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MLB MVP Odds 2024: All Rise for the Honorable Judge

Written by: Michael Savio
Fact-checked by: James Whitelock
Updated June 10, 2024
11 min read
  • Betts’s average has dropped from .387 to .309 since April 28

  • Judge posted 14 home runs and 27 RBIs in May

  • Soto is fourth in the league in BA, fourth in HRs, third in RBIs, and second in OPS 

While there are a ton of great players currently in the running for both MVP awards, no one has been better than Aaron Judge. The Yankee star has been crushing the ball, leading him to be the new favorite to win the 2024 AL MVP. Can the former winner possibly keep his impressive play up over the long MLB summer?



Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Click on the odds below to head to FanDuel and place your bets. If you are new to FanDuel, you can claim $150 in Bonus Bets when you make an initial wager of $5 and win!


Aaron Judge+115
Bobby Witt Jr.+450
Juan Soto +460
Gunnar Henderson +480
Kyle Tucker+1800


Mookie Betts+165
Shohei Ohtani+400
Bryce Harper+410
William Contreras+1300
Marcell Ozuna+1600

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MLB AL & NL Predictions and Favorites to Win

NL - Mookie Betts +165 at FanDuel Sportsbook

While Mookie Betts (.309 BA, 9 HR, 32 RBI, 9 SB) remains the betting favorite to win the NL MVP, he has cooled off significantly since April 28. His average has dropped from .387 to .309 during that span, and he has managed just three home runs. Each week, we discuss Betts’s lack of consistency as the reason we aren’t willing to bet on him, and that hasn’t changed over the last week. 

If there is some good news for the former MVP’s case to add another award, it's that Shohei Ohtani has also begun to cool off. While both are sputtering, Betts is able to play in the field and add value that way. Ohtani will likely only DH this season, meaning he can’t afford too many slumps if he wants to overtake Betts for the MVP.

Bet on Mookie Betts (+165) at FanDuel CTA icon

AL - Aaron Judge +115 at FanDuel Sportsbook

Aaron Judge’s (.293 BA, 21 HR, 54 RBI) brutal start to the season is not a distant memory. The slugging center fielder finished May with a .361 batting average to go with 14 home runs and 27 RBIs. He hasn’t cooled down early in June, posting nine RBIs over his first four games. The former MVP now leads the league in both home runs and OPS (1.090) while ranking second in RBIs.

Judge cannot possibly keep this pace up, but he may not cool off too much. We saw him finish his 2022 MVP season with a .311 average, 62 home runs, and 131 RBIs. While he dropped off in 2023, that was primarily due to a toe injury that limited him to 106 games. Judge has said that the toe injury isn’t entirely gone yet, but it certainly hasn’t slowed him down over the last month.

Bet on Aaron Judge (+115) at FanDuel CTA icon

NL - Shohei Ohtani +400 at FanDuel Sportsbook

While he has cooled off a bit, Shohei Ohtani (.322 BA, 15 HR, 40 RBI, 14 SB) remains a great MVP bet. The two-time winner currently ranks third in batting average, eighth in home runs, thirteenth in RBIs, and third in OPS (.989). Ohtani is also ninth in steals, showing a new aspect of his game. Considering his slump is more mild than that of Betts, we still love Ohtani to win the 2024 NL MVP.

Ohtani’s inability to play the field or pitch this season is an issue for his MVP case. However, he is capable of putting up incredible power numbers and is now stealing bases. As of now, it appears Ohtani is destined for a 40-40 season with a high average and monster RBI total, which should be enough to overcome any objections to his DH role among MVP voters.

Bet on Shohei Ohtani (+400) at FanDuel CTA icon

AL - Bobby Witt Jr. +450 at FanDuel Sportsbook

While fellow 22-year-old shortstop Gunnar Henderson (.265 BA, 19 HR, 42 RBI, 8 SB) has overtaken Bobby Witt Jr. (.319 BA, 11 HR, 46 RBI, 17 SB), we think the latter has the better chance to take home this year’s AL MVP. Witt ranks fifth in batting average, sixth in RBIs, and fourth in stolen bases. As well as Henderson is playing, he is not the five-tool player that Witt is, giving the Royals’ star a significant advantage with MVP voters.

We have been cautious to bet on the young superstar, but he has been changing our minds over the last few weeks. His power numbers have ramped up, with two multi-home run games across his previous 13 games. He has done a fantastic job keeping his average up and being aggressive on the basepaths, making him a tempting longshot bet to win this year’s MVP.

Bet on Bobby Witt Jr. (+450) at FanDuel CTA icon

AL - Juan Soto +460 at FanDuel Sportsbook

While Aaron Judge has become the betting favorite to win the 2024 MVP, we still think Juan Soto (.319 BA, 17 HR, 53 RBI) is the best bet. He is fourth in the league in batting average, fourth in home runs, third in RBIs, and second in OPS (1.027). Soto is a big reason why the Yankees continue to lead the AL East, furthering his case to win his first MVP award.

Soto can’t match the power numbers of Judge, but he is the more consistent of the pair. Soto also has the advantage of hitting in front of Judge, giving him incredible protection in the lineup. That will lead to him seeing better pitches and the best season of the 25-year-old’s career.

Bet on Juan Soto (+460) at FanDuel CTA icon

MLB NL MVP Winner - My Pick

Shohei Ohtani +400 at FanDuel Sportsbook

This favorable price will not last for long, especially if Betts continues to decline. While we know Ohtani’s teammate is capable of putting up massive months, Ohtani is the more consistent of the two. While his role as DH won’t help his case, his quickly growing steals total should compensate for it.

Bet on Shohei Ohtani (+400) at FanDuel Sportsbook CTA icon

MLB AL Winners - My Pick

Bobby Witt Jr. +450 at FanDuel Sportsbook

We still really like Soto’s chances to win, but Judge’s current play ties the two stars together. That could open the door for Witt to gain more votes and win an improbable MVP. He seems to be improving as the season progresses and is a far improved Royals lineup. This is a longshot bet, but given the current price of Soto and Judge, it is far more valuable.

Bet on Bobby Witt Jr. (+450) at FanDuel Sportsbook CTA icon

MLB AL & NL MVP History 

The modern MVP award dates all the way back to 1931 when the Baseball Writers’ Association of America voted to name Lefty Grove (AL) and Frankie Frisch (NL) as the winners. Before that, some version of an MVP award had existed since Ty Cobb won it in 1911.

Below is a list of some of the recent MVP winners from both leagues.

Previous AL MVP Winners

2023Shohei OhtaniLos Angeles AnglesOF/SP
2022Aaron JudgeNew York YankeesOF
2021Shohei OhtaniLos Angeles AngelsOF/SP
2020Jose AbreuChicago White Sox1B
2019Mike TroutLos Angeles AngelsOF
2018Mookie BettsBoston Red SoxOF
2017Jose AltuveHouston Astros2B
2016Mike TroutLos Angeles AngelsOF
2015Josh DonaldsonToronto Blue Jays3B
2014Mike TroutLos Angeles AngelsOF
2013Miguel CabreraDetroit Tigers3B

Previous NL MVP Winners

2023Ronald Acuna Jr.Atlanta BravesOG
2022Paul GoldschmidtSt. Louis Cardinals1B
2021Bryce HarperPhiladelphia PhilliesOF
2020Freddie FreemanAtlanta Braves1B
2019Cody BellingerLos Angeles DodgersOF
2018Christian YelichMilwaukee BrewersOF
2017Giancarlo StantonMiami MarlinsOF
2016Kris BryantChicago Cubs3B
2015Bryce HarperWashington NationalsOF
2014Clayton KershawLos Angeles DodgersSP
2013Andrew McCutchenPittsburgh PiratesOF

How to Read MLB Al & NL MVP Odds 

MVP futures odds work the same as any other bet. Each bet includes a number next to the team or player, preceded by a plus or minus sign. 

A plus sign in front of the number usually indicates an underdog, which is also common with futures bets. If the odds next to a team or player have a plus sign, that is the amount that you will win for every $100 you bet.

A minus sign usually indicates the favorite to win, though they are rarely seen for future bets. A minus sign in front of the odds means that is how much you need to bet to win $100.

For example, let's say you bet $100 on Pete Alonso +1500 to win the NL MVP. If he wins the award, you will win $1500. 

If you aren't looking to bet $100 at a time, don't worry! Check out our odds calculator to help you determine potential winnings based on different wager amounts.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the MVP

Now that you have some insights into both MVP races, it is time to find a sportsbook to place your bet. You can check out our full sportsbook reviews on our sportsbooks page, but below are some quick comparisons to help you decide.

MVP Odds for the Top Favorite in AL & NLAL +450
NL +450
AL +360
NL +325
AL +450
NL +400
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More MLB Betting Guides

MVP of the Year FAQ

Who Were the 2023 AL and NL MVPs?

Who is your favorite to win an MVP in 2024?

Who is the opening favorite to win the AL MVP?

Who is the opening favorite to win the NL MVP?

Where can I bet on the MLB MVP winners?

When are the MLB MVP awards announced?


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Michael Savio

504 Articles

Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.

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