The Baltimore Orioles have been one of the biggest disappointments of the 2025 season. Their struggles have been partly due to a sluggish start from Gunnar Henderson, but the young superstar appears to be heating up in June. We’ll share why we like him to go deep tonight, along with two other home run props we’re locking in.
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The Orioles star has not gotten off to a great start in 2025, but he has been getting hot at the plate. He owns a .474 average and 1.249 OPS over the last week, finally looking like the MVP-candidate we expected him to be.
Henderson will be facing young Jack Kochanowicz (3-7, 5.61 ERA, 1.63 WHIP) on the mound to start tonight’s game. He has been struggling badly over his last four starts, posting an 8.15 ERA and 2.09 WHIP.
Most of Kochanowicz’s struggles have come against left-handed hitters like the Orioles star. They have posted a .316 average and .929 OPS against the 24-year-old this season. Those are worrisome numbers, especially when facing the red-hot bat of Gunnar Henderson.
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The 28-year-old first baseman has been a pleasant surprise for the Red Sox in 2025. He is having the best season of his career, posting a .330 batting average with five home runs and 12 RBI since joining the team on May 4. He’s also seen his power stroke finally show up, with two home runs over the last week.
We like Toro’s hot bat against Ryan Yarbrough (3-1, 4.17 ERA, 1.15 WHIP) tonight. The Yankee pitchers have been solid since joining the rotation, but he is coming off his worst start of the season, which came against the Red Sox. He allowed eight runs over four innings and allowed Toro to go two for five with an RBI.
Expect to see Toro get to Yarbrough again tonight, leading to another home run for the emerging slugger.
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The 35-year-old Royals’ captain has been aging with grace in Kansas City. While his numbers were disappointing to start the season, Salvador Perez has gotten hot in June. He owns a .308 average and two home runs over nine games this month, making him a tempting home run bet given his current price.
Perez will see a familiar face on the mound tonight in Luis Severino (1-6, 4.77 ERA, 1.33 WHIP). He owns a .267 with two home runs over 15 at-bats against the A’s ace. Considering Severino has a 0-2 record with a 10.32 ERA over his last two starts, we are willing to take this longshot home run prop bet tonight.
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