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MLB MVP Odds 2025: Ohtani Makes His Return to the Mound

Updated: Jun. 19, 2025, 07:15 AM ET
8 min read
  • Shohei Ohtani pitched one inning against the Padres on Monday

  • Aaron Judge continues to lead the league in OPS and batting Average

  • Corbin Caroll has a .907 OPS in 2025

After almost a year and a half, Shohei Ohtani finally returned to an MLB mound. While he pitched just one inning, it re-established him as one of the premier dual-threat players in the history of the game. We’ll share why that makes him an easy MVP bet below, along with our pick to win the award in the AL.

MLB MVP Odds

Below, we’ll share the odds for the NL and AL MVP races from BetMGM. Sign up for a BetMGM account with our promo code WSNSPORTS to claim the welcome offer: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*.

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AL MVP Odds

PlayerOdds
Aaron Judge-10000
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Cal Raleigh+3000
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Bobby Witt Jr.+4000
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Jose Ramirez+8000
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Tarik Skubal+10000
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NL MVP Odds

PlayerOdds
Shohei Ohtani-650
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Pete Crow-Armstrong+1100
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Corbin Carroll+1600
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Fernando Tatis Jr.+3000
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Kyle Tucker+3000
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MLB MVP Predictions

Aaron Judge has started to cool off in June, posting a .264 average. However, the slugger still leads the league in the category (.372) and OPS (1.209), while posting the second-most home runs (26) and third-most RBIs (60). His minor slump won’t last, and it hasn’t stopped him from adding to his eye-popping power numbers.

No one in the AL can match Judge’s play at the plate, making it hard to bet on anyone else. That has us taking a long look at Detroit ace Tarik Skubal (7-2, 1.99 ERA, 0.81 WHIP), who has helped Detroit to the best record in baseball. He is going deep into games (90.1 IP) and has the best WHIP in the league. If he can keep these numbers up and win 20+ games, it would give him a strong case for the 2025 AL MVP.

The NL race remains Shohei Ohtani’s to lose, but we continue to be impressed by Corbin Carroll. The 24-year-old has the sixth-most home runs (20) and an impressive .907 OPS. He has not been as aggressive on the basepaths, but could still be on pace to deliver a 40-40 season. If he can drive the D-backs up the NL West standings, his MVP resume will be too good to ignore.

Even if Ohtani misses time this season, we still wouldn’t bet on Pete Crow-Armstrong to win. The 23-year-old could end up being a perennial candidate, but we don’t trust him to deliver MVP-caliber numbers in 2025. Combine that with the fact that he may not even be the most valuable player for his team, and it's hard to see voters handing him the award.

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MLB MVP Winner Picks

AL MVP Winner - Aaron Judge (-10000) at BetMGM Sportsbook

We love Skubal as a longshot, but he will need to win a lot of games this season to match Judge’s impressive offensive numbers. The Yankee star is playing at a level that we haven’t seen since Barry Bonds, and commanding similar respect from pitchers. With the Yankees likely to win the AL East, only an injury or suspension can stop Judge from winning his third MVP.

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NL MVP Winner - Shohei Ohtani (-400) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Ohtani has the third-most home runs (25) and the second-highest OPS (1.027) in the league, and has officially returned to the mound. He pitched just one inning against the Padres on Monday, allowing one run. He’ll get better as the season goes, sealing his fourth MVP award.

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MLB MVP Odds

How to Bet on the MLB MVP

Doing your research before betting on this year’s winners of the MLB MVP awards is incredibly important. While Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge have been the top two players in the league for a few years now, it hardly makes them a lock to win the award in 2025.

Before placing any wager on the MVP, we always recommend shopping for value. The favorites often see their odds lose value, meaning bettors have to wager more money to see a solid payout. Be sure to check the price on the other favorites before comparing stats and the other intangibles that MVP voters use when deciding on the winner.

If you are planning to bet on this year’s MVP races, be sure to get your bets in early to lock in the best value. These odds will be the best you’ll see as the field is whittled down by injury, slumbs, and other factors throughout the season.

How to Read MLB MVP Odds

Reading the odds for an MVP bet is reasonably straightforward. When checking odds from a sportsbook, you’ll see numbers with a (+) or (-) in front of them. The plus sign means that you will win the number after it when betting $100. If the number has a minus sign, you’ll need to bet that amount to win $100. 

Most sportsbooks organize the betting favorites according to their odds, making it easy to see. The biggest favorites will have a minus sign in front of their odds. The bigger the number, the more favored that player is. 

Be sure to remember that betting on heavy favorites means smaller payouts. For example, if you bet on Aaron Judge at -165, you’ll need to bet $165 just to win $100. If you instead wagered on Bobby Witt Jr., you’d need to spend $100 for a chance to win $450. Given that the betting favorite isn’t a lock to win the award, we prefer to look for players with more favorable odds. 

Where to Bet on the MLB MVP

There is no shortage of sportsbooks to wager on the MLB MVP. Thanks to their fantastic platform and competitive odds, we are using Caesars Sportsbook for our odds above. Caesars brings us the most Las Vegas-feeling betting experience, so it is our go-to option.

If you aren’t looking for a Las Vegas-style sportsbook, you can’t go wrong with FanDuel Sportsbook. The former DFS giant has become the most popular online sportsbook in the country. People flock to the platform for the valuable bonuses and easy-to-use layout. All new users at FanDuel can claim the following welcome bonus: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.

Wherever you decide to wager on the AL & NL MVP, check out our expert sportsbook reviews before signing up.

MLB AL & NL MVP Winner History

Over the past four seasons, Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge have combined to win five MVP awards. The superstars are the favorites to add more hardware to their collection this season, but we have a lot of baseball to go.

Before the rise of Judge and Ohtani, the MVP races have been up for grabs in most seasons. Below are the last ten MVP winners from the AL & NL.

Year AL MVP NL MVP
2024 Aaron Judge Shohei Ohtani
2023 Shohei Ohtani Ronald Acuna Jr.
2022 Aaron Judge Paul Goldschmidt
2021 Shohei Ohtani Bryce Harper
2020 Jose Abreu Freddie Freeman
2019 Mike Trout Cody Bellinger
2018 Mookie Betts Christian Yelich
2017 Jose Altuve Giancarlo Stanton
2016 Mike Trout Kris Bryant
2015 Josh Donaldson Bryce Harer

MVP of the Year FAQ

Who is your favorite to win an MVP in 2025?

Who is the opening favorite to win the AL MVP?

Who is the opening favorite to win the NL MVP?

What are the criteria for the MLB MVP?

When are the MLB MVP awards announced?

Who decides on the MVP winners?

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Michael Savio WSN Contributors

Michael Savio

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
Gambling News
MLB
NCAAB
Online Sports Betting
Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Political Science
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 3 years
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