MLB MVP Odds 2024: Races Heat Up Ahead of All-Star Break

• Shohei Ohtani has stolen seven bases through 13 games in July

• Aaron Judge leads the league in home runs, RBIs, and OPS

• Marcell Ozuna has a .326 batting average to go with five home runs and 10 RBI in July

Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani continue to be heavily favored to take home this year’s hardware, but this race is far from over. Veteran Bryce Harper and budding superstar Gunnar Henderson have built strong resumes heading into the All-Star break, giving us a lot of great bets to choose from.

MLB AL & NL MVP Odds

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Click on the odds below to head to FanDuel and place your bets: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets

AL MVP Odds

NL MVP Odds

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MLB AL & NL Predictions and Favorites to Win

NL - Shohei Ohtani -380 at FanDuel Sportsbook

It is becoming increasingly clear that this is Shohei Ohtani’s (.316 BA, 29 HR, 69 RBI, 23 SB) award to lose. The two-time MVP currently ranks fourth in batting average, sixth in RBIs, fifth in stolen bases, and second in home runs and OPS (1.036). No other player in the NL is even close to matching that kind of production, leading to sportsbooks tanking his price.

Ohtani’s power numbers have cooled off in July, but he has made up for it by swiping seven bases in 13 games. That impressive run means he is on pace to be a 40-40 player, and we like his chances to hit 60 home runs. Those kinds of numbers are more than enough to make up for his lack of defense and will earn him his third MVP award.

Bet on Shohei Ohtani (-380) at FanDuel 

AL - Aaron Judge -360 at FanDuel Sportsbook

Aaron Judge (.306 BA, 34 HR, 85 RBI) has cooled off after two incredible months at the plate, but he remains a heavy favorite to win this year’s AL MVP. The Yankee slugger leads all of baseball in home runs, RBIs, and OPS (1.112) while ranking seventh in batting average. Those numbers put him on pace to match his 2022 MVP campaign, likely leading to his second in 2024.

The most significant risk when betting on Judge is his streakiness. The highs have been high this season, but there have also been some brutal lows. We saw him enter May with a .207 batting average, but two monster months have changed that. Judge is batting.250 this month with just three home runs and three RBIs heading into the All-Star break.

How Judge comes out of the break will determine if his unfavorable odds are worth taking. 

Bet on Aaron Judge (-360) at FanDuel 

NL - Bryce Harper +410 at FanDuel Sportsbook

If you are going to bet against Ohtani to win the 2024 NL MVP, then Bryce Harper (.301 BA, 21 HR, 61 RBI). The two-time MVP is having another incredible season, helping the Phillies to the best record in the league. While his numbers aren’t to the level of Ohtani, his play at first base could give him an edge.

Harper just returned from the IL after missing a little time with a hamstring injury. Since returning, he has continued to swing a hot bat in his five games, but it's hard to count on the first basement to stay healthy. Harper has spent significant time on the IL the last four seasons, meaning his latest stint may not be his last.

We like Harper at his current price, but injury fears would cause us to hesitate if and when his price drops.

Bet on Bryce Harper (+410) at FanDuel 

AL - Gunnar Henderson +310 at FanDuel Sportsbook

Things have cooled off for Guannr Henderson (.286 BA, 28 HR, 63 RBI, 14 SB) heading into the All-Stay break, but he remains a great bet to win the AL MVP. He ranks third in the league in home runs, thirteenth in RBIs, and seventh in OPS (.956). If the shortstop can lead the Orioles to an AL East title over Judge and the Yankees, it could be enough to land him his first MVP.

One of the reasons we like Henderson is that we don’t know his ceiling. The 23-year-old is still developing into a superstar and seems to be getting better as the season progresses. If he can continue to swipe bases and rank among the top of the league in home runs, it would give him MVP-worthy stats. 

If Judge returns from the break to extend his slump into August, it could give Henderson the opening he needs to beat him out for the 2024 AL MVP.

Bet on Gunnar Henderson (+310) at FanDuel 

NL - Marcell Ozuna +2500 at FanDuel Sportsbook

If you are looking for a longshot MVP bet, Marcell Ozuna (.303 BA, 26 HR, 77 RBI) is the way to go. The Braves’ DH has been the team’s top bat, filling for the loss of production from Ronald Acuna Jr. The 33-year-old ranks tenth in batting average, fourth in home runs, second in RBIs, and fifth in OPS (.960), putting him in the thick of the NL MVP race.

Ozuna’s role as the Braves’ DH does hamper his MVP chances, but that might not matter if he’s up against another DH like Ohtani. His power numbers and average put him close to the Dodgers’ star, though the lack of stolen bases does hurt. If he can keep his impressive pace going and help the Braves back into the NL East race, that could be enough to win his first MVP.

Ozuna was one of the hottest players in baseball in July, posting a .326 batting average to go with five home runs and 10 RBIs in 13 games.

Bet on Marcell Ozuna (+2500) at FanDuel 

MLB NL MVP Winner - My Pick

Shohei Ohtani (-380) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The price for Ohtani doesn’t offer much value, but he is the clear-cut favorite to win the MVP award. No other player in the NL race can match his ability to produce across five categories. Barring a historic run from another contender, only a major injury will keep Ohtani from winning his third MVP.

Bet on Shohei Ohtani (-380) at FanDuel 

MLB AL Winners - My Pick

Gunnar Henderson (+310) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Judge has gone cold heading into the All-Star break, making now a great time to bet on Henderson. While his youth makes him a risky bet, his play shows that he has settled in well at the MLB level. Combine that with an Orioles team with its sites set on a World Series title, and Henderson is well worth the risk of betting against Judge.

Bet on Gunnar Henderson (+310) at FanDuel 

MLB AL & NL MVP History 

The modern MVP award dates all the way back to 1931 when the Baseball Writers’ Association of America voted to name Lefty Grove (AL) and Frankie Frisch (NL) as the winners. Before that, some version of an MVP award had existed since Ty Cobb won it in 1911.

Below is a list of some of the recent MVP winners from both leagues.

Previous AL MVP Winners

Previous NL MVP Winners

How to Read MLB Al & NL MVP Odds 

MVP futures odds work the same as any other bet. Each bet includes a number next to the team or player, preceded by a plus or minus sign. 

A plus sign in front of the number usually indicates an underdog, which is also common with futures bets. If the odds next to a team or player have a plus sign, that is the amount that you will win for every $100 you bet.

A minus sign usually indicates the favorite to win, though they are rarely seen for future bets. A minus sign in front of the odds means that is how much you need to bet to win $100.

For example, let's say you bet $100 on Pete Alonso +1500 to win the NL MVP. If he wins the award, you will win $1500. 

If you aren't looking to bet $100 at a time, don't worry! Check out our odds calculator to help you determine potential winnings based on different wager amounts.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the MVP

Now that you have some insights into both MVP races, it is time to find a sportsbook to place your bet. You can check out our full sportsbook reviews on our sportsbooks page, but below are some quick comparisons to help you decide.

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