Best NRFI Bets Today: Back Lambert Against the Reeling Detroit Tigers

With the Detroit Tigers incapable of generating Hits at a high rate, the Houston Astros Peter Lambert is in a great position to get off to a hot start as he excels at avoiding contact. Later in the afternoon, expect no Runs to be scored in the first inning between the Los Angeles Angels and Arizona Diamondbacks with a pair of productive arms taking the mound.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today.

Best NRFI Bets for Wednesday, June 17

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Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros - Casey Mize vs. Peter Lambert (2:10 PM, EST)

With the Detroit Tigers harshly regressing on offense, expect the Houston Astros Peter Lambert to make quick work of the top of their order and hold them scoreless in the first inning.

Under 0.5 Run (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After relinquishing their lead in the AL Central, the Detroit Tigers have fallen into a harsh slump, tumbling down to the bottom half of the board in Hit Rate, RBIs, Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. Their lack of production on offense brings in a higher amount of negative variance into their contests, lowering their chances of winning. As a result, their AL Central odds have steadily plummeted as they struggle to regain their early-season form.

Unfortunately for the Tigers, their struggles on offense will be on full display against the Houston Astros as they battle it out against Peter Lambert who is averaging an ERA of 3.47 and a FIP of 3.91. Especially with Lambert’s success on the mound stemming from his low opposing contact rate, giving up less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.

On the other side of the field, negative regression looms large over the Astros as they face off against Casey Mize who is averaging a WHIP of 0.965 while generating more than one Strikeout per inning. The Tigers back end will also narrow the width of the Astros gaps in the outfield, surrounding Mize with a group who ranks above league average in Fielding Percentage.

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Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - Sam Aldegheri vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (3:40 PM, EST)

Expect the Los Angeles Angels and Arizona Diamondbacks to get off to a slow start while battling it out against two productive arms on the mound.

Under 0.5 Run (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Like the Tigers, the Los Angeles Angels have also been unable to break out of their cold stretch of play, residing in the bottom half of the board in Hit Rate and in On Base Percentage. Their struggles with getting on base makes it tough for them to advance into scoring position, making them vulnerable to falling into prolonged scoring lulls.

Heading into Wednesday’s contest against the Arizona Diamondbacks, expect the Angels to continue to be held off the bases as they face off against Eduardo Rodrgiuez who is averaging an ERA of 2.55 while supported by a defense who ranks fourth in Defensive Efficiency. With the Angels also leading the league in Strikeout Rate, expect Rodriguez to create Whiffs at a higher rate and neutralize their bats at the plate.

Locked into a pitchers duel with Rodriguez is Sam Aldegheri, a rotational arm who is averaging an ERA of 2.12 and a FIP of 3.86. With the Diamondbacks also grading out poorly in Hit Rate, Aldegheri will be able to continue to avoid contact while attacking the strike zone and keep a clean sheet in the first inning.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves - Robbie Ray vs. JR Ritchie - With Robbie Ray on the mound, the Atlanta Braves will be able to open up the scoring early as the NL East leaders face off against an arm who is averaging an ERA of 4.42, a WHIP of 1.391, and a FIP of 5.25. This pitching advantage is a key reason why Atlanta remains the heavy favorite in the current NL east odds.

• Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals - Luinder Avila vs. Zack Littell - Expect the Washington Nationals to get off to a hot start as they face off against the Kansas City Royals Luinder Avila who is averaging a WHIP of 1.813 and a defense who ranks below league average in Defensive Efficiency.

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