To round out Week 4 of the NFL season, we have a Monday Night Football matchup between two NFC West teams—the Los Angeles Rams on the road against the San Francisco 49ers.
The offenses for these two teams haven’t been what you’d like to see, with the 49ers on the worse end. In Week 3, the 49ers, in their first full game with quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo back in the lineup as the starter, scored just 10 points.
There are plenty of question marks heading into this one regarding moneyline, spread, and totals, so here, we’ll look at three player props.
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Going up against a San Francisco 49ers defense that’s allowed less than 150 passing yards per game, it’s fair to question why we’d bet on a receptions total over 8.5. A player like Kupp could equate to more than 150 receiving yards by himself.
Week 3 was a rare down week for Kupp, but in the weeks prior, he had 29 targets against the Buffalo Bills and Atlanta Falcons.
Against the 49ers, he’ll line up wherever and whenever, but a primary matchup for him will be 49ers cornerback Deommodore Lenoir out of the slot.
Whether he faces him in the slot, Emmanuel Moseley, or Charvarious Ward on the outside, none of these players can contain Kupp.
And we get a +126 price? Yeah, sign us up.
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While Kupp, quarterback Matthew Stafford, and even wide receiver Allen Robinson may receive more attention from everyday fans, tight end Tyler Higbee is a great player in his own right.
To start the season, Higbee had nine targets in Week 1 and 2 but came back down to earth in Week 3, seeing four targets.
He’s averaging 57 yards per game but has yet to find the end zone.
Against the 49ers, he’ll see his fair share of linebacker Dre Greenlaw in coverage. Greenlaw has given up 15 catches on 16 targets for 117 yards.
So, if Higbee is matched up against his, Stafford should look his way, as there’s a great chance it’ll result in a positive play for the offense.
Five receptions should be more than doable here, and we’ll take that +100 tag.
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The 49ers offense is coming off a rough outing, and Jimmy G and the squad will need to start getting some things going.
Wide receiver Deebo Samuel may be shadowed by cornerback Jalen Ramsey in this one. Yes, Samuel is good enough to win some of those matchups. Still, Aiyuk has a far better matchup against fellow Rams cornerback and sixth-round rookie Derion Kendrick.
Aiyuk has 10 receptions on 17 targets this season for 142 yards and score and leads the team in both passing down snaps and snaps in which he’s running routes.
Given the Ramsey factor, Aiyuk should have a chance to do some damage here.
And yeah, that +190 tag is juicy.
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