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Image for Reid Spencer Reid Spencer - Updated October 27, 2022

Alsco Uniforms 302 Predictions: Gragson Has an Average Finish of 3.6 at the Track

  • Saturday’s race arguably will be the most competitive in the series this season.
  • Playoff driver AJ Allmendinger is an undervalued asset at the Sin City track.
  • Hailie Deegan makes her Xfinity Series debut with NASCAR history on the line.

Alsco Uniforms 302 Betting Odds

Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook. Sign up, place a bet and get a $1000 deposit bonus!

Noah Gragson+250
Ty Gibbs+300
Justin Allgaier+400
Trevor Bayne+600
Josh Berry+1000
AJ Allmendinger+1200
Sam Mayer+1500
Brandon Jones+2000
Austin Hill+2500
John Hunter Nemechek+2500
Sheldon Creed+3000

Our Picks for the Alsco Uniforms 302

Noah Gragson to win the race at +250

AJ Allmendinger to finish in the top three at +250

Trevor Bayne to beat Justin Allgaier head-to-head at +120



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Alsco Uniforms 302

Alsco Uniforms 302 Predictions

It’s Hard to Pick Between Drivers with Excellent Records at Las Vegas

As the Round of 8 in the NASCAR Xfinity Series Playoffs gets underway at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, Saturday’s Alsco Uniforms 302 promises to be one of the most competitive races of the season.

Why? Because the top Playoff drivers sport excellent records at the 1.5-mile intermediate track. Favorite Noah Gragson, for example, boasts six top fives in seven Las Vegas starts, with a runner-up finish in the 2022 March race.

Gragson, who leads the Playoff standings, has an average finish of 3.6 at the track. The Las Vegas native won this season’s two most recent races at 1.5-milers (Kansas and Texas).

Ty Gibbs won the March race in his second start in Sin City. Should he complete the season sweep on Saturday, he’ll become the second Xfinity Series driver to accomplish the feat, joining current Cup Series Playoff driver Chase Briscoe (2020).

Regular-season champion AJ Allmendinger can point to a victory and an average finish of 5.7 at the track. Justin Allgaier has eight top fives and 13 top 10s in 16 Vegas races, with an average finish of 7.9.

In this ultra-competitive environment, we like Gragson to find Victory Lane this week, based on his recent performance and the season-long speed in his car. We recommend betting on the driver of the No. 9 JR Motorsports Camaro at +250 via DraftKings Sportsbook.

AJ Allmendinger Is an Undervalued Asset at the Sin City Speedway

It’s undeniable that the Kaulig Racing Chevrolets haven’t been able to match the speed of the JR Motorsports cars this year, but that hasn’t prevented AJ Allmendinger from finding a way to win with what he has.

Admittedly, four of the Dinger’s five wins this season have come on road courses (and, yes, we picked him correctly in last Saturday’s race at the Charlotte ROVAL). But Allmendinger and Kaulig appear to be closing the performance gap as the Xfinity Playoffs head toward a conclusion.

The driver of the No. 16 Chevy picked up an oval-track win at Las Vegas last year, and though we don’t like him to repeat on Saturday, we think he’ll finish in the top three.

The good news is that it pays the same as Gragson to win (+250).

Hailie Deegan Makes Her Xfinity Debut with a Chance to Make History

When Hailie Deegan takes the green flag in her Xfinity debut on Saturday, she’ll be the 23rd female driver to compete in the series—and she’ll have a chance to make history.

Shawna Robinson holds the record for the best finish for a woman in an Xfinity debut; she ran 15th at Orange Country Speedway in Rougemont, N.C., in 1991. Danica Patrick is the highest female finisher in an Xfinity race all-time, having run fourth at Las Vegas in 2011.

Deegan will have decent equipment. Her No. 07 SS Greenlight Racing Ford will have support from Stewart-Haas Racing. Even so, Deegan will be hard-pressed to match Robinson’s 15th-place inaugural run.

We can’t find a bet involving Deegan that’s worth making. But we do like heavy underdog Trevor Bayne (+120) to beat Justin Allgaier heads-up. Though Bayne hasn’t run an Xfinity race at Las Vegas since 2014, he has never finished worse than eighth there and sports an average result of 5.4 in five starts at the track.



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How to Watch the Alsco Uniforms 302

RaceAlsco Uniforms 302 NASCAR Xfinity Series race
LocationLas Vegas Motor Speedway
TimeSaturday, October 15, 3 p.m. ET
How to WatchNBC

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Image for Reid Spencer


Reid Spencer

209 Articles

Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]

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