NL East Winner Odds, Predictions & Picks 2024: Phillies Pull Away From the Rest of the Pack

• Philadelphia Phillies odds to win the NL East have skyrocketed over the past two weeks

• Atlanta Braves have a two game lead over the New York Mets for the last wildcard spot

• Miami Marlins have been statistically eliminated from winning the division

Entering the last month of the season, the Philadelphia Phillies continue to pace the rest of the division by possessing a 6.5-game lead for first in the NL East. At this rate, it looks like the Phillies will be claiming their 12th NL East division title should they manage to maintain their high level of play. With the division nearly locked up, the Phillies will turn their sights toward getting a bye for the first round of the playoffs.

As for the rest of the division, the Atlanta Braves continue to find themselves in a tight race against the New York Mets for the last wildcard spot. With a little over 30 games left to be played, the Braves currently have a two-game lead over the Mets in the wildcard standings. Their lead over New York is far from safe as the Mets outrank the Braves in most key metrics on both sides of the field. The Washington Nationals are also still considered in contention, yet their playoff looks bleak 12 games back from the Braves.

MLB NL East Winner Odds

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below to head to FanDuel and place your bets: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets.

MLB NL East Predictions and Favorites to Win

Atlanta Braves +1300 at FanDuel

After coming into the year listed as one of the favorites to win the World Series, the Braves enter the last month of play with just a two-game lead over the New York Mets for the last wildcard spot. A division title is still within reach as they are just 6.5 games back from the Phillies, but time is quickly running out for them to climb up the standings with just a little over 30 games left to be played.

With a division title most likely unattainable, the Braves' best course of making the playoffs resides on them securing the last wildcard spot. Should they want to strengthen their position in the wildcard standings, then their offense will need to generate more consistent production as they continue to rank below average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Pass on the Braves to win the NL East, but monitor their playoff odds should their offense round back into form.

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New York Mets +12500 at BetMGM

Like the Braves, the Mets best course of making the playoffs resides on them grabbing the last wildcard spot as they are currently nine games back from the Phillies in the NL East division standings. Fortunately for New York, they are still well within reach of leaping over the Braves for the last playoff berth as they are only two games back from securing the last wildcard spot.

That puts the Mets in an interesting position, especially since they outrank the Braves in most key metrics on both sides of the field. Those metrics include offensive Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, On Base Percentage, and Defensive Efficiency. Their pitching staff still poses a major problem as they rank below average in Team Total Pitching ERA, but the Mets still possess enough production to threaten the Braves for the last wildcard spot.

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Washington Nationals +50000 at FanDuel

It’s been a commendable year for the Washington Nationals, a club that was projected to be one of the worst teams in the league entering the season. While a division title is out of their reach, as well as a playoff berth as they are 12 games back from the Braves for the last wildcard spot, the Nationals can hang their hat on knowing they have taken a major step forward in completing their rebuild.

The issue for the Nationals is that they still need help on both sides of the field as they enter the offseason ranked below league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, On Base Percentage, Defensive Efficiency, and Team Total Pitching ERA. With plenty of positions needing a boost in production, the Nationals will have their work cut out for them as they groom through their options leading up to next season.

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Miami Marlins N/A

Entering the final stretch of the season, the Miami Marlins have been statistically eliminated from winning the division. It was only a matter of time as the Marlins have severely underwhelmed since the start of the year. Injuries to multiple starting pitchers during Spring Training quickly derailed the Marlins production, leaving them prone to falling behind quickly on the scoreboard while their own anemic offense struggled to stay within scoring pace.

The Marlins never managed to recoup the loss of production, swiftly falling behind the rest of the division in the process as the losses racked up at a quick rate. Knowing their year was doomed from the start, the Marlins were quick to throw in the towel on their season by trading away Luis Arraez to the San Diego Padres in an attempt to bolster their depth with prospects. Like the Nationals, the Marlins will have their work cut out for them this offseason as they need help on both sides of the field.

Who Will Win the NFL East in 2024?

My Pick - Philadelphia Phillies (-2400) at FanDuel

With a 6.5-game lead for first entering the final month of play, the Philadelphia Phillies find themselves in a great position to finally dethrone the Atlanta Braves for the NL East division title. Not only are the Phillies considered a heavy favorite to win the division title, but they are also second on the oddsboard to win the World Series as well.

Should the Phillies want to bolster their chances of winning the World Series, then securing a first-round bye is vital. They currently hold one of the two byes as of writing, but the NL Central leader Milwaukee Brewers are just three games back with 30 games left to be played. That gives the Phillies little room for error, especially since the Brewers match their production in most key metrics on both sides of the field. Expect the Phillies to cruise to a division title, securing a bye for the playoffs in the process.

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NL East Winner History 

At some point someone will dethrone the Atlanta Braves at the top of the NL East and it may very well be this year. The Braves have won the division every year since 2018 and now look as vulnerable as ever while multiple games back from the Philadelphia Phillies. 

There is still plenty of season left to be played, but the Phillies have outclassed the Braves in nearly every area of the field. They rank above them across the board in most offensive metrics and Defensive Efficiency, all while doing so without their star batter Trea Turner who has been out since early May. With his return back in the lineup, expect a potential new name at the top of the board as the Phillies continue to play at an impressive level.

Past NL East Winners

How to Read NL East Winner Odds 

Understanding how listed odds work is vital when it comes to sports betting. When wagering on the Phillies, you will notice that they have a minus sign (-) in front of their odds. At -2400, that means you need to wager $2,400 to win $100. Should you like one of the other teams, like the Atlanta Braves at +1300, then that means you would profit $1,300 with a $100 wager.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on NL East

It’s vital to have as many sportsbooks as you can get in order to line shop. The Phillies to win the NL East can be found as high as -3000 at BetMGM and as low as -2400 at FanDuel. That is a difference of $600 for a futures wager as a $100 bettor, saving you money from being locked up over the course of the season.

Each sportsbook also has their own unique new user promotion, giving their users a head start in the form of bonus bets to use during the MLB regular season. BetMGM sportsbook for example, is giving new users up to $1,500 back* in the form of bonus bets should they lose their first wager with the WSN promo code WSNSPORTS.

More on the best MLB betting sites can be found in our detailed guide.

*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.