The Alabama Crimson Tide are coming off two losses in three games against Tennessee and LSU. This week, they travel to take on Ole Miss and the Lane Kiffin offense.
The Crimson Tide need some other teams to lose and for them to keep winning to make the playoff, so their backs aren’t really up against a wall—they may be fused with the wall at this point.
If they lose to Ole Miss, this will be one of the worst seasons for the Tide in quite some time.
Can Lane Kiffin best the Tide on his home field? Let’s find out with the best bets for this game.
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There’s something to be said about motivation in this game for Alabama. While they should pull out the victory, this isn’t the team that can dominate other competent competition and win by multiple scores.
Ole Miss is averaging nearly 83 offensive plays per game over the last three weeks. On the season, Alabama is averaging 75.7 and throws 59% of the time.
For Ole Miss, they throw just 41.8% of the time and for a good reason—running back Quinshon Judkins is fantastic. Judkins has over 1,000 yards on the season and averages nearly six yards per carry.
For their receivers, Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart has two solid weapons: Jonathan Mingo and Malik Heath. Tight end Michael Trigg has also contributed, catching 17 passes for 156 yards and three touchdowns.
Kiffin has always been known for his offensive prowess, and Ole Miss averages nearly 35 points per game to Alabama’s 41.8.
Again, we don’t think Ole Miss will win this one. Still, they should be able to run the ball well enough and do enough through the air on the outside against some beatable Crimson Tide cornerbacks to keep this one close.
Alabama wins this one 37-30.
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Judging by our predicted final score, we think this one will go over. The Alabama offense isn’t anything to be concerned with. However, their points per game average over the last three games is down from 41.8 to 36.7.
Quarterback Bryce Young went for over 325 yards against LSU but did have two turnover-worthy plays.
While the Ole Miss offense has performed well, their defense allowed 338 yards through the air to Conner Weigman and Texas A&M just last week. Over their last four games, they’ve given up nearly 34 points per game, including 28 to the now 3-6 Vanderbilt Commodores.
Both teams should touch 30 points, especially on Ole Miss’ home turf, but look for Young to showcase why he’s the likely No. 1 overall pick in the NFL draft.
They’ll win this game but won’t cover as the total goes over.
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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