NL East Winner Odds, Predictions & Picks 2024: Phillies Lead for First Continues to Grow

• The Philadelphia Phillies enter the All Star break with a 8.5 game lead for first

• The Atlanta Braves offense currently ranks in the bottom eight for On Base Percentage

• The New York Mets are now in wild card contention after a hot stretch of play

Entering the All Star break, the Philadelphia Phillies continue to hold on to their commanding lead for first place in the NL East division standings. More impressive yet they did this without former two time Total Hits leader Trea Turner who was out the past month with an injury, now welcoming back his elite batting production in the top of their batting order.

Speaking of offensive production, the preseason favorites continue to underwhelm on offense as the Braves now rank in the bottom eight in On Base Percentage. What was once thought of as a cold stretch has now turned into the new norm as they continue to rank below league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, and Runs Scored as well. As for the Mets, their recent hot stretch of play has thrusted them into wildcard contention, but their division title hopes look bleak as they are still 12.5 games back from first.

MLB NL East Winner Odds

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below to head to FanDuel sportsbook and place your bets.
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MLB NL East Predictions and Favorites to Win

Atlanta Braves (+490) at FanDuel

Entering the All Star break, the Atlanta Braves offense continues to severely underperform as they rank below league average in On Base Percentage, Team Total Hits, RBIs, and Total Runs Scored. A shockingly bad performance for a unit that features plenty of star worthy talent, yet the metrics have stayed pretty consistent since the start of the season. 

With their On Base Percentage plummeting, it’s hard to picture any sort of positive regression looming over their offense. Fortunately for Atlanta, their defense still ranks above average in Defensive Efficiency while their pitching staff ranks first in Team Total Pitching ERA. Until their offense shows they can round back into form to compliment their elite defense, temper your expectations of Atlanta mounting a comeback and dethroning the Philadelphia Phillies for the top spot of the NL East standings.

Bet on Atlanta Braves (+490) at FanDuel 

New York Mets (+16000) at FanDuel

After starting the year plagued by injuries throughout Spring Training, it was looking like the New York Mets season was lost before it even began. The Mets further cemented that belief by getting off to a sluggish start, ranking well below league average on both sides of the field and comfortably down the board in the NL East standings.

As tensions were starting to rise, the Mets then did the unthinkable and put together an incredible hot streak that has thrusted them back up the board and into wildcard contention. This is in large part of their offense finding life, ranking well above league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. The issue for the Mets is that their pitching staff has yet to capture the same success, ranking in the bottom ten in Team Total Pitching ERA.

Bet on New York Mets (+16000) at FanDuel 

Washington Nationals (+50000) at FanDuel

Once projected to finish near the bottom of the league standings, the Washington Nationals continue to defy preseason projections by winning. Not only have the Nationals flirted with a .500 record at the halfway point of the season, but they are within punchers range of a wildcard spot as well.

The issue for the Nationals is that negative regression looms large over the ballclub as their metrics do not match up with their success. Entering the All Star break, the Nationals rank below league average in offensive Team Total Hits, RBIs, On Base Percentage, Total Runs Scored, Defensive Efficiency, and Team Total Pitching ERA. Projection sites like PECOTA have continued to temper their expectations of the Nationals sustaining their success, projecting them to finish the year with just 71 wins.

Bet on Washington Nationals (+50000) at FanDuel 

Miami Marlins (+100000) at BetMGM

Since getting gutted by injuries throughout the preseason, the Miami Marlins have failed to get back off the mat and continue to severely underwhelm. Entering the All Star break, the Marlins rank near dead last in offensive Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, On Base Percentage, Defensive Efficiency, and Team Total Pitching ERA.

Knowing that putting together any sort of competitive lineup would be borderline impossible, the Marlins seemingly threw in the towel early by trading away league leading Total Hits contender Luis Arraez to the San Diego Padres. With limited productive players, the Marlins are in a full blown rebuild with their eyes set towards the offseason. Avoid the Marlins at astronomical high odds and use them as a last place finish in any exacta markets.

Bet on Miami Marlins (+100000) at BetMGM 

Who Will Win the NFL East in 2024?

My Pick - Philadelphia Phillies (-600) at FanDuel

The Philadelphia Phillies have as good a chance as any to finally dethrone the Braves for the NL East division title, entering the halfway point of the season with a 8.5 game lead for first and ranked above them across all key offensive metrics.

Even more impressive, the Phillies managed to build on their lead while without former two time Total Hits leader Trea Turner in their lineup. With Turner back from injury, the Phillies offense is as lethal as it gets as he joins the likes of MVP contender Bryce Harper and slugger Kyle Schwarber at the top of their order. Should their defense continue to give the Phillies the production they need to be a well rounded unit, then the Phillies can make a case as the deserving favorite to win the World Series.

Bet on Philadelphia Phillies (-600) at FanDuel 

NL East Winner History 

At some point, someone will dethrone the Atlanta Braves at the top of the NL East and it may very well be this year. The Braves have won the division every year since 2018 and now look as vulnerable as ever while multiple games back from the Philadelphia Phillies. There is still plenty of the season left to be played, but the Phillies have outclassed the Braves in nearly every area of the field. They rank above them across the board in most offensive metrics and in pitching ERA, all while doing so without their star batter Trea Turner who has been out since early May. With his return back in the lineup, expect the Phillies offense to get even more dangerous. Expect a potential new name at the top of the board if the Phillies continue to play at an impressive level.

NL East Winners

How to Read NL East Winner Odds 

Understanding how listed odds work is vital when it comes to sports betting. When wagering on the Phillies, you will notice that they have a minus sign (-) in front of their odds. At -600, that means you need to wager $600 to win $100. Should you like one of the other teams, like the Atlanta Braves at +490, then that means you would profit $490 with a $100 wager.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on NL East

It’s vital to have as many sportsbooks as you can get in order to line shop. The Phillies to win the NL East can be found as high as (-650) at BetMGM and as low as (-600) at FanDuel. That is a $50 difference for a futures wager as a $100 bettor, saving you money from being locked up over the course of the season.

Each sportsbook also has their own unique new user promotion, giving their users a head start in the form of bonus bets as during the MLB regular season. BetMGM Sportsbook for example, is giving new users $1,500 in bonus bets back should they lose their first wager with the WSN promo code WSNMGM.

*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.

Check Out Other MLB Division Futures

• AL East Winner 2024

• AL Central Winner 2024 

• AL West Winner 2024 

• NL Central Winner 2024

• NL West Winner 2024