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NL East Winner Odds, Predictions & Picks 2024: Phillies Take a Commanding Lead for First

Written by: Kody Malstrom
Updated June 3, 2024
10 min read
  • The Philadelphia Phillies are now the heavy favorite to win the NL East

  • For the first time this year, the Braves are now second on the oddsboard to win the division

  • Reigning MVP and Hits leader Ronald Acuna Jr has been ruled out for the rest of the year with a torn ACL

Now a handful of games back, the Atlanta Braves have slipped down to second place in the oddsboard to win the NL East title. That means the Philadelphia Phillies have dethroned them as the betting favorite for the first time this season, as well as creeping up the board to win the World Series title. A well-deserved feat as the Phillies have played not only as the best team in the division but also as the best team in the league. To make matters worse for the Braves season long outlook, news broke out that they will be without reigning MVP Ronald Acuna Jr who has suffered a torn ACL. A massive blow to their already reeling offense, now leaving them void of his production at the top of the order. As for the rest of the division, they are better off turning their sights towards the offseason.

MLB NL East Winner Odds

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below to head to Caesars Sportsbook and place your bets. Get up to a $1,000 first bet on Caesars after creating an account and making a deposit.

Philadelphia Phillies-290
Atlanta Braves+180
New York Mets+22500
Washington Nationals+25000
Miami Marlins+50000
NL East  2024 Winner Odds

MLB NL East Predictions and Favorites to Win

Atlanta Braves +220 at FanDuel

It’s been about as bad a month as the Braves could ask for as their offense has mightily regressed, lost their lead for first place in the NL East standings, and have now lost reigning MVP Ronald Acuna Jr for the remainder of the year with a season ending injury. His injury serves as a massive blow to their already reeling offense, now leaving the Braves more vulnerable than ever to getting beat for the top spot of the division. While still in the top half of the league in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage, the Braves have steadily declined down to league average. To make matters worse, the Braves rank even worse on defense as they are currently in the bottom-8 in Defensive Efficiency.

Bet on Atlanta Braves (+220) at FanDuel CTA icon

New York Mets +25000 at FanDuel

It’s been a year to forget for the New York Mets, a team once labeled as a NL East contender and now closer to the bottom of the barrel with no hope in sight. If it wasn’t for the Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals, then the Mets struggles would look a lot worse. They struggle in every area of the field, ranking below league average in offensive Runs Scored, RBIs, and On Base Percentage while their defense ranks below average in Team Total ERA and Defensive Efficiency. The team attitude has already hit a breaking point after witnessing Lopez call them the worst team in the league. With the Phillies taking a commanding lead for the division and their wildcard hopes looking bleak, the season may already be over for the Mets.

Bet on NY Mets (+25000) at FanDuel CTA icon

Miami Marlins +50000 at FanDuel

Ever since the Marlins saw their pitching staff get decimated by injuries in the preseason, their hopes of making any sort of noise in the division looked bleak. They have yet to find their footing, seemingly already throwing in the towel on their season by trading away their star contact hitter Luis Arraez Jr to the San Diego Padres. Without Arraez Jr’s batting production, the Marlins are just as awful on offense as they are on defense. That makes them one of the worst teams at this point of the season and a true contender to finish dead last in the entire league. The Marlins currently rank well below league average in offensive Team Total Hits, RBIs, Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage, Team Total ERA and Defensive Efficiency.

Bet on Miami Marlins (+50000) at FanDuel CTA icon

Washington Nationals +50000 at FanDuel

Even with the Washington Nationals continuing to play above preseason projections, oddsmakers are tempering their expectations by keeping them as a severe longshot to contend for the division title. Their early season success is in large part a fluke as they rank well below league average across most key metrics. As of writing, the Nationals rank near dead last in On Base Percentage, Team Total Hits, RBIs, Runs Scored, and Defensive Efficiency. Not all hope is lost as their pitchers have performed well, ranking above league average in Team Total ERA. Still, their pitching production is hardly enough to help the Nationals maintain their current rate of success which leaves them prone for a major skid sometime soon.

Bet on Nationals (+50000) at FanDuel CTA icon

Who Will Win the NFL East in 2024?

My Pick - Philadelphia Phillies (-290) at Caesars

The Braves' recent struggles are the Phillies' gain as they continue to pad their lead at the top of the NL East standings. Even without the Braves' recent regression, an argument can be made that the Phillies were already a better team as they rank above them across key metrics. Those metrics include Team Total Hits, On Base Percentage, RBIs, Runs Scored, Team Total ERA, and Defensive Efficiency. Even without star slugger Trea Turner who has been out with an injury since the start of May, the Phillies offense have had no issue with masking his loss of production with their elite depth. Even as a sizable favorite to win the division, value still lies on the Phillies as the Braves continue to regress.

Bet on Philadelphia Phillies (-290) at Caesars CTA icon

NL East Winner History 

At some point someone will dethrone the Atlanta Braves at the top of the NL East and it may very well be this year. The Braves have won the division every year since 2018 and now look as vulnerable as ever while a few games back from the Philadelphia Phillies. There is still plenty of season left to be played, but the Phillies have outclassed the Braves in nearly every area of the field. They rank above them across the board in most offensive metrics and in pitching ERA, all while doing so without their star batter Trea Turner who has been out since early May. Expect a potential new name at the top of the board if the Phillies continue to play at an impressive level.

NL East Winners

2023Atlanta Braves
2022Atlanta Braves
2021Atlanta Braves
2020Atlanta Braves
2019Atlanta Braves

How to Read NL East Winner Odds 

Understanding how listed odds work is vital when it comes to sports betting. When wagering on the Phillies, you will notice that they have a minus sign (-) in front of their odds. At -290, that means you need to wager $290 to win $100. Should you like one of the other teams, like the Braves at +220, then that means you will profit $220 with a $100 wager.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on NL East

It’s vital to have as many sportsbooks as you can get in order to line shop. The Phillies to win the NL East can be found as high as -300 and as low as -290 at Caesars. That is a $10 difference for a futures wager as a $100 bettor, saving you money from being locked up over the course of the season.

Each sportsbook also has their own unique new user promotion, giving their users a head start in the form of bonus bets as during the MLB regular season. With Caesars Sportsbook, you can claim up to $1,000 First Bet by simply creating an account and making an initial deposit.

Philadelphia Phillies NL East Winner Odds-300-290-300
Welcome BonusGet Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets!*$1,000 First Bet on CaesarsBet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets
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Bet on the NL East Winner HereBET HEREBET HEREBET HERE

*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.

Check Out Other MLB Division Futures

NL East Division Winner FAQ

Who Won the NL East in 2023?

Who Is the Favorite to Win the NL East in 2024?

Who Was the Last Team to Win the Division Before the Atlanta Braves Run?

Who Has the Most NL East Division Titles?

Can you Wager on a Team to Win the NL East in the Middle of the Regular Season?

When Will the NL East Winner Be Announced?


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Kody Malstrom

132 Articles

Kody Malstrom is a sports betting journalist with six years of writing experience in the industry. He covers an abundance of sports, including College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, and more. Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a devoted Detroit Sports fan and spends his Sundays rooting for the Detroit Lions while telling himself this year is the year they win it all. When not staring at betting markets, Kody spends his free time at the beach in the summer or snowboarding in the winter.

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