United Rentals 200 Predictions, Picks, Odds (Camping World Truck Series)

  • Conflicting stats cloud John Hunter Nemechek’s status as Martinsville’s favorite.
  • Matt Crafton is two races away from a record-tying NASCAR Truck Series title.
  • You can expect Ben Rhodes to run near the front of the field at Martinsville.

United Rentals 200 Odds

Winner Odds
John Hunter Nemechek +350
Sheldon Creed +400
Grant Enfinger +1000
Chandler Smith +1000
Zane Smith +1000
Todd Gilliland +1000
Josh Berry +1200
Ben Rhodes +1200
Stewart Friesen +1400
Johnny Sauter +1500
Corey Heim +1600
Matt Crafton +1800
Carson Hocevar +2200
Austin Hill +2500

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The “forgotten series” returns to action Saturday at Martinsville Speedway with the United Rentals 200, an elimination race to determine which four drivers will compete for the NASCAR Camping World Truck Series championship the following Friday at Phoenix Raceway.

The trucks haven’t raced since Oct. 2 at Talladega Superspeedway, where non-Playoff driver Tate Fogelman picked up his first national touring series victory.

Saturday’s race, the first leg of a doubleheader with the NASCAR Xfinity Series, will be contested over 200 laps (105.2 miles) at the .526-mile paper-clip-shaped speedway, with stage breaks scheduled after 50 and 100 laps. Non-Playoff driver Grant Enfinger is the defending winner.

Does John Hunter Nemechek Really Deserve Favorite’s Role at Martinsville?

True enough, John Hunter Nemechek leads the NASCAR Camping World Truck Series in victories with five this season.

It’s also true that Nemechek won the regular-season championship and comes to the elimination race at Martinsville at the top of the standings with a one-point lead over second-place Ben Rhodes.

It’s also true that, among the eight remaining Playoff drivers, Nemechek is the most recent winner at the track, having taken the checkered flag there in the spring of 2018.

It’s also a fact, however, that Nemechek has finished 28th or worse in three of his last five Martinsville races. And his average finish there is 14.3, the worst among the eight drivers still eligible for the championship.

Nemechek is favored to win on Saturday, posted at +340 on PointsBet Sportsbook. But unlike drivers at the bottom of the standings, he doesn’t have to win to advance to the Championship 4. He simply has to stay out of trouble.

While we think Nemechek will run well on Saturday, we don’t think he’ll be the race winner.

If Experience Counts for Anything, Matt Crafton Is Your Man at Martinsville

Matt Crafton first raced at Martinsville Speedway in 2001, more than two years before fellow NASCAR Truck Series competitor Sam Mayer was born.

Crafton’s history at the track features 37 Truck Series starts, with two victories, 10 top fives, and 21 top 10s. His average finish at the track is 10.8, equaling that of ThorSport racing teammate Ben Rhodes.

In the first five races of this year’s Playoff, Crafton has finished in the top 10 four times, with the best result of second in at World Wide Technology Raceway.

And though he’s currently third in the standings, Crafton is only 10 points clear of fifth-place Stewart Friesen, the first driver below the cutoff for the final four.

Crafton, a three-time series champion seeking a fourth title, could use a win in his 38th Martinsville start. We think he gets it on Saturday. The real kicker? He’s listed at +1800 on PointsBet Sportsbook.

So start laughing—all the way to the bank.

Ben Rhodes Should Be Able to Run Near the Front All Day Long

In his last four starts at Martinsville, Ben Rhodes has finished fourth once and second twice, most recently in last year’s Playoff race.

As noted earlier, his average finish at the .526-mile track is 10.8. Rhodes is second in the standings, just one point behind John Hunter Nemechek.

The driver of the No. 99 ThorSport Toyota is 35 points above the cut line for the Championship 4, which gives him a certain freedom to race with the aggressiveness that typifies his style.

Rhodes is +1300 to win via PointsBet, and that’s a possibility, but we’re more inclined to bet he’ll finish in the top three—a +280 proposition via DraftKings Sportsbook.

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How to Watch United Rentals 200

United Rentals 200 Information
Race United Rentals 200 NASCAR Camping World Truck Series race
Location Martinsville Speedway
Time Saturday, October 30, 1 p.m. ET
How to Watch FS1

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Reid Spencer

Expert on NASCAR

Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]