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After two stunning College Football Semi-Final matchups between the Georgia Bulldogs/Ohio State Buckeyes and Michigan Wolverines/TCU Horned Frogs, we finally have the College Football National Championship matchup.
The Bulldogs vs. Horned Frogs.
The Bulldogs won after the Buckeyes missed a field goal, and the Horned Frogs dropped 51 in a 51-45 win over the Wolverines.
The Bulldogs are sizable favorites over a team that no one expects to be all that competitive this year.
Below, we’ll give our best bets for the final game of the college football season.
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At nearly two touchdowns here, it’s hard to pass on TCU. Sure, the Bulldogs come from an SEC division that’s much more potent than the Big 12 that TCU plays in, but this TCU offense is legit.
Over their last three games, the Horned Frogs have posted two games with 50 or more points. They dropped 51 on Michigan and 62 against Iowa State.
While Iowa State isn’t remotely close to Georgia, Michigan isn’t all that far behind.
In fact, the Wolverines rank sixth in the nation in total defense, allowing just 292.1 yards per game, while the Bulldogs are 11th at 304.6.
Of those yards, Michigan allows 194.2 passing yards per game, while the Bulldogs allow 224.6 (65th in the nation).
So, the Bulldogs are more prone through the air, and the Horned Frogs have a quarterback in Max Duggan who’s thrown for 3,545 yards, 32 touchdowns, and just six interceptions this season. He also ranks eighth amongst all quarterbacks in yards per attempt (8.9) amongst those with at least 300 dropbacks.
Needless to say, this Horned Frogs team with wide receiver Quentin Johnston will look to provide some offense through the air.
The Bulldogs have some talent along the defensive line, but Jalen Carter is far and away the player to worry about the most. Other players along the line have played solid this season, but the TCU offensive line anchored by left tackle Brandon Coleman should be able to hold their own at least.
The Horned Frogs have some talent on defense, especially at the cornerback position with Tre’Vius Hodges-Tomlinson and Josh Newton. The Bulldogs have thrown the ball this year with quarterback Stetson Bennett. He has a completion rate of 67.8%, has over 3,800 yards, and 23 touchdown passes. He has stud tight ends in Brock Bowers and Darnell Washington, but his receivers are lacking compared to TCU.
The Bulldogs are a fantastic team, but so aren’t the Horned Frogs. Look for them to keep slinging the ball with Duggan against a more beatable secondary than the Wolverines.
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We mentioned that the Bulldogs defense is worse than that of the Wolverines, statistically speaking, so we’ll ride with the over here. The Bulldogs and Buckeyes combined for 87, and the Horned Frogs/Wolverines combined for 96.
Both teams can pass the ball well enough, and the Bulldogs also have an excellent rushing attack, with running back Kenny McIntosh averaging 5.4 yards per carry this year and 10 rushing touchdowns.
There should be plenty of offense through the air, and we think these teams go over. With the spread at 12.5 points, it’s understandable that the line is down here, but the Horned Frogs have a chance to cover that spread and win the game outright, so we’ll take the over.
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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