Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Big Names on Abbreviated Thursday Schedule

Written by: Bryan Zarpentine
Published June 27, 2024
5 min read
Best MLB Prop Bets Today 2024 06 27 Aaron Judge

As usual, MLB has given us an abbreviated schedule on Thursday. But that hasn’t stopped us from putting together a good set of prop picks in the past and it shouldn’t stop us today. Fortunately, some of my favorite teams and players to target are in action on Thursday, which made my job a little easier. Today’s odds are from Caesars Sportsbook, which is offering $1,000 First Bet with Promo Code WSN1000.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Yankees vs. Blue Jays (7:07 PM, EST)

Aaron Judge Home Run (+205) at Caesars

Now feels like a good time to take a chance on a home run prop with Judge. He’s homered five times in his last eight games, including both losses in this week’s Subway Series, giving him 30 on the season. When Judge is in a groove like this, you never know if and when he’s going to slow down. He and the Yankees make the journey to Toronto on Thursday to face Berrios. In his career, Judge is 12 for 29 (.414) with two doubles and four home runs against Berrios. That’s roughy a homer every seven at-bats against Berrios, but given his current form, Judge could easily improve upon that rate.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+116) at Caesars

While Judge is scorching hot, don’t sleep on Guerrero making an impact on Thursday’s game. He’s heated up lately as well, going 7 for 14 with five extra-base hits over his last three games. It might only be three games, but that is some serious productivity. Yet, we’re still getting plus odds for this bet. The kicker is that Guerrero is 4 for 6 in his career against Carlos Rodon. That puts Guerrero in a great position to continue his hot streak and collect multiple bases on Thursday one way or another.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Guardians vs. Royals (8:10 PM, EST)

Michael Wacha Under 2.5 ER (-127) at Caesars

Wacha isn’t our favorite member of the Kansas City rotation that we like to target, but he’s been remarkably consistent lately. He’s gone six straight starts giving up two earned runs or less. We wish we had spotted this trend earlier, although we’re still getting good odds on Wacha continuing to hold teams to two runs or less. While there are a few Cleveland hitters we like to target, Wacha has excellent numbers against the team’s best hitters, so we’ll take our chances riding Wacha’s hot streak.

Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-145) at Caesars

With a shortened schedule, targeting Witt was almost a given. Unfortunately, his odds for collecting at least two bases in a game have dropped considerably. But after going hitless in three straight games, Witt has now hit an extra-base hit in three straight games. We’re willing to bet that he’s getting back on track. He’s also 2 for 3 in a small sample against Ben Lively, so we still feel good about this bet.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Tigers vs. Angels (9:38 PM, EST)

Jack Flaherty Under 1.5 ER (+123) at Caesars

Flaherty has been on an absolute tear lately. While he isn’t necessarily going deep into games, that actually works to our benefit in this bet. The bottom line is that he’s allowed one run or less in four consecutive starts. In fact, he’s pitched at least five scoreless innings in three of those starts, giving him a 0.57 ERA in June. Flaherty has actually faced some decent offensive teams during that stretch. Now he gets to face the Angels, who simply don’t have the pieces to do much damage against him if Flaherty is able to keep doing what he’s done so well over the last month.

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MLB Thursday on Sleeper DFS

Today’s Sleeper promo is turning up the heat for MLB DFS action! New users can enjoy a special offer on Corbin Burnes’ strikeouts: reduced from 6.5 K’s to just 0.5 K’s (92% off) for the Orioles vs. Rangers Thursday game. Click the image below to claim this DFS deal on Sleeper 👇

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Bryan Zarpentine

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLB
NCAAB
NFL
Online Sports Betting
Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Arts
Favourite Sportsbook: BetMGM Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience:
14 years
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