7 furlong stakes race was very solid. If he can take another step forward, I believe he fits in with graded stakes company, and a son of Nyquist, the 8 ½ furlongs should be in his wheelhouse. He looks like the biggest threat to the heavy favorite.

Durante

The second of two from the Doug O’Neill barn, he’s improved his results with each start. A son of Distorted Humor, he was beaten off by the very good Rockefeller in his debut, but then finished a game second behind Barossa in his second start when stretched out to a mile. Last month he went wire to wire in a Del Mar maiden, once again at a mile. He drifted in late, but was able to hold on by a half-length. With good early speed, look for him to be involved early, but I doubt they will let him get away with anything easy. He’s not a throw-out, but I like others better.

Olympic Legend

This Street Boss colt actually defeated the favorite at Los Alamitos, but that came back in June in Messier’s career debut, and he has since gone on to bigger and better things. Olympic Legend, on the other hand, has failed in two subsequent stakes tries, well beaten in both. This will be his first attempt at a route of ground, but given the way he has finished the race in each of those stakes tries, it’s hard to picture him running a big race here. He is a deserving long shot that I can’t recommend.

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How to Watch the Los Alamitos Futurity

Los Alamitos Futurity Race Information
What Los Alamitos Futurity (Grade 2)
Location Los Alamitos
Time Saturday, December 11 — 6:58 pm Eastern time
How to Watch TVG
Purse $300,000
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AUTHOR

Brian Zipse

218 Articles

Taken to the races at a very young age, Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing his entire life. Professionally, his work has been published on several leading industry sites. Brian served as the Editor of Horse Racing Nation from 2010-2017, where he still writes a regular column and hosts the popular weekly webcast HorseCenter.

Email: [email protected]

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