When you sign-up through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more >
Odds taken from Bet365.
Pick: Draw (+205)
Impressive range of bonuses
1 of the world's top sportsbooks
Promo Code WSN365
$1,000 Safety Net Bet OR $150 in Bonus Bets
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER 21+ must be physically located in VA. T&Cs Apply.
We’re now in the final stages of the Liga MX Clausura season. This is the stage where a team’s season gets defined, and we’ve got two top teams contesting in one of the two semifinals, which makes things all the more exciting. Club America and Guadalajara were tied on points in the league season, but Club America had the better goal difference, so they finished second on the table.
Both teams have been tested in their quarterfinals, but this will be the hardest test yet. Guadalajara are playing at home, so they’ll have a definite advantage, but Club America rarely go into a tie as an underdog. This leg is more important for Guadalajara than Club America; they need to win this leg because getting something from Club America at the Azteca is an improbable task. Club America, however, have lost just two matches all season. A draw feels like the most likely scenario in the first leg.
Club America and Guadalajara are the two most successful Liga MX sides. The former has won 13 titles, and the latter has won 12. Club America don’t just edge Guadalajara in the number of league titles but also in the head-to-head record.
They’ve won 12, drawn 10, and lost seven of their 29 matches to Guadalajara. They also haven’t lost to Guadalajara in their last five meetings and won the last three matches. It goes without saying that Club America have got a psychological edge over Guadalajara heading into this tie.
The last meeting between the two sides took place in March, when Club America won 4-2. Club America made an excellent start to this match. Jonathan Rodriguez was on fire in the first-half with two goals (16’ and 38’) to put Club America 2-0 up, and Leonardo Suarez made it 3-0 just before half-time.
It didn’t get any better immediately after the break for Guadalajara as Henry Martin made it 4-0 in the 53rd minute. The match was essentially over, but Guadalajara found a spring in their step after Emilio Lara put the ball into his own net in the 62nd minute to make it 4-1. Sergio Flores got on the scoresheet to make it 4-2. In the end, it wasn’t enough, and the match ended with Guadalajara’s Victor Guzman getting sent off.
Despite drawing Atlas 1-1 on aggregate, Guadalajara entered the semifinals of the 2023 Liga MX Clausura season because of a higher league finish. Atlas had won the first leg 1-0 thanks to Julian Quinones’ 42nd-minute strike. Atlas were well worth the win in the first leg after taking 20 shots compared to Guadalajara’s 15.
The second leg at Akron stadium was a lot closer, but Gilberto Sepulveda’s 60th-minute strike made the difference. Guadalajara had 51% of the possession and took just one shot more than Atlas all game. It’s not often that teams enter the next round of the playoffs because of a higher league finish but this was one instance where it worked in Guadalajara’s favor.
Many fans and media experts have complained that this rule feels a bit too arbitrary, but advocates of this rule suggest that the league's performance must count for something. Guadalajara were rewarded for the same in this match.
Guadalajara were probably second-best over the two legs, but it doesn’t matter now. They’re through, and all the focus has to be on the match against Club America.
Guadalajara have shown a lot of grit this season. They haven’t been as free-flowing as the likes of Club America, Monterrey, and Toluca, and they’re not as defensively solid as the likes of Leon or Tigres but they have managed to find a way.
Guadalajara had an underwhelming campaign last season by their standards. The fans would’ve taken a semifinal appearance in a heartbeat before the season started, but now that they’ve made it this far, they will demand a victory.
There are bragging rights in store as well because they’re playing rivals Club America in the semifinal. They have an excellent opportunity to take control of this tie as they’re playing the first match at home.
They need to start this game on the front foot, nick a goal, and sit on the lead. They aren’t capable of outplaying a team like Club America, so a more reserved approach will make sense for this tie. The crowd will play a big part and they need to use them whenever possible.
Manager Veljko Paunović has done a fantastic job this season, but now that he’s got this far, everyone at the club will be dreaming of silverware. Anything less is usually not enough at a club like this.
Club America had a big scare against San Luis but Brian Rodriguez’s 88th-minute strike saved their blushes in a 2-1 loss to San Luis. Club America went through to the semifinals 4-3 on aggregate.
This was previewed as a routine win for Club America, but Liga MX playoffs love to throw in a few curveballs. Unai Bilbao scored in the 18th minute to give San Luis a good start before Leo Bonatini made it 2-0 in the 31st minute. At this stage, the aggregate score was 3-3; Club America’s league standing meant that they’d still go through, but they were suddenly under a lot of pressure.
In the end, they managed to hold on their nerves, and Rodriguez’s strike got them through, but it was a nervy performance and poor preparation for a big semifinal. They were extremely reckless and will have to do a lot better against Guadalajara if they want to enter the finals. In some ways, this was a good wake-up call.
They are the favorites to go through over the two semifinal legs, but not by much. If they repeat some of the mistakes from the game against San Luis against Guadalajara, they’ll certainly get punished. Club America have been punished plenty of times since their last title win in 2018, so it was even more surprising that they let things get down to the wire in the last match.
Free play options
Special contests for newbies
Bet $5 on a Money Line, Get $150 in Bonus Bets
21+ | Terms and conditions apply
Wide range of betting options
Top notch customer service
Promo Code 'SPORTS'
$500 Free Bet
21+ | VA only | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-532-3500
With an interest in strategy and mathematics, applying that to sports writing was the natural progression. A writer at night and the founder of a gaming company, Nikhil’s previous experience includes working with ESPN for five years. His specialization includes soccer, basketball, tennis, and esports betting. Email: [email protected]More info on Nikhil Kalro
© Rebel Penguin ApS 2023 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)
We support responsible gambling. 21+ Only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.
WSN.com is run by iGaming Cloud Inc (a Gaming Innovation Group Subsidiary) and is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.
Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.