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Atlas vs Tigres UANL Prediction, Betting Odds, Picks

Written by: Varun Shetty
Updated October 14, 2022
12 min read
  • Atlas take on Tigres UANL in the first semi-final leg on Wednesday
  • Tigres UANL came through to the semi-final despite being held 1-1 by Cruz Azul in the quarter-finals thanks to their superior seeding after the reclassification round
  • Atlas will miss Jeremy Márquez, and Tigres will be without Nico Lopez and Javier Aquino – all of them were sent off during the quarter-final round

Atlas vs Tigres UANL Odds

Odds taken from Caesars.

Team Odds
Atlas +160
Tigres UANL +190

Atlas vs Tigres UANL Pick

Atlas to win or draw, both teams to score

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Atlas Vs Tigres Uanl 2022 05 18

Atlas vs Tigres UANL Prediction

The last five meetings between Atlas and Tigres have been fought tightly. Both teams have one win each, and the others have ended in 1-1 draws.

When Atlas last won against Tigres, it was one of the most one-sided games, but the scoreline went in favor of the opposite side. Tigres dominated the game from the start, but Atlas keeper Camilo Vargas was determined to keep his side in the match. Julio Furch scored the lone goal of the game in the 80th minute, less than 100 seconds after coming on for Milton Caraglio.

Tigres had 58 percent possession in the game, 15 shots on goal, and 7 on target. But Camilo Vargas was on top of his game and kept them out by making seven incredible saves and ending the game with a much-deserved clean sheet.

The last time Tigres won in this fixture was back in 2021. They too failed to keep control of the game but scored twice with their only two shots on target and sealed a win against the run of play. Carlos González scored in the 17th minute, and Tigres decided to sit back and defend. Atlas had 18 shots at goal, but the opponents were far too deep inside their own box, and it was hard to get any of them on target. They managed just two shots at goal, and both were saved comfortably by Nahuel Guzmán. Julián Quiñones came on as a second half substitute and scored in the 91st minute to seal the win.

When the two sides met earlier in May, the game ended in a 1-1 draw. We think that could likely be the case given how these two sides have gone over the last few games.

However, Atlas do have a slight advantage in the form of Tigres’ shaky defensive performances which resulted in them picking up red cards in both of their quarter-final legs against Cruz Azul over the last week. They’ve made it this far, but not without some trouble along the way.

Atlas Edged Past Guadalajara and Have a Big Test Ahead

Atlas found it hard to beat Guadalajara comprehensively in the quarter-finals over the last week. They won the away leg 2-1 but were held to a 1-1 draw in the second leg of the final 8.

Jeremy Márquez’s double in the first leg saw them win at Guadalajara’s home, despite Cristian Calderón getting one back for the home side. Anibal Chalá was injured in the game, but he managed to recover and score in the second leg. His goal was enough to seal their place in the semi-final as Guadalajara only managed to pull one back in the 89th minute via José Macías.

One Step Away but Form Still a Concern

The worry for Diego Martin Cocca ahead of the semi-final would be the form of his side. They have not been at their best and just about managed to beat Guadalajara.

Even in the league, they started the season well and were favorites to finish in the top 4. But their form dropped drastically, and they had to fight hard at the end to finish 3rd in the table. They were in the driver’s seat to finish in the top 2 with just five games left in the season but somehow managed to get themselves into the tangle and crawled to 3rd place.

Atlas will be looking to avoid making the same mistakes against Tigres this week. When the two sides faced each other on the final day of the league season, Atlas sat back after taking the lead via Jairo Torres.

It was their only shot on target in the whole game, and they let Tigres have complete control. They were made to pay in the dying minutes of the match as Nico Lopez scored from the spot to level things for the away side and help them leave with a point.

Late Season Fatigue Is a Reality for Atlas

The draw was yet another poor game at the tail end of the season for Atlas. They dropped seven points from their last four games, and that saw them finish just a point above Club America, Puebla, Guadalajara, and Monterrey.

Their top 4 status was confirmed before the final day, but Diego Martin Cocca would be keen on putting some daylight between themselves and the teams below them next time around in the league.

Injuries and Suspensions

Atlas will be without Jeremy Márquez after he got sent off for violent conduct in the second leg against Guadalajara. Anibal Chalá got injured in the second leg and is again a doubt for Atlas.

Tigres UANL’s Form Has Not Been the Best, and They Need to Sort Things Out

Tigres could not get a win over Cruz Azul on aggregate but managed to get into the semi-final because of their higher seeding after the reclassification round. Tigres were held to a 1-1 draw by Azul over the two legs, with the two teams failing to get a win in their own stadiums.

Tigres were on the backfoot immediately in the quarter-finals as their manager, Miguel Herrera, was sent off 5 minutes into the game. Jesús Dueñas made sure they took the lead into halftime, but things got worse after the restart. Nico López was sent off at the hour mark, and Cruz Azul were on an all-out offense from there on. However, they failed to pull a goal back, and it ended 1-0 in favor of the away side.

Just About Making the Semis

Tigres were confident of getting the result they needed and knew that a draw would be enough to get them through ahead of the second leg. Christian Tabó gave Azul the lead in the 19th minute, which triggered the home side to attack more.

However, they failed to score from their 21 shots at goal and ended up losing 1-0.  Luckily for them, there was no extra time and penalty shootouts concept in that round and it all worked out, as this time they were down to 10 men for the entirety of the second half.

Tigres will need to buckle up as their form lately has been poor. In the league, they lost three of their last six matches and missed out on finishing at the top of the table. Their loss to Pachuca was expected, but the defeats to Club Necaxa and Club America were not. If they had won those two matches, they would have finished on top of the table.

Even on the final day of the season, Tigres were up against Atlas and ended up drawing the match. Jairo Torres gave Atlas the lead early in the second half, and Tigres needed a 92nd minute penalty from Nico Lopez to get a point from the game.

Injuries and Suspensions

Nico López was sent off in the first leg of the quarterfinals against Cruz Azul and will be missing the semi-final as well. His three-match ban would see him miss both legs against Atlas, and thus, if he is to play again this season, his teammates need to ensure they reach the final.

Javier Aquino will be out for the rest of the season now after he was sent off in the second leg against Cruz Azul. His straight red card will see him suspended for both semi-final games and the final if Tigres go through.

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How to Watch Atlas vs Tigres UANL

Atlas vs Tigres UANL Information
Teams Atlas vs Tigres UANL
Location Estadio Jalisco
Time Wednesday, May 18 at 10pm EST
How to Watch Univision networks TUDN and UniMas, ESPN Deportes, Telemundo and Fox Deportes
Image for Varun Shetty


Varun Shetty

204 Articles

Varun is a web journalist who has been writing on sports for 13 years. He took a shine for the MLS during the 2021 season and has been following it and writing about it since, alongside his work involving the English Premier League, La Liga, and the Serie A. He is deeply interested in soccer analytics and strategy and has aspirations to move into coaching at some point. Email: [email protected]

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