Los Alamitos Futurity (Los Alamitos) Predictions, Odds & Picks
If you're playing only to win, go with my top pick Red Flag (1/1)
Post Position and Odds – Los Alamitos Futurity
Check out our predictions and odds for the 2020 Los Alamitos Futurity at Los Alamitos!
|V Espinoza||J Shirreffs|
|M Smith||R Mandella|
|3||THE GREAT ONE||15/1|
|A Cedillo||D O’Neill|
|T Baze||R Hanson|
|D Van Dyke||P Gallagher|
|F Prat||B Baffert|
Best Bets for the Los Alamitos Futurity
Here are my plays ($30 in total)
$10 Exacta part wheel – Red Flag over Petruchio, Spielberg and Positivity = $30
Red Flag (1/1)
Red Flag, a romping winner of the Grade 3 Bob Hope Stakes last time out at Del Mar, heads a compact field of six entered for Saturday’s Grade 2 Los Alamitos Futurity.
Trained by John Shirreffs, the son of Tamarkuz will be looking for a third consecutive victory as he tries two turns for the first time in the 1 1/16 race, which carries Kentucky Derby qualifying points on the line.
Chief among his rivals will be the gelded son of Into Mischief, Petruchio. The Richard Mandella trained runner has improved each time in four starts and was a solid winner last time defeating maidens at one mile over the Del Mar turf course.
The Los Alamitos Futurity is a race that has been dominated over the years by trainer Bob Baffert, having won 12 in total, including the last six runnings. This year he will send out Spielberg. The son of Union Rags was heavily favored last time in the Bob Hope but faded to a well-beaten fourth behind Red Flag.
Previously contested at the old Hollywood Park, Saturday’s feature has launched the career of numerous champions in past years. As part of the Road to the Kentucky Derby series again this year, the Los Alamitos Futurity winner will receive 10 points towards securing a spot in the starting gate next May 1 at Churchill Downs.
How to Watch the Los Alamitos Futurity
|Los Alamitos Futurity Information|
|What||Los Alamitos Futurity (Grade 2)|
|When||Saturday, December 19 — 4:28 PM EST|
|How to Watch||TVG|
He was the top pick here last time in the Bob Hope at odds of 10-1 and was a stunningly easy winner of that 7-furlong test. Already having shown the ability to come from behind, which he did in his maiden win, I wouldn’t mind him laying off the pace a little more than he did in his graded stakes win, but having said that, he just looks like a big talent that may be able to win from anywhere early. The stretch out to 8 ½ furlongs, as well as possibly the rail draw, are questions he has to answer, but in a field that looks no tougher than what he faced last month, I like his chances to win again. Unfortunately, the odds will be far different this time around, but he is the clear top pick.
Despite only having faced maiden company to date, this one looks to be headed in the right direction for his Hall of Fame trainer. Interestingly, his sire Into Mischief won this race 13 years ago for Mandella. Petruchio returns to dirt after two good efforts at a mile on the turf, and his first two races on dirt, while sprinting were solid enough to believe that he will be just fine over the main track. He also has the pedigree to appreciate the dirt. Improving with each start, and looking like a horse who can handle the distance, he looks to be the top threat to the favorite.
While Baffert has dominated this race over the years, this looks to be his weakest chance in years. Well-liked at the betting windows, this one has just not lived up to the hype as of yet, with only one win in five career tries. His maiden win, going a mile at Del Mar two starts back was a step in the right direction, but then he failed down the stretch of the Bob Hope against Red Flag. Stretching back out, and going 8 ½ furlongs for the first time on Saturday might help, but in a race with plenty of early speed, he’ll need to show more early restraint than he did in his last.
Second against fellow California breds last time in the Golden State Juvenile, this son of Paynter will be facing open company for the first time on Saturday. Still, there are some things to like about the Paddy Gallagher-trainee. After winning a maiden and Graduation Stakes to begin his career, he had a three-month layoff before returning for new connections. In the Golden State Juvenile, he was gamely gaining on the winner late. If he can relax early in here, he might be ready to step up in class with a strong effort at good odds.
After Red Flag, this one is the only other graded stakes winner in the field. That victory came three races back while going 6 furlongs. Since then he has weakened both times while showing plenty of early speed in 7 furlong races. It seems likely he will try to take over the race early again as he stretches out another furlong and a half, but with other speed, in here it seems like the odds are stacked against him as far as faring any better than his last two when finishing third and fifth respectively.
The Great One
Has not yet lived up to his name while finishing out of the money in all of his first three starts. After a debut on the grass, the son of Nyquist showed speed in two straight maiden races, before weakening in the stretch. Beaten 13-lengths two races ago by Spielberg, it seems unlikely that he can improve enough to make much noise on Saturday, other than early in the race.
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Taken to the races at a very young age, Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing his entire life. Professionally, his work has been published on several leading industry sites. Brian served as the Editor of Horse Racing Nation from 2010-2017, where he still writes a regular column and hosts the popular weekly webcast HorseCenter.
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