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Best YRFI Bets Today: Start Your Saturday With These Two YRFIs

Written by: Kody Malstrom
Published April 20, 2024
11 min read
Mariners vs Rays September Predictions

We start off our Saturday backing the first two YRFIs on the slate, targeting a pair of pitchers having to go against intriguing young batting lineups with positive regression looming large over their bats. Nestor Cortes has been a popular fade target for our YRFIs, making his fifth appearance this season and fifth appearance in this daily series. For more information about YRFIs and what factors into them being worth a wager, you can read it here.

As for where to wager on YRFIs, FanDuel Sportsbook has continued to be the best sportsbook for the market as they routinely put out lines before anyone else and are at very favorable odds when compared to the rest of the mobile apps. If you have not signed up yet with FanDuel Sportsbook, you can collect $200 in bonus bets for simply signing up and winning your first bet of at least $5 wagered. Be sure to lay the $5 on a heavy favorite after signing up, maximizing your chances of winning and collecting the $200 in bonus bets.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees - Zach Eflin vs. Nestor Cortes (1:05 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (-109) at FanDuel

Like we do when Patrick Corbin takes the mound, Nestor Cortes has thrust himself into instant fade territory as he continues to regress this season. While his overall numbers are better as a whole than Corbin, his hyper-aggressiveness to throw across the plate has left him prone to early scoring to the benefit of the YRFI.

It is worth noting that Cortes has steadily improved in his last two outings, but his overall metrics still make him worth a wager. Cortes goes into this matchup with an ERA of 4.50, a WHIP of 1.136, 19 strikeouts, 20 hits allowed, five batters walked, and 11 earned runs against in four games played. His number of games played already this season is especially intriguing as most pitchers make their fourth appearance at this point of the season.

While five games hardly spells potential burnout, his short window between appearances will wear him down over the full course of the season. As for this matchup, any signs of slowing down will be immediately punished as he faces a strong top of the Rays batting lineup. A lineup that features an elite blend of power and contact ability with Yandy Diaz and Randy Arozarena kicking things off.

Speaking of the Rays, they trot out Zach Eflin who is also making his fifth appearance this season. Like Cortes, Eflin is also a very aggressive pitcher who prefers to deal a majority of his damage across the middle of the plate. Eflin comes into the contest with an ERA of 4.63, a WHIP of 1.200, 20 strikeouts, 26 hits allowed, two batters walked, and 12 earned runs against.

Eflin will be in a very uncomfortable position heading into this matchup as his own aggressiveness may come back to bite him against the lethal Yankees top of their order. Juan Soto possesses a keen eye that can extend at-bats should Eflin try to avoid him, putting pressure on the pitcher to avoid putting him on base with Aaron Judge up next. Expect Eflin to try and continue to punch out across the middle with disastrous results and early-inning runs.

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins - Reese Olson vs. Bailey Ober (2:10 PM, EST)

Over 0.5 Run (+110) at FanDuel

While the previously mentioned matchup between the Rays and Yankees features two above average hitting teams, the Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins have drastically under performed with their at bats per preseason expectations. Nevertheless, positive regression looms large for these two teams, especially with both of them facing an underwhelming pitcher in this matchup.

Starting with the Twins, they field Bailey Ober who has had a forgettable start to his 2024 campaign. Ober goes into this matchup with a lowly ERA of 6.57, a WHIP of 1.459, 15 hits allowed, three batters walked, and nine earned runs against. He also only has 11 total strikeouts, indicating that he has struggled to punch opposing batters out in order to avoid dangerous contact situations.

As for the Tigers, they go deep into their lineup with Reese Olson making his fourth appearance this season. While he has fared far better than his counterpart with just an ERA of 3.86, he has also flirted with disaster with a high WHIP metric of 1.469. That is nearly two batters on base per inning, meaning the Twins may find themselves with someone in scoring position to potentially cash this YRFI.

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Kody Malstrom

80 Articles

Kody Malstrom is a sports betting journalist with six years of writing experience in the industry. He covers an abundance of sports, including College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, and more. Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a devoted Detroit Sports fan and spends his Sundays rooting for the Detroit Lions while telling himself this year is the year they win it all. When not staring at betting markets, Kody spends his free time at the beach in the summer or snowboarding in the winter.

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