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NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Friday 3/4/24

Written by: Grant Mitchell
Published March 4, 2024
8 min read

WSN is the place to get the best NBA player props and betting picks every day throughout the 2023-24 NBA season.

The Boston Celtics made history as the first team in league history to win three regular-season games by 50+ points in their 140-88 win over the Golden State Warriors, while the Oklahoma City Thunder went to first in the Western Conference with an eight-point win against the Phoenix Suns.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Monday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo link and get $150 in bonus bets if your first bet wins.

Best NBA Prop Bets Today March 4

Jaden McDaniels Under 9.5 Points (-118) at FanDuel

McDaniels is the near-perfect three-and-D wing complement to a team with a couple of other stars spearheading its offensive attack. That said, he only scored six points, did not make a three during last night’s loss to the Clippers, and went under this line in seven of his last 12 games (during which he averaged 9.1 points).

The Timberwolves just had a hard-fought defensive effort and are unlikely to come out playing their best offense on the second night of a back-to-back. The Portland Trail Blazers also allow the fifth-lowest three-point percentage (35%) to opponents, and McDaniels is primarily a three-point shooter who waits for swings and kick-outs from his teammates.

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Kawhi Leonard under 26.5 points (-120) at FanDuel

Like the Wolves’ players, Kawhi and the Clippers are playing basketball for the second straight night on Monday. Although he is an even 4-4 with overs and unders on the second night of a back-to-back and cashed the over in his last three outings, he could be in for a tough time in this matchup.

“The Klaw” struggled whenever he faced off against Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks, averaging 19.5 points and going under this total in their last five encounters. The Bucks also allowed the fifth-fewest points per 100 possessions over their last 15 games and are much better at home, which will make it tough for Kawhi and company.

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Taylor Hendricks Over 7.5 Rebounds (+108) at FanDuel

Hendricks is an athletic rookie from UCF who is currently making the most of his opportunity. Because Lauri Markknan and Walker Kessler are both out injured, Hendricks has been given the chance to move into a prominent role in the rotation and has averaged 27.4 minutes over his last five games.

The 20-year-old hit the over on this line in three of five games since having his minutes increased and just brought down 13 boards in a six-point loss against the Miami Heat on Saturday. He’s also facing a Washington Wizards squad that has the lowest rebound rate in the league, which should give him a manageable path to the over.

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Ayo Dosunmu Over 14.5 Points (+100) at FanDuel

Dosunmu has been playing solid basketball for more than a month, averaging 15.7 points, 4.1 assists, and 3.2 rebounds across his last 20 games. He also dropped 15 on 50% shooting against the Bucks’ tremendous defense his last time out and has overs in five of his last eight games.

The Chicago Bulls will take on the Sacramento Kings on Monday, and Ayo already scored 18 points against them when they matched up on Feb. 2. The Kings also have a lower defensive rating at home than they do on the road and like to play with pace, which should give the 24-year-old plenty of chances to get to his line.

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Anthony Davis Over 13.5 Rebounds (+100) at FanDuel

Although the Lakers are struggling as a team on the boards, Davis, who is third in the league with 12.3 rebounds per night, is not. He brought down double-digit boards in six straight games and is getting a favorable matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder on the second night of a back-to-back.

Although the Thunder are an outstanding team, they are just 29th in rebound rate and allowed the Suns’ Jusur Nurkic to haul in 31 rebounds last night. “AD” came up with 15, 14, and 11 rebounds in three previous matchups against this team and is a solid investment because of the ceiling against such a weak rebounding team.

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AUTHOR

Grant Mitchell

480 Articles

Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field.

In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.

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