Best NRFI Bets Today: Negative Regression Looms Large Over the Brewers

After going 7-3 in their last ten games, negative regression looms large over the Milwaukee Brewers as they face off against the San Francisco Giants Landen Roupp who generates Whiffs at a high rate. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the New York Mets and Seattle Mariners with a pair or productive arms locked into a pitchers duel.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today.

Best NRFI Bets for Monday, June 1

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San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Landen Roupp vs. Shane Drohan (7:40 PM, EST)

Expect the Milwaukee Brewers to struggle to get into scoring position against the San Francisco Giants Landen Roupp, leading to an early exit in the first inning.

Under 0.5 Run (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After a slow start to the year, the Milwaukee Brewers have been able to shake out of their slump, securing a 4.5 game lead for first in the NL Central. Even during their resurgence on offense, the Brewers have still struggled to barrel up the ball, ranking below league average in Hit Rate. Nevertheless, their dominant run has completely shifted the NL Central odds back in their favor as they look to lock down the division.

Unfortunately for the Brewers, their struggles with making contact are poised to persist against the San Francisco Giants Landen Roupp, battling it out against an arm who is averaging less than one Hit Against and more than one Strikeout per inning. Even with his back end underwhelming in coverage, Roupp’s ability to create Whiffs will neutralize the Brewers at the plate and hold them scoreless in the first inning.

On the other side of the field, Shane Drohan is expected to get the start for Milwaukee, a productive arm in their rotation who is averaging an ERA of 2.63 and a FIP of 2.37. With the Giants incapable of stringing together their Hits per their poor mark in On Base Percentage, expect Drohan to continue to keep them out of scoring position by avoiding contact and keep a clean sheet on the mound.

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New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners - Austin Warren vs. Emerson Hancock (9:40 PM, EST)

WIth Emerson Hancock projected to get the start, the New York Mets four game win streak is in peril, facing off against an arm who excels at avoiding contact.

Under 0.5 Run (-145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Like the Brewers, the New York Mets have also been able to round back into form, winning their last four games in a row. A fortunate result when factoring in how poor they have played on offense, residing near the bottom of the board in Hit Rate, RBIs, Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage.

Heading into Monday night, expect the Mets to fall hard back down to reality as they face off against the Seattle Mariners Emerson Hancock who is averaging an ERA of 2.78 and a WHIP of 1.005. Especially with his back end narrowing the width of the Mets gaps in the outfield with their suffocating coverage, surrounding Hancock with a group who ranks near the top of the board in Fielding Percentage.

In an attempt to match Hancock’s hot start, the Mets roll out their rotational pitcher Austin Warren who has thrived this season, averaging an ERA of 1.40, a WHIP of 1.190, and a FIP of 2.86. With the Mariners also grading out poorly in Hit Rate, expect Warren to make quick work of the top of their order and exit the first inning without giving up a Run.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals - Sandy Alcantara vs. Cade Cavalli - The Washington Nationals will be able to open up the scoring early on in their NL East divisional matchup against Miami by taking advantage of Sandy Alcantara who is giving up over one Hit Against per inning. This early edge could significantly shift the live NL East odds as the game progresses.

• Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels - Kyle Freeland vs. Jose Soriano - Expect the Los Angeles Angels to recapture the same success they had earlier in the year, battling it out against Kyle Freeland who is averaging a WHIP of 1.748 and a defense who ranks 29th in Defensive Efficiency.

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