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NASCAR Cup Series Championship Predictions, Odds, Picks 2024

Written by: Reid Spencer
Updated January 16, 2024
8 min read
  • Joey Logano looks to keep Team Penske championship streak alive.

  • If talent is your barometer, you can’t ignore Kyle Larson’s chances.

  • William Byron’s career trajectory is likely to produce a championship.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Betting Odds

Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook. Click the odds below to place your bets at DraftKings.

William Byron+550
Kyle Larson+550
Ryan Blaney+750
Denny Hamlin+800
Chase Elliott+850
Christopher Bell+900
Martin Truex Jr.+1000
Kyle Busch+1200
Joey Logano+1200
Tyler Reddick+1400
Ross Chastain+1400

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NASCAR Cup Series Championship Predictions

NASCAR Cup Championship Predictions

Joey Logano Looks to Earn Third Straight Cup Title for Team Penske

The past two NASCAR Cup Series seasons have followed a strikingly similar pattern—less-than-stellar results for the Team Penske Fords in the first two-thirds of the campaign, followed by a late-season surge and a title run in the Championship 4 finale.

In 2022, it was Joey Logano who claimed his second career championship with a victory at Phoenix Raceway. A year later, Ryan Blaney didn’t score his second victory of the season until the Playoff race at Talladega in October.

The driver of the No. 12 Team Penske Ford won at Martinsville to advance to the Championship 4 at Phoenix and earned the title with a second-place finish to Ross Chastain in the final race.

Blaney’s championship season may prove to be a breakout performance that has been overdue, but the way we see it, Logano is still the alpha driver at Ream Penske. He and two-time champion Kyle Busch are the only active drivers in the Cup Series with more than one title.

So if you’re looking for a championship hopeful at longer odds, we suggest Logano at +1200 via DraftKings Sportsbook.  

Based on Talent Alone, Kyle Larson Should Win Another Cup Title

Kyle Larson has no idea what makes race cars work. He just knows how to drive them to optimum effect. That’s what led him to a 10-win season and a Cup Series championship in 2021.

Larson spent the most recent NASCAR offseason doing Larson things. In November—after winning four races Cup races and finishing second in the standings—Larson won the Hangtown 100 for midget race cars at Placerville (Calif.) Speedway and followed with his fourth career victory in the Turkey Night Grand Prix at Ventura on Thanksgiving weekend.

On January 14, he picked up his first victory at Voda Speedway Park in New Mexico, winning the 50-lap feature for super late models. Did we mention that Larson can drive just about anything?

The 2024 season already is guaranteed to be landmark campaign for the driver of the No. 5 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet. On May 26, Larson will make his debut in an IndyCar in the Indianapolis 500.

Later that same day, he’ll race in the NASCAR Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte. If Larson completes every lap in each race, he’ll be in a car for a total of 1,100 miles over roughly 12 hours.

Larson has the talent to cap an eventful year with a second Cup championship, and we might be tempted to back him at +550 at DraftKings if we didn’t like his teammate more.

A Cup Championship Is the Next Logical Step for William Byron

Despite his unlikely path to the upper echelons of NASCAR’s premier series, William Byron has followed a career arc that has been almost entirely positive.

The driver of the No. 25 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet began his career in the virtual world, racing online against the top cyber racers in the business.

Once on real asphalt, Byron made the transition with remarkable ease. In 2016, his first full year of competition in the NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series, Byron led the division with seven victories.

In his rookie season in the NASCAR Xfinity Series in 2017, Byron won four races and the championship. His rise in the NASCAR Cup Series has been steady, if not meteoric.

Byron picked up his first Cup victory in 2020 and has since posted nine more wins, culminating in a series-best six in 2023. He qualified for the Championship 4 last season and finished third in the final standings.

We believe Byron still has plenty of room to grow, and we expect him to win his first Cup title in 2024. Like Larson, he’s offered at +550 via DraftKings.

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Reid Spencer

222 Articles

Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]

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