We have a special MLB parlay set up for Saturday. In fact, we have two parlays to share. The first is a two-leg parlay of teams we think are virtual locks to win. The second is a same-game parlay for one of the marquee games on Saturday’s schedule. The odds we’re using are from DraftKings Sportsbook, which is giving new users $200 in bonus bets after signing up.
The calculus here is quite simple. Until a 2-0 loss to the Braves on Monday, the Cubs had won all seven games started by Shota Imanaga. Keep in mind that in that loss to the Braves, the lefty threw five scoreless innings, as the Chicago bullpen eventually folded. Imanaga has never allowed more than two earned runs in a start this year and has pitched at least six innings in five of his eight starts. He will put the Cubs in a position to win this game whereas Pittsburgh's Bailey Falter has a 4.15 ERA with the Pirates losing three of the last five games he’s started. That positions Chicago for a comfortable win.
This game is an obvious mismatch with Seth Lugo facing the A’s. Lugo is rocking a 1.66 ERA, helping the Royals win six of his last eight starts. In those six wins, Kansas City's opponent has finished the game with two runs or less. Meanwhile, the A’s have lost seven of the nine games started by Ross Stripling, who is 1-7 with a 4.98 ERA. Plus, the A’s have lost eight of their last nine games with six of those eight losses coming by multiple runs. We expect a similar result given the pitching matchup on Saturday.
Bet on Parlay (+357) at DraftKings
Darvish is in such a groove right now that it doesn’t matter that he’s facing the Braves, who have actually underperformed a little offensively. In his last three starts, Darvish has thrown 17 scoreless innings, allowing just eight total hits. He’s also reached five strikeouts or more in half of his starts, including his last two. With the way he’s pitching right now, reaching five strikeouts shouldn’t be an issue.
Even when Elder gives the Braves a decent start, he’s going to give up some hits. Even the Mets racked up seven hits over 5.1 innings against Elder in his last start. In fact, Elder has allowed at least seven hits in three of his four starts this year. That makes five or more hits for San Diego against Elder a reasonable goal. As a team, the Padres collected 13 hits on Friday, so they appear to be on track offensively.
As good as Darvish has been this year, Ozuna is still poised to get at least one hit on Saturday. Ozuna is 6 for 19 (.316) with three extra-base hits in his career against Darvish. He’s also one of the best hitters in baseball this year and has a 10-game hitting streak. Our parlay has to include that hit streak remaining intact.
Profar has arguably been San Diego’s most reliable hitter this year. He's batting .325 on the season, which is slightly higher than Ozuna’s average. Profar is fresh off a multi-hit game on Friday and has a six-game hitting streak. He should be able to keep it going on Saturday, which is why this is a safe inclusion for our parlay.
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