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Knicks vs Heat Game 4 Predictions: New York Aim to Recover From a Blowout Loss

Written by: Christian Jope
Published May 8, 2023
11 min read
  • The New York Knicks hope to get their offense back on track after an embarrassing Game 3 loss.
  • The Miami Heat have relished playing at home, going undefeated through the 2023 NBA Playoffs.
  • The Miami Heat lead the New York Knicks 2-1.

The New York Knicks and the Miami Heat have put on one of the most exciting playoff series post-season. After a blowout victory at home, the Miami Heat lead the New York Knicks 2-1 in the series. Now without homecourt advantage, the Knicks need to redeem themselves and find a way to enforce their offense against the Heat.

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Knicks vs Heat Odds

Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
New York Knicks+4.5 (-110)
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+155
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O 206.5 (-110)
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Miami Heat-4.5 (-110)
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-180
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U 206.5 (-110)
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Knicks vs Heat Game 4

What happened in Game 3?

The Miami Heat took Game 3 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series against the New York Knicks, winning 105-86 to take a 2-1 series lead. Despite shooting poorly from the field and beyond the arc, the Heat relied on their strong defense to hold off the Knicks, who also struggled shooting the ball. Returning from a sprained ankle injury, Jimmy Butler led the Heat with 28 points, while Jalen Brunson led the Knicks in scoring with 20 points.

Miami's defense has been the key to their success this season, and it was on full display in Game 3. The Heat's offense has struggled, ranking last in the league in scoring with an average of just 109.5 points per game. However, their strong defense in Game 3 helped them stay in games and come out on top. On the other side, the Knicks have been solid in Eastern Conference play, but they struggled to find their rhythm on offense in this matchup.

Game 4 of this series will take place on Monday, and the Knicks will look to bounce back after a disappointing performance in Game 3. With the series in Miami's favor, the Knicks will need to find a way to score more efficiently and overcome the Heat's strong defense to stay alive in the playoffs. The Heat, meanwhile, will look to build on their momentum and take a commanding 3-1 series lead.

Key Stats from Last Game

Shooting was not the focus when the Knicks and Heat played in Game 3. The two teams combined to shoot 15 of 72 from three-point range, with most of the success coming at the rim.

Regarding points in the paint, the Miami Heat had the decided advantage over the New York Knicks. Miami scored 50 points in the paint compared to New York's 36.

Ultimately, it was a blowout victory as the Knicks failed to lead the game at any point while the Heat were up by 22 at most.

Knicks vs Heat Game Preview

The Miami Heat and the New York Knicks are set to face off in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference second round, with the Heat leading the series 2-1. In their last matchup, the Heat dominated the Knicks 105-86, with Jimmy Butler leading the way for Miami with 28 points. Jalen Brunson was the top scorer for the Knicks with 20 points.

The New York Knicks have posted a road ATS Record of 28-16-1, covering the spread 63.6% of the time. The Knicks have a 1.0 margin of victory while playing on the road and an ATS +/- of +3.1. Given their recent form, New York must improve their performance to get back on track against the Heat.

The Miami Heat were a less prolific team on their home court during the regular season. Miami has a home ATS record of 18-26-2 while covering the spread 40.9% of the time. They had a 2.1 points margin of victory on their home court but an ATS +/- of -1.9.

New York Knicks Team Preview

New York Knicks ATS Record: 48-38-4

The New York Knicks performed poorly in their chance to take control of the series and will need to be more competitive if they want to bring the series level. In Game 4, the Knicks must take control of the paint, as their patented defense let them down from the tip.

In Game 3 of their Second Round series against the Heat, the Knicks scored just 86 points on 34.1% from the field and 20.0% from three-point range. They couldn't get their offense working on all cylinders, dishing out only 15 assists to 13 turnovers.
If they hope to bring the series level, the Knicks must find a way to overcome the Heat's defense.

Despite shooting poorly from the field, Brunson led the way for the Knicks with 20 points, eight assists, and six rebounds on 35.0% from the field. Julius Randle posted 10 points and 14 rebounds on 26.7% from the field.

Miami Heat Team Preview

Miami Heat ATS Record: 38-51-3

The Miami Heat continue to be brilliant on their home court. After taking down the New York Knicks in Game 3, the Miami Heat hope to put their opponents within a game of elimination with a win in Game 4.

In their Game 3 victory over the Knicks, Miami scored 105 points on 38.9% from the field and 21.9% from three-point range. Their dominance was felt in the paint, where the Miami Heat won the rebounding battle 50 to 48 while outscoring the Knicks by 14 points in the paint.

The Heat's defense decided Game 3, so they'll need to come out with the same effort to stop New York from leveling the series. After returning from injury, Jimmy Butler led the Miami Heat with 28 points, four rebounds, and three assists on 42.9% from the field while hitting 10 of his 11 free throws. Max Strus stepped up for the Heat in Game 3, posting 19 points and four assists on 50.0% from the field.

Knicks vs Heat Game Pick

Spread: Miami Heat -4.5 (-110)

Total: Over 206.5 (-110)

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How to Watch Knicks vs Heat

  • Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
  • Game Time & Date: 7:30 PM EST, Monday, May 8, 2023
  • TV: TNT
  • Streaming: YouTube TV, Hulu, Sling
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AUTHOR

Christian Jope

1484 Articles

Christian Jope is a writer, social media strategist, and data analyst. A Queen’s University Alumni, Christian is an author and social media strategist with Raptors Cage, while also working closely with MLSE and Canada Basketball through community-driven events.

Email: [email protected]

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