Best NRFI Bets Today: Expect Montero to Neutralize the Orioles Offense

With Baltimore’s lineup struggling to make contact, Keider Montero has a great opportunity to get off to a hot start and hold the Orioles scoreless in the first inning. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets with a pair of productive arms set to take the mound.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Predictions Today.

Best NRFI Bets for Monday, July 27

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers - Kyle Bradish vs. Keider Montero (6:40 PM, EST)

Expect no Runs to be scored in the first inning with the Baltimore Orioles and Detroit Tigers struggling to make contact at a consistent rate.

Under 0.5 Run (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, the Detroit Tigers Keider Montero has been efficient, averaging an ERA of 3.14, a WHIP of 0.962, and a FIP of 3.57. Montero’s success this season stems from his pin point accuracy and command of the ball, giving up less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.

Heading into Monday night’s contest against the Baltimore Orioles, Montero will be able to build on his momentum by taking advantage of a lineup who ranks below league average in Hit Rate and in OPS. Especially with Montero’s back end excelling in coverage at all three levels of the field, surrounding him with a defense who resides in the top-10 in Defensive Efficiency.

On the other side of the field, Kyle Bradish is projected to get the start for the Orioles, a productive arm who is averaging an ERA of 3.49 and a FIP of 3.95 while generating nearly one Strikeout per inning. With the Tigers grading out equally as poor as the Orioles in Hit Rate, Bradish will be able to consistently create Whiffs and keep a clean sheet in the first inning

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Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets - Martin Perez vs. Zac Thornton (7:10 PM, EST)

With Zac Thornton on the mound, the Atlanta Braves will continue to struggle with getting on base, resulting in a quick exit out of the first inning.

Under 0.5 Run (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After going 7-3 in their last ten games, the Atlanta Braves odds of winning the NL East have steadily grown, possessing a 5.5 game lead for first in the division standings. Even during their recent hot stretch of play, the Braves have harshly regressed on offense, falling down to the bottom half of the board in On Base Percentage. Despite these offensive struggles, their NL East odds remain highly favorable.

In a divisional matchup against the New York Mets, the Braves struggles with getting on base are poised to persist as they face off against Zac Thornton who is averaging an ERA of 1.93 and a FIP of 2.98. Even with his back end underwhelming in coverage, Thornton is able to mask it by putting opposing batters in low quality contact scenarios, conceding less than one Hit per inning.

Like Thornton, the Braves Martin Perez has also been able to get into a groove this season, kicking off his 2026 campaign with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.195. With the Mets ranking near the bottom of the board in Hit Rate, RBIs, Runs Scored, and in OPS, expect Perez to keep them off the bases while generating Strikeouts at a higher rate and exit the first inning without giving up a Run.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals - Max Scherzer vs. Andrew Alvarez - With Max Scherzer on the mound, the Washington Nationals will be able to open up the scoring early by exploiting an arm who is averaging an ERA of 10.23 and a WHIP of 1.727.

• Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants - Brandon Sproat vs. Tyler Mahle - Expect the NL Central division leaders to get into scoring position from the opening pitch by attacking an arm who is averaging an ERA of 5.31 while supported by a defense who ranks 26th in Fielding Percentage. Given these matchup advantages, monitoring the latest NL Central odds could yield sharp value on Milwaukee's early-game props and division futures.

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