Best NRFI Bets Today: Continue to Fade the Yankees Without Aaron Judge

With the reigning AL MVP Aaron Judge on the sideline, Davis Martin has a great opportunity to get off to a hot start by taking advantage of the New York Yankees struggles with making contact. Shortly after their opening pitch, we turn our attention towards the San Diego Padres and St. Louis Cardinals with a pair of productive arms facing off against two underwhelming lineupes. Judge's absence is already causing a major shakeup in the latest AL MVP odds as secondary contenders look to capitalize.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today.

Best NRFI Bets for Tuesday, June 16

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Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees - Davis Martin vs. Gerrit Cole (7:05 PM, EST)

With Davis Martin on the mound, expect the New York Yankees to continue to struggle with barreling up the ball as the Chicago White Sox pitcher excels at avoiding contact.

Under 0.5 Run (-130) at BetMGM Sportsbook

While the New York Yankees World Series odds have steadily risen, their offense has yet to look like a championship contending unit, ranking well below league average in Hit Rate. This disconnect suggests oddsmakers are banking heavily on their elite pitching, as their inability to make contact at a high rate makes them vulnerable to falling into prolonged scoring lulls, lowering their chances of winning.

Heading into Tuesday night’s contest against the Chicago White Sox, expect the Yankees struggles with making contact to continue to persist as they face off against Davis Martin who is averaging a FIP of 2.39 while giving up less than one Hit Against per inning. Especially with his back end excelling in coverage, surrounding Martin with a group who ranks seventh in Defensive Efficiency.

In an attempt to match Martin’s hot start, the Yankees roll out former Cy Young winner Gerrit Cole who is averaging an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.045 in four starts. His dominant early form has already begun to shift the live Cy Young odds in his favor. With the White Sox also underwhelming in their efforts of making contact, expect Cole to continue to create Whiffs at a consistent rate and keep a clean sheet in the first inning.

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San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals - Michael King vs. Andre Pallante (7:45 PM, EST)

The San Diego Padres must take advantage of Michael King’s start against the St. Louis Cardinals if they want to avoid falling further behind the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Under 0.5 Run (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, the San Diego Padres Michael King has been efficient with his starts, averaging an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.153. King’s success on the mound stems from his low opposing contact rate, generating less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.

Fortunately for King, he will be able to build on his momentum against the St. Louis Cardinals by attacking an offense who struggles with making contact per their below league average mark in Hit Rate. King’s back end will also narrow the width of the Cardinals gaps in the outfield with their coverage, starting a group who currently leads the league in Fielding Percentage.

On the other side of the field, Andre Pallante is projected to get the start for the Cardinals, a productive arm in their rotation who is averaging an ERA of 3.88 and less than two Walks per game. With the Padres ranking dead last in Hit Rate, RBIs, and in On Base Percentage, expect Pallante to neutralize their bats while attacking the strike zone and exit the first inning without giving up a Run.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs - Ryan Feltner vs. Edward Cabrera - With Ryan Feltner on the mound, the Chicago Cubs will be able to get off to a hot start by exploiting an arm who is averaging an ERA of 5.20 while generating less than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.

• Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros - Framber Valdez vs. Hunter Brown - Expect the Houston Astros top of their order to open up the scoring in the first inning against Detroit as they face off against Framber Valdez who is averaging an ERA of 4.40, a WHIP of 1.339, and a FIP of 4.47.

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