Chevy Silverado 250: This Talladega Superspeedway Race Is a Study in Unpredictably
- This total crapshoot at Talladega is the hardest race of the year to predict.
- Chandler Smith has the highest driver rating in this year’s field. Does it matter?
- Parker Kligerman is a bona fide stealth bomber in a race anyone can win.
Chevy Silverado 250 Betting Odds
|John Hunter Nemechek||+800 |
|Zane Smith||+900 |
|Ryan Preece||+900 |
|Chandler Smith||+900 |
|Corey Heim||+900 |
|Ty Majeski||+1000 |
|Grant Enfinger||+1000 |
|Christian Eckes||+1100 |
|Stewart Friesen||+1200 |
|Carson Hocevar||+1200 |
|Ben Rhodes||+1200 |
|Parker Kligerman||+1500 |
Our Picks for the Chevy Silverado 250
Parker Kligerman to win the race at +1500
Chandler Smith to finish in the top three at +300
Grant Enfinger to beat Stewart Friesen head-to-head at -120
Chevy Silverado 250 Predictions
This Talladega Superspeedway Race Is a Study in Unpredictably
There’s a reason why Chevy Silverado 250 favorite John Hunter Nemechek is posted at +800 instead of a more typical +400.
The very nature of superspeedway racing widens the realm of potential winners enormously. Cars race in tightly-bunched packs, side-by-side, bumper to bumper and inches apart.
Given the close-quarters nature of the competition, large multicar wrecks are commonplace, particularly near the ends of events with the trophy on the line. It’s not uncommon for favorites to be eliminated in “The Big One.”
Accordingly, the handicapper’s job is exponentially more difficult in a superspeedway race, but we’ll do our best in the sections that follow.
Chandler Smith Has the Highest Driver Rating in This Year’s Field
Despite all the disclaimers above, certain drivers seem to have a knack for avoiding trouble on the superspeedways and keeping their cars intact through the end of the race.
Chandler Smith has two NASCAR Camping World Truck Series starts at Talladega Superspeedway. In 2020, he finished third in his first race at the mammoth 2.66-mile track. Last year he was 19th. Smith was running at the finish of both races.
In addition, among the full-time Truck Series competitors entered in Saturday’s race, Smith, the points leader in the Playoff standings, has the highest average driver rating at 94.8.
Though we’re not picking Smith to win the race, we like him to finish in the top three at +300. We also like 2016 Talladega winner Grant Enfinger to beat Stewart Friesen heads-up at -120 in a battle of Playoff drivers.
Non-Playoff Driver Parker Kligerman Could Pull Off a Stunner
Part-time Truck Series driver Parker Kligerman is an all-or-nothing kind of guy when it comes to racing at Talladega Superspeedway.
His six starts there have produced two victories and a fourth-place finish. On the other hand, his other three Talladega races have ended prematurely with crashes.
But Kligerman is an accomplished racer. In 10 starts in the series this year, he has scored a victory at the Mid-Ohio Sports Car Course, as well as five other top 10s.
Kligerman doesn’t have to worry about protecting his position in the Playoffs—as a part-timer, he’s not competing for the title. Hence, we expect a stress-free Kligerman to score his third victory at Talladega on Saturday.
And we like the odds, too—+1500 via DraftKings Sportsbook.
How to Watch the Chevy Silverado 250
|Race||Chevy Silverado 250 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series Race|
|Time||Saturday, Oct. 1, 12:30 p.m. ET|
|How to Watch||FS1|
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Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]