Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Heavy Hitters Targeted for Day Baseball

A slate of day games - not to mention a limited schedule - provides some challenges for us on Thursday. But even if it’s been a subpar week, we’re not going to back down from a challenge. Instead, we’ve chosen to focus on some familiar names with the hope that it will help us get on track. The odds we’re using for Thursday’s games are from Caesars Sportsbook, which has an offer for new users that will give them a bonus bet of up to $1,000 if they lose their first wager.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Orioles vs. Marlins (12:10 PM, EST)

Corbin Burnes Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-111) at Caesars

In his first start after the all-star break, Burnes walked four batters. But that game was an aberration compared to the rest of his season. Prior to that, he had allowed one walk or less in six of his last seven starts. On Thursday, Burnes will be facing a Miami lineup that has drawn the fewest walks in the majors. It’s also a day game that should give Burnes an edge, meaning he can be aggressive against a light-hitting team. That should translate to a lack of walks for the Marlins, which is what we expect from Burnes most days.

Bet on Orioles vs. Marlins Props at Caesars

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Rays vs. Blue Jays (3:07 PM, EST)

Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Total Bases (+129) at Caesars

Arozarena hasn’t had a strong season, batting just .213, which is why we’ve hesitated to target him. However, he’s 6 for 14 (.429) with four extra-base hits in his career against Toronto starter Chris Bassitt. Those numbers are too good to ignore. Plus, Arozarena has gotten hot since the all-star break. In six games, he has eight hits, six of which have gone for extra bases. Another multi-hit game isn’t a lock, but Arozarena has started to hit for power, so we figure he can collect multiple bases given the favorable matchup against Bassitt. 

Chris Bassitt Over 2.5 ER (-108) at Caesars

Unfortunately for Bassitt, Arozarena isn’t the only member of the Rays with a good history against him. There are multiple members of Tampa’s lineup who have gotten hits against Bassitt and taken him deep during their careers. Bassitt also finds himself in the middle of a rough patch, posting a 6.48 ERA across his three starts in July. He’s allowed at least three runs in each of those three starts while conceding 12 runs on 20 hits over just 16.2 innings. We’re going to bank on Bassitt continuing to have a hard time against a desperate Tampa team that needs every win it can get.

Bet on Rays vs. Blue Jays Props at Caesars

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Braves vs. Mets (7:10 PM, EST)

Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases (+126) at Caesars

Lindor’s slow start this season made us hesitant to target him, but he’s now performing close to an MVP level. He currently has a nine-game hitting streak that dates back before the all-star break. Lindor also has five extra-base hits in his last three games after crushing two homers on Wednesday. On Thursday, he faces a tough matchup against Chris Sale, although Lindor has been better from the right side of the plate this year, so facing a lefty works to his advantage. He’s also 13 for 31 (.419) with three extra-base hits in his career against Sale, so we think Lindor has a chance to stay hot.

Chris Sale Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-123) at Caesars

After a two-game sweep of the Yankees, the Mets will be confident at home against Sale and the Braves. Despite his brilliant season, that makes us fade Sale just a little against the Mets. Also, keep in mind that Sale managed just four strikeouts in his last outing. The Mets also rank in the bottom third of baseball in strikeouts. Even their left-handed bats like Brandon Nimmo and Jeff McNeil can be tough to strike out, which should limit Sale’s total on Thursday.

Bet on Braves vs. Mets Props at Caesars

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