MLB Hits Leader Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks 2024: The Last Stretch of Regular Season

• Bobby Witt Jr enters the last stretch of play with a sizable lead for most Hits this season

• Luis Arraez is still in contention for most Total Hits after a hot stretch of play

• Injuries to both Trea Turner and Freddie Freeman knocked them out of contention

With one week remaining in the regular season, Bobby Witt Jr is inching closer to securing the Hits leader award as he continues to pace the rest of the league. If it wasn’t for Aaron Judge putting together another magical season, then an argument could be made that Witt should be the sizable betting favorite for the AL MVP award due to his consistent high level of play.

As for the rest of the preseason favorites, Luis Arraez is still in contention after a hot stretch of play helped him cut the deficit for first in half. The issue for the Padres batter is that time is not on his side, needing Witt to go through a slump in order for him to steal the award at the last second. Freddie Freeman and Trea Turner have also managed to climb up the board, yet their absence from play proved to be too much to overcome as there is not enough time remaining for them to secure another piece of hardware.

MLB Hits Leader Odds

Important note: The MLB Hits Leader market is closed for this season. Check back with us soon, as we will post next season's Hits Leader analysis as soon as odds become available. In the mean time, explore other betting markets by checking our guide on the best MLB betting sites.

MLB Hits Leader Predictions and Favorites to Win

Ronald Acuna Jr +750 at FanDuel

After entering the year with the second shortest odds to win the World Series, the Atlanta Braves are staring at a reality where they miss the playoffs entirely. Entering the last stretch of the play, the Braves are two games back from the New York Mets in the wildcard standings for the last wildcard spot in the playoffs.

Their drop-off in offensive production due to injuries proved to be too much for them to overcome, desperately missing reigning NL MVP and Total Hits leader Ronald Acuna Jr at the top of their order. After tearing his ACL and getting shelved for the rest of the season, the Braves offense as a whole quickly found themselves in the bottom half of the board for Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage.

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Luis Arraez +800 at FanDuel

Even after cutting into Witt Jr’s lead, Luis Arraez looks like he will once again come up short with only a handful of games left to be played. Still a magical season for the San Diego Padres leadoff man, yet another disappointing finish for one of the league’s best contact hitters in the league.

Fortunately for Arraez, he will find himself playing a major role in the Padres' success in October as San Diego inches closer to securing a spot in the playoffs. They certainly have the offense to contend with the best of them, getting the chance to open up the scoring early with Arraez elite contact ability in the top of their order. Should the Padres be able to maintain their high marks on offense, then they may be worth a longshot to win the World Series.

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Freddie Freeman +1100 at FanDuel

After leaving the team for a week to tend to a family emergency, Freddie Freeman has seemingly picked up where he left off as he continues to terrorize opposing pitchers with his elite blend of power and contact ability. With Freeman back in the top of the Dodgers order, they have as good a chance as any to make a deep run in October.

Especially when he is surrounded by Mookie Betts and current MVP front-runner Shohei Ohtani, fielding three-star caliber players who can take any opposing pitcher deep from the jump. Scarier yet, the Dodgers are also expected to welcome back more key players over the next few weeks, giving them much-needed depth to help support a deep run in the playoffs. While Freeman is out of contention for a Hits leader award, he will be even more thrilled to bring home a World Series.

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Bo Bichette +1100 at Caesars

It has been as rough a 2024 campaign as Bo Bichette could ask for as he struggled to generate any sort of consistent batting production before suffering a season-ending injury. His struggles plagued him since the start of the year, swiftly falling down the board after entering the year as one of the betting favorites to lead the league in Hits.

His level of play was so bad it got to the point the Toronto Blue Jays were toying with the idea of putting him on the trade block. His injury forced them to keep him for the rest of the season, creating intrigue on whether they will move forward with the former star batter or not. After a horrendous season that resulted in Toronto missing the playoffs, a reset may be the best option for them moving forward.

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Trea Turner +1900 at FanDuel

Like Freddie Freeman, a lengthy absence also ruled Trea Turner out of contention for winning his third Total Hits leader award. Even while out for more than a month, Turner still managed to crack the top-50 for most Total Hits due to his consistent high level of play.

Turner will look to continue to be a productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies in October as they enter the playoffs with the second shortest odds to win the World Series. They certainly have the offense needed to make a run in October as they rank well above league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Every bit of their elite production will be needed as they will most likely have to get through the Los Angeles Dodgers to play in the World Series.

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Who Will Lead the League in Hits for the 2024 Season?

My Pick - Jung Hoo Lee (+4500) at FanDuel

After entering the year as a highly touted prospect, Jung Hoo Lee’s 2024 campaign was disappointing to say the least. Lee struggled to generate consistent production since making his debut, eventually getting shut down for the rest of the season after suffering an injury when he collided with the wall in the outfield.

Since getting shelved, the San Francisco Giants offense suffered in the process as they ticked down to below league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. Their lack of offensive production also decreased their level of play as a whole, taking themselves out of wildcard contention as the losses racked up at an alarming rate.

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MLB Hits Leader History

With the season ending injury to Ronald Acuna Jr, we are now guaranteed to see a new name at the top of the Total Hits leaderboard. Luis Arraez is currently in second place as he looks to redeem himself after just missing out on the title last year when he paced the whole league for first before an injury sidelined him. 

Down the board, Freddie Freeman is still hovering in the top-40’s after having to miss some time while dealing with a family emergency. Two time Hits leader champion Trea Turner made his return from injury, but his hopes of winning a third title looks bleak after he drastically dropped down the board during his absence.

MLB Past Hits Leader Winners

How to Read MLB Hits Leader Odds

Before making any sort of wager, it’s vital to know how the listed odds work. While there are currently no (-) favorites in this market, we may see a player be listed at -130 midway into the season. Should Jung Hoo Lee have a commanding lead later in the year and see his odds at -130 then that means you would need to wager $130 to win $100. By taking him at plus odds like +4500, that means $100 would profit you $4,500.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the Hits Leader

With the legalization of sports betting in the US comes an abundance of online sportsbooks. This gives us the ability to line shop as Jung Hoo Lee’s odds of leading the league in hits are different with each book. The hits leader market is currently off the board for all sportsbooks, yet it may come back at some point in the middle of the season. Should the hits leader market return during the middle of the season, be sure to have access to as many sportsbooks as you can as the odds may drastically vary for each player. Jung Hoo Lee for example was as high as +4500 and as low as +2500 at the start of the season, being a difference of $2000 in profit for a $100 bettor.

Not only does the difference in odds make it enticing enough to have as many mobile sportsbooks as you can get, but each book also gives out their own unique new user sign up bonus. Caesars Sportsbook for example, is giving new users up to $1,000 back in the form of bonus bets should they lose their first wager with the WSN promo code WSN1000.

*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.