Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Blue Jays and Orioles Highlight Thursday’s Props

With a limited MLB schedule on Thursday, we have decided to focus primarily on the matchup between the Orioles and Blue Jays. Both pitchers are looking vulnerable in this matchup, so we think we can take advantage of that. Of course, most of our prop bets today are focused on big value, so this could be considered a high-risk, high-reward day. All of our odds are from Caesars Sportsbook, which is giving new users a bonus bet of up to $1,000 if they lose the first bet they make after signing up with our promo code WSN1000.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Reds vs. Marlins (6:10 PM, EST)

Hunter Greene Under 1.5 ER (-103) at Caesars

Greene has been flat-out dominant since the all-star break. Over his last three starts, he’s pitched 20 shutout innings, yielding just five total hits. Those are historic numbers, and he’s done it against teams that aren’t inherently terrible. There is just one player on the Marlins who has faced Greene before, so it’s easy to foresee that success continuing. The last-place Marlins aren't exactly an offensive juggernaut, making this a good time to jump on Greene's bandwagon.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Orioles vs. Blue Jays (7:07 PM, EST)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Doubles (+247) at Caesars

The easier bet would be to go with over 1.5 total bases for Guerrero, but there isn’t quite enough value there. He’s also not the best candidate for multiple hits, so we’re going to bet on him hitting a double, which is something he has done seven times in his last eight games, including a three-double game against the Orioles last month. Against Baltimore starter Dean Kremer, Guerrero is 8 for 25 (.320) with just one double and four home runs. That might point to a home run prop, but given the way he’s been swinging the bat lately, a double feels more likely against a pitcher he hits well.

Kevin Gausman Over 2.5 ER (-151) at Caesars

Gausman has struggled since the all-star break, giving up at least three runs in all three of his starts. To be fair, he went nine innings and allowed three runs in one of those starts. However, he also gave up two home runs and failed to complete five innings in his last start. Keep in mind he allowed at least three runs in five of his six starts in June, so this has been a safe bet for most of the season. His history against several of Baltimore’s hitters isn’t overwhelmingly positive, making it easy to fade him on Thursday.

Ryan Mountcastle Over 0.5 RBI (+143) at Caesars

Mountcastle has excellent numbers against Gausman, going 6 for 17 (.353) with a double. He also hits toward the middle of the order in a Baltimore lineup that has scored at least seven runs in three of the last four games. While Mountcastle has just one RBI during that stretch, he’s 4 for 14 with two doubles in those four games. With good hitters in front of him and Gausman likely to struggle, this is a good spot to target Mountcastle to get an RBI.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Tigers vs. Mariners (9:40 PM, EST)

Bryan Woo Under 1.5 ER (+114) at Caesars

Despite a recent surge in offensive production, backing any pitcher facing the Tigers is usually a good strategy. Also, Woo has a 2.08 ERA on the season, so it’s a safe assumption that he can handle a Detroit lineup filled with hitters who have never faced him. Across his last two starts, Woo has allowed just one unearned run on nine hits across 11 innings. That includes seven scoreless innings against the Phillies in his last start. If he can dominate that lineup, Woo should have no problem holding the Tigers to one run or less.

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