Bills vs. Dolphins Same Game Parlay Picks: Josh Allen in a Position to Thrive

• Josh Allen is currently listed as the betting favorite to win the NFL MVP award

• Allen threw for 273 yards and 1 touchdown in last week’s win against Kansas City

• The Miami Dolphins' front seven ranks near dead last in Pass Rush PFF Grade

After throwing for 273 yards and 1 touchdown in last week’s potential AFC Conference championship preview against Kansas City, Josh Allen has seen his odds to win the NFL MVP award grow as he is now listed as the betting favorite to win the title. Heading into Sunday, Allen will be able to strengthen his claim for the award as he faces off against a Miami Dolphins defense who severely struggles in coverage.

Best Bills vs. Dolphins Same Game Parlay Picks

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Josh Allen Over 237.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After struggling with taking care of the ball earlier in his career, Josh Allen has been far more efficient with his throws this season as he currently ranks top-5 in Turnover Worthy Play Percentage. His efficiency has played a major role in his success as Allen also sits near the top of the board in Quarterback EPA per Play.

In Sunday’s AFC East divisional matchup against Miami, Allen will be able to put together another efficient performance as he faces off against a Dolphins defense who ranks well below league average in Pass Rush PFF Grade. With minimal pressure crashing down on him, Allen will be able to operate in a clean pocket which increases his chances of connecting with his pass catchers at a consistent rate.

For more info on the division standings, see our AFC East Odds and Predictions.

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Josh Allen Longest Completion Over 34.5 Yards (-120) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Miami’s struggles with bringing down the quarterback also hurts their ability to defend on the back end as their secondary ranks near dead last in Def DVOA and in EPA. With the Dolphins failing to collapse the pocket, opposing pass catchers have more time in the open field to break away from their coverage and generate an explosive play.

The Dolphins' heavy Blitz Rate also leaves them vulnerable to getting picked apart in the middle as their linebackers crashing down to the trenches leaves their cornerbacks in single coverage. This forces Miami’s secondary to cover more ground with less bodies spread across the field which hurts their chances of creating disruptions at the point of contact.

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De’Von Achane Over 60.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Speaking of explosive plays, De’Von Achane has been able to generate Yards After Contact at a high rate as the Dolphins running back ranks above league average in Yards Over Expected per Attempt. An impressive level of play when factoring in the low-quality running lanes he receives from his offensive line as the Dolphins' front five resides near the bottom of the board in Run Block Win Rate.

With the Bills' front seven struggling to stop the run as their low mark in Run Defense PFF Grade indicates, Achane will be able to consistently reach the second level of their defense when he gets past the line of scrimmage. For some more exposure, escalator bet Achane’s rushing yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.

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De’Von Achane Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

When inside the 20, Achane has been the focal point of the Dolphins' offense as he currently leads the team in total Red Zone Carries while also converting three of his four receptions into touchdowns. With the Dolphins able to sustain drives down the field by keeping the ball on the ground, Achane will see an uptick in his total number of scoring opportunities which increases his chances of finding the back of the end zone.

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