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Image for Varun Shetty Varun Shetty - Updated October 14, 2022

Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM Prediction, Betting Odds, Picks

  • Guadalajara take on Pumas in the final playoff game this season, with the winners taking on the winners of Cruz Azul vs Club Necaxa
  • Pumas managed to finish 11th in the league despite a late slip-up in the league stages of the Clausura season
  • Guadalajara haven’t lost to Pumas UNAM in five consecutive matches ahead of this fixture

Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM Odds

The odds for Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM are provided by Caesars Sportsbook. Click on the links in the table below to head to the sportsbook, sign-up, and place your bet.

Match Result Odds
Guadalajara +107
Pumas UNAM +205

Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM Pick

Guadalajara to win, both teams to score

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Guadalajara Vs Pumas Unam 2022 05 08

Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM Prediction

Guadalajara ended the league stage in better form than Pumas and should be the favorites to win this weekend. The winner of this game will face the winner of Cruz Azul vs Club Necaxa in the quarterfinals.

Guadalajara defeated Pumas when the two sides met last month in the league. The home side did not have the most shots at goals of the two teams but managed to come out 3-1 winners.

Alexis Vega and Roberto Alvarado scored in the first half to hand them a 2-0 lead at the break. Rogério pulled one back for the away side just before the hour mark to spark a comeback, but that was swiftly ended by Jesús Ricardo Angulo minutes later. He scored Guadalajara’s 3rd goal of the game and helped them restore the two-goal lead.

Recent meetings between these two sides have been competitive, and three of the last five meetings have ended in a draw. Guadalajara have won the other two games and will be looking to keep their unbeaten run against Pumas UNAM going.

The last time Pumas won against Guadalajara was back in 2019. Carlos González and Luis Quintana scored the two goals for the home side, with Gael Sandoval scoring the lone goal from the spot in the game that ended 2-1.

Guadalajara Looking To Keep Their Excellent Run Going

Guadalajara scripted one of the best recovery stories this season to make it to the playoffs. They picked up wins in their last four games to move from 3rd bottom in the league table to 6th – finishing with the same points as the 4th placed Club America, another team that had to come back from the depths after a poor start.

Ricardo Cadena’s side were struggling towards the bottom of the table but made a stunning comeback in the season. They had picked up only 14 points from 13 matches when their impressive run started in the league.

Turning Things Around With a Win

Cruz Azul were the first of the four sides Guadalajara beat in their last four matches. Cristian Calderón scored the lone goal of the game to help his side keep their playoff hopes alive. Guadalajara’s Alexis Vega was shown the red card midway through the second half, but they managed to hold on for the win.

Club Tijuana took the lead at Guadalajara after Hiram Mier put the ball into the back of his own net in the 12th minute. The players did not let their heads drop and fought back well to equalize in the 38th minute via Jesús Ricardo Angulo.

VAR then denied the home side a penalty in the 52nd minute, but it did not prove to be vital as Pavel Pérez scored minutes later to hand them the lead. The goal was enough for Guadalajara to pick up the 2-1 and keep their march towards the top half of the table going.

Beating Pumas to set up a meeting with Pumas

Pumas UNAM were then stunned by the home side with a dominating performance. Alexis Vega scored early in the game to hand them the lead before Roberto Alvarado doubled it right at halftime. Rogério managed to pull one back for Pumas, but Jesús Ricardo Angulo was on the scoresheet again to deny the away side any chance of getting a point from the game.

The win saw Guadalajara seal their place in the playoffs and put them within touching distance of the top 4. They needed Club America and Puebla to drop points and win by 4 goals against Club Necaxa to do the impossible and finish 4th in the table.

Things did go their way with Club America and Puebla dropping points, but they could not score more than a lone goal against Club Necaxa. Miguel Ponce scored in the dying minutes of the game to win it for Guadalajara and help them finish 6th in the league table from a near impossible position.

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Pumas UNAM Need To Put The League Form Behind And Refocus

Pumas UNAM will not be happy with the way their league stage ended as they just about managed to stay in the playoff places.

After starting with three wins in their first five games, Andrés Lillini’s side seemed to have shifted focus to the CONCACAF Champions League and lost momentum in the league. That did work out well for the Mexican side as they made it to the final before losing to the Seattle Sounders 5-2 on aggregate earlier this week.

They managed just three more wins in the league after those first five games, and went into the final game of the season in a must-win situation. Their last five matches were nothing short of dramatic as they picked up two wins and two losses.

A long and tough path to qualification

Pumas UNAM managed to hold Cruz Azul to a goalless draw, despite going down to 10 men right after the hour mark. Arturo Ortiz was given the marching orders after his last man foul prevented a goal-scoring opportunity for Azul.

Pumas were down to 10 men once again when they faced Monterrey in the next fixture. Juan Dinenno was shown the red card right before halftime after VAR intervened to help the referee. However, Washington Corozo came off the bench to become a hero for Pumas as he scored twice in injury time to help them seal a 2-0 win out of nowhere.

Needing at least three points from their last three games, Pumas were once again in the driver’s seat to make it to the playoffs. They had relatively manageable opponents to face and should have been able to seal it with ease. However, they suffered back-to-back losses to Atletico de San Luis and Guadalajara, leaving them in a must-win situation going into the final day.

League leaders offer respite

They were up against table-toppers Pachuca on the final day, and luckily the away side had nothing to play for after sealing top spot – their manager made a few changes to the starting XI.

Pumas dominated from the start against a weakened Pachuca but struggled in front of goal. They were unable to create chances and had to sit back deep as Pachuca looked to attack at every opportunity.

Juan Dinenno finally managed to break the deadlock after the hour mark and calm the Pumas’ nerves. They were back in the playoff spots and just needed to hold on for another 30 minutes to seal the win. Dinenno was quick to add another in the 70th minute to get them the much-needed win and help Pumas finish 11th in the table.

The knockout stages are not going to let Andrés Lillini’s men get second chances, and they will have to treat every game as the last one, because it could well be. They will be desperate to correct the wrongs that led to their defeat against Guadalajara in the league stages.

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How to Watch Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM

Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM Information
Teams Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM
Location Estadio Omnilife
Time Sunday, May 8 at 8.15pm EST
How to watch Univision networks TUDN and UniMas, ESPN Deportes, Telemundo and Fox Deportes

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Image for Varun Shetty


Varun Shetty

204 Articles

Varun is a web journalist who has been writing on sports for 13 years. He took a shine for the MLS during the 2021 season and has been following it and writing about it since, alongside his work involving the English Premier League, La Liga, and the Serie A. He is deeply interested in soccer analytics and strategy and has aspirations to move into coaching at some point. Email: [email protected]

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