NBA Player Props and Best Bets for Monday 3/11/24

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The Philadelphia 76ers took down the New York Knicks in the lowest-scoring matchup of the year, 79-73, while Anthony Davis’ monstrous night helped the Los Angeles Lakers take down the Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points.

Here are our favorite NBA player prop picks for Monday.

Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Use our FanDuel promo link and get $150 in bonus bets if your first bet wins.

Jalen Duren Over 13.5 Points (-122) at FanDuel

Duren has been pretty 50/50 around this line, cashing the over in four of his last eight games. However, he’s taking on a Charlotte Hornets team that, despite making clear defensive improvements, is still just about average in points in the paint allowed since the All-Star break.

The Hornets also like to deploy certain lineups that feature undersized centers, including Grant Williams, which could be a massive boost to the physical Duren. The Detroit Pistons have not played well recently but had a nice stretch not too long ago, and Duren could have the matchup to help them get back into the winning column.

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Draymond Green 8+ Assists (+250) at FanDuel

No Stephen Curry means that Draymond is going to have the ball in his hands initiating the offense the majority of the time that he’s on the court. Luckily for him, the San Antonio Spurs are 23rd in points allowed per 100 possessions and are pretty terrible everywhere on the court outside of the restricted area, or wherever Victor Wembanyama is stationed at the time.

To help Draymond’s case, the Golden State Warriors were beaten by the Spurs at home by 13 points on Saturday, a game that he finished with just four assists. Watch for the 2022 champions to come out with a fire in their bellies and a no-excuses mentality against one of the worst teams in the league.

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Nikola Vucevic Over 32.5 Points+Rebounds (-111) at FanDuel

The Vuc is on the loose! After a disappointing season (mostly on the defensive end), the 33-year-old center dropped at least 22 points and 11 rebounds in three straight games, beating his line in all of them while averaging 26 points and 11.3 rebounds in the process.

While there’s no guarantee that the former All-Star will continue his hot streak, he and the Chicago Bulls are taking on the Dallas Mavericks at the perfect time as they lost five of their last eight games. Dallas also ranks 27th in rebound rate and 30th in defensive rating since the All-Star break, which gives Vucevic a clear opportunity to have a strong day.

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Michael Porter Jr. Over 6.5 Rebounds (-106) at FanDuel

Porter Jr. went under this line in two straight games but went over in six of seven just before that and, at 6-foot-10, is an obvious rebounding threat against a Toronto Raptors squad that is missing some of its size with both Scottie Barnes and Jakob Poeltl out for the foreseeable future. As an added bonus, he’ll face off against his brother, Jontay Porter, which should give him extra motivation.

The Raptors had a period of improvement but have the third-worst rebound rate since the All-Star break. They also played at the third-fastest tempo during that span, which means that they were flying up and down the court but paid little attention to coming down with rebounds. This sets up to be a game with a lot of shots and a lot of misses, which is a perfect storm for rebounding overs.

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Darius Garland Under 23.5 Points (-122) at FanDuel

Garland will be without Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, and potentially Max Strus, along with several others. All of those injuries would lead one to believe that he will be in takeover mode and is destined for a strong scoring night, but his numbers, along with the matchup, don’t necessarily support that.

The 24-year-old only managed 14 points in his last outing and was held under 20 points in four of his last five outings. The Phoenix Suns will also be keenly aware that he is one of the few Cleveland Cavaliers players who can create his own shot and should put a heavy emphasis on slowing him down, not to mention that he could be pulled early if Cleveland starts to get blown out.

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