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MLB MVP Odds 2024: Judge and Ohtani Still Swinging Hot Bats

Written by: Michael Savio
Fact-checked by: James Whitelock
Updated May 20, 2024
11 min read
  • Mookie Betts has .267 batting average in May

  • Shohei Ohtani leads the league in BA, SLG, and OPS

  • Juan Soto has a .409 OBP and a .563 SLG

The MVP races are heating in both leagues. Aaron Judge has seen his price rise quickly as he continues to rake at the plate, while Shohei Ohtani is dominating in the NL. Prices for these races are still close, meaning now is a great time to wager on a winner.

Below, we’ll share the latest odds and insights into both MVP races. We'll also provide our picks to win, giving you everything you need to bet confidently.



Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Click on the odds below to head to FanDuel and place your bets. If you are new to FanDuel, you can claim $150 in Bonus Bets when you make an initial wager of $5 and win!


Juan Soto+300
Aaron Judge+320
Bobby Witt Jr.+420
Gunnar Henderson+500
Kyle Tucker+650


Mookie Betts+170
Shohei Ohtani+350
William Contreras+750
Bryce Harper+1200
Fernando Tatis Jr.+1900

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MLB AL & NL Predictions and Favorites to Win

NL - Mookie Betts +170 at FanDuel Sportsbook

Honestly, we don’t understand why FanDuel continues to have Mookie Betts (.330 BA, 8 HR, 29 RBI, 9 SB) as the favorite to win the NL MVP. While his numbers are impressive, they have been steadily coming down in May. He owns a .267 batting average for the month, with just two home runs, six RBIs, and one stolen base. Those are far below teammate Shohei Ohtani, who seems destined for a historic season.

The fact is that taking Betts at his current price isn’t practical. While his cold streak won’t last all season, we don’t buy him being able to replicate his numbers from 2023. The Dodgers’ leadoff man posted his best season since 2018 last year, but his numbers are boosted by a historic August hot streak. His 2022 and 2021 seasons saw a much lower batting average and RBI totals, and we think that's the version of Betts we will get this season.

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AL - Juan Soto +300 at FanDuel Sportsbook

What Aaron Judge is doing is incredible, but we still think Juan Soto (.312 BA, 13 HR, 41 RBI) will take home the MVP hardware this fall. Soto has brought a level of consistency to a Yankees team that has desperately needed it, and the team now owns the best record in the AL. Soto ranks in the top five of the league in runs, home runs, and RBIs, and we expect him to post career-high numbers in all three categories this year.

Soto has one big advantage over Judge: having the best slugger in baseball behind him. Judge’s looming presence on deck means pitchers will be motivated to pitch to Soto. That should help him keep his OBP above the .400 mark, which means he’ll put up a monster run total in 2024.

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NL - Shohei Ohtani +350 at FanDuel Sportsbook

If you are going to bet on Shohei Ohtani (.248 BA, 13 HR, 34 RBI, 13 SB), now is the time. After posting a .352 batting average, seven home runs, 17 RBIs, and four stolen bases in April, he got even better in May. This month, Ohtani has a .388 batting average with six home runs, 15 RBIs, and eight stolen bases. The two-time AL MVP has shown no signs of slowing down, and we think he will end up with another historically great season.

Ohtani’s ability to contribute impressive numbers in every offensive category gives him an inside track on the rest of the field. As of today, he leads the league in batting average, slugging, and OPS, fifth in home runs, twelfth in RBIs, and fourth in runs and on-base percentage. That is something that no other player can match, and it will lead Ohtani to his third MVP award.

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AL - Aaron Judge +320 at FanDuel Sportsbook

After a brutal start to the season, Aaron Judge (.276 BA, 15 HR, 35 RBI) has become one of the hottest hitters in the league. He owns a .373 batting average with eight home runs and 16 RBIs in May, and he still has another week to add to those totals. Judge’s average will come down, but it's not hard to imagine him finishing with an average of around .300 plus and 50+ home runs. 

As well as he is playing, don’t forget how bad Judge was to start the season. While we don’t expect him to return to those depths, we think he will level off somewhere in between those two versions. That will lead to some great numbers and Yankees wins, but it won’t be enough to compete with incredibly consistent Juan Soto. 

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AL - Bobby Witt Jr. +420 at FanDuel Sportsbook

While we still think Bobby Witt Jr. (.308 BA, 7 HR, 33 RBI, 16 SB) is at least a year away from winning an MVP, he has been showing why bookmakers are keeping him in the race. He has a .416 batting average over the last week, with two home runs, ten RBIs, and a stolen base. The Kansas City shortstop has also benefited from Maikel Garcia getting hot at the top of the lineup, giving Witt plenty of RBI chances.

One advantage Witt has is his value to his team. Soto and Judge both play for a Yankees team with stars all over the field. That isn’t the case for Kansas City, whose lineup is filled with aging veterans and unproven youngsters. If Witt can lead them to the playoffs, it will go a long way with MVP voters this fall.

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MLB NL MVP Winner - My Pick

Shohei Ohtani +350 at Fanduel

We remain firmly on Ohtani to win the 2024 NL MVP. He ranks among the best in the league in every major offensive category and has been steadily improving as the season progresses. His move to the Dodgers and his increased time in the batting cage will allow him to post his best offensive season yet, leading to his third MVP in four years.

Bet on Shohei Ohtani (+350) at FanDuel Sportsbook CTA icon

MLB AL Winners - My Pick

Juan Soto +300 at FanDuel

We are sticking with Soto to win the AL MVP, but this race is far closer. Soto’s ability to get on base will lead to incredible numbers, especially if Judge stays healthy and swings the bat well. While his Yankee teammate is also a top favorite to win the award, we think Soto’s consistency will help him edge out the elite slugger.

Bet on Juan Soto (+300) at FanDuel Sportsbook CTA icon

MLB AL & NL MVP History 

The modern MVP award dates all the way back to 1931 when the Baseball Writers’ Association of America voted to name Lefty Grove (AL) and Frankie Frisch (NL) as the winners. Before that, some version of an MVP award had existed since Ty Cobb won it in 1911.

Below is a list of some of the recent MVP winners from both leagues.

Previous AL MVP Winners

2023Shohei OhtaniLos Angeles AnglesOF/SP
2022Aaron JudgeNew York YankeesOF
2021Shohei OhtaniLos Angeles AngelsOF/SP
2020Jose AbreuChicago White Sox1B
2019Mike TroutLos Angeles AngelsOF
2018Mookie BettsBoston Red SoxOF
2017Jose AltuveHouston Astros2B
2016Mike TroutLos Angeles AngelsOF
2015Josh DonaldsonToronto Blue Jays3B
2014Mike TroutLos Angeles AngelsOF
2013Miguel CabreraDetroit Tigers3B

Previous NL MVP Winners

2023Ronald Acuna Jr.Atlanta BravesOG
2022Paul GoldschmidtSt. Louis Cardinals1B
2021Bryce HarperPhiladelphia PhilliesOF
2020Freddie FreemanAtlanta Braves1B
2019Cody BellingerLos Angeles DodgersOF
2018Christian YelichMilwaukee BrewersOF
2017Giancarlo StantonMiami MarlinsOF
2016Kris BryantChicago Cubs3B
2015Bryce HarperWashington NationalsOF
2014Clayton KershawLos Angeles DodgersSP
2013Andrew McCutchenPittsburgh PiratesOF

How to Read MLB Al & NL MVP Odds 

MVP futures odds work the same as any other bet. Each bet includes a number next to the team or player, preceded by a plus or minus sign. 

A plus sign in front of the number usually indicates an underdog, which is also common with futures bets. If the odds next to a team or player have a plus sign, that is the amount that you will win for every $100 you bet.

A minus sign usually indicates the favorite to win, though they are rarely seen for future bets. A minus sign in front of the odds means that is how much you need to bet to win $100.

For example, let's say you bet $100 on Pete Alonso +1500 to win the NL MVP. If he wins the award, you will win $1500. 

If you aren't looking to bet $100 at a time, don't worry! Check out our odds calculator to help you determine potential winnings based on different wager amounts.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the MVP

Now that you have some insights into both MVP races, it is time to find a sportsbook to place your bet. You can check out our full sportsbook reviews on our sportsbooks page, but below are some quick comparisons to help you decide.

MVP Odds for the Top Favorite in AL & NLAL +275
NL +350
AL +200
NL +325
AL +300
NL +350
Welcome BonusGet Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets!$1,000 First Bet on CaesarsBet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets
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More MLB Betting Guides

MVP of the Year FAQ

Who Were the 2023 AL and NL MVPs?

Who is your favorite to win an MVP in 2024?

Who is the opening favorite to win the AL MVP?

Who is the opening favorite to win the NL MVP?

Where can I bet on the MLB MVP winners?

When are the MLB MVP awards announced?


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Michael Savio

485 Articles

Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.

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