Alsco Uniforms 300 (Xfinity Series) Predictions, Picks, Odds

  • Once again, Ty Gibbs is the Xfinity Series favorite, even with questionable stats.
  • Vegas native Noah Gragson needs to climb just one more rung on the ladder.
  • It would be a mistake to ignore defending race winner AJ Allmendinger.

Alsco Uniforms 300 Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Driver Odds
Ty Gibbs +450
Noah Gragson +450
AJ Allmendinger +700
Justin Allgaier +800
Josh Berry +800
Daniel Hemric +900
Brandon Jones +1400
Sam Mayer +1500

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Alsco Uniforms 300

The NASCAR Xfinity Series returns to Las Vegas Motor Speedway, the first bread-and-butter 1.5-mile intermediate speedway on the schedule this season, after the season opener at Daytona’s superspeedway and last week’s event at two-mile Auto Club Speedway in Fontana, California.

The Alsco Uniforms 300, the second leg of NASCAR’s West Coast Swing, will be contested over 200 laps (300 miles), with stage breaks scheduled after 45 and 90 laps. AJ Allmendinger is the defending winner of this race.

Alsco Uniforms 300 Predictions

Once Again, Ty Gibbs Is the Xfinity Series Favorite. Is That Status Justified?

Clearly, Ty Gibbs is the darling of oddsmakers when it comes to handicapping NASCAR Xfinity Series races. One has to wonder, however, where those who establish the betting lines are getting their information.

Sure, Gibbs won his Xfinity Series debut last year at the Daytona Road Course and proceeded to claim victory in three of his first 10 races, a stretch that included eight top-five results.

But in his last 10 starts, dating to last year’s Indianapolis Grand Prix, Gibbs has posted just two top 10s (including a win). He was the odds-on choice to win the first two races of the 2022 season but ran 11th at Daytona and 13th at Fontana.

So while Gibbs got off to a spectacular start last year, what he’s done lately belies his status as the favorite to win every week.

As a consequence, we recommend avoiding a bet on Gibbs to win (+450 via DraftKings) until he proves he can get back to Victory Lane on a regular basis.

As He Heads to His Home Track, We Like the Direction of Noah’s Arc

Noah Gragson enters Saturday’s Alsco Uniforms 300 second in the NASCAR Xfinity Series standings, just one point behind leader AJ Allmendinger, who was regular-season champion in 2021.

Gragson finished third in the Xfinity season opener at Daytona. A week later, he was runner-up to double-duty driver Cole Custer at Auto Club Speedway in Fontana, Calif. If Gragson can improve the latter finish by one position, he’ll have his first victory of the season.

That’s certainly within the realm of possibility. In six starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, the 23-year-old Sin City native has finished no worse than sixth. He was runner-up in the fall race of 2020 and posted third-place results in 2019 and 2021.

We believe Gragson will take the final step toward Victory Lane and win at his home track on Saturday.

So place your bet at +450 via DraftKings.

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Ignore Defending Race Winner AJ Allmendinger at Your Own Peril

AJ Allmendinger has but two NASCAR Xfinity Series starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway—both last year. In his maiden voyage at the 1.5-mile track last March, the driver of the No. 16 Kaulig Racing Chevrolet started 10th, finished fourth in Stage 1, climbed to second in Stage 2 and won the race, leading 44 of the 200 laps.

That was a good indication of the kind of season Allmendinger was going to have. He won the regular-season championship and finished fourth in the final standings.

Allmendinger returns to Las Vegas once again leading the Xfinity Series standings after running second to Austin Hill in the season opener at Daytona and finishing seventh after earning the pole position at Fontana.

Allmendinger has a new crew chief this season (Bruce Schlicker), but the acclimation process clearly hasn’t encountered many speed bumps so far.

After winning the pole on Friday, he’s a strong choice to defend his race win from 2021 (+700 via DraftKings).

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How to Watch Alsco Uniforms 300

Event Information
Race Alsco Uniforms 300 NASCAR Xfinity Series race
Location Las Vegas Motor Speedway
Time Saturday, March 5, 4:30 p.m. ET
How to Watch FS1

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Reid Spencer

Expert on NASCAR

Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]