The season keeps rolling along as we dive into Week 11. Many teams need to keep the wins coming to secure a playoff spot.
We’re tackling Week 11 by creating a three-leg parlay over at DraftKings Sportsbook with +627 odds.
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The Panthers have been up and down the past few weeks, including a recent win at home over the Atlanta Falcons. However, two weeks ago, they got throttled by three touchdowns on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals.
This week, P.J. Walker is out, and Baker Mayfield is again the starting quarterback.
This season, Mayfield has attempted 173 passes and has completed 98 of them for 1,117 yards, six touchdowns, and four interceptions. He’s completing just 56.6% of his passes.
Mayfield has not been good when he’s played for the Panthers this year, and with him in the lineup, they may want to try to pass more instead of putting the ball in D’Onta Foreman’s hands.
Typically, against the Ravens, this would be a good game plan, but it’s impossible to trust Mayfield passing the ball. He’s had at least one turnover-worthy play in all but one game he’s appeared or started in and doesn’t pass the ball downfield (7.0 average depth of target).
The Ravens offense has been playing well lately, posting 27 points in back-to-back road games against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New Orleans Saints. The Ravens may also have tight end Mark Andrews back in this one, who will be Lamar Jackson’s No. 1 receiving threat.
Expect the Ravens to continue running the ball well and for Jackson to have plenty of production.
The Ravens win this one, 27-13.
The Eagles are coming off a Monday Night Football loss, and now they head out on the road to take on the Jeff Saturday-led Colts.
The Commanders provided an excellent blueprint for the Eagles—run the ball well and control the clock.
Commanders running back Brian Robinson had 26 carries for 86 yards and a touchdown.
And who do the Colts have coming out of the backfield? Jonathan Taylor.
The Colts offensive line has been an issue all season, but against the Raiders, they stepped up in the running game, helping Taylor to 147 yards and a score.
The Colts also have a solid enough defense (they allow 196.3 passing yards and 110.7 rushing yards per game).
They have cornerback Stephon Gilmore that should be able to step up and go toe-to-toe with wide receiver A.J. Brown.
The Colts will look to hold the ball as long as possible. With -105 odds, this could move out to a full seven points.
The Commanders looked fantastic against the Eagles, and this week they got the Texans to add another one to the win column.
Heinicke is likely to be under center again. While he isn’t playing fantastic football, he’s putting them in the best position to win, something we’re not sure about with Carson Wentz.
The Texans give up over 180 rushing yards per game to opponents, and the Commanders are really starting to let Robinson Jr. get plenty of runs, getting close to 30 carries against the Eagles.
The Texans may not allow a lot of passing yards, but that’s not because of a potent defense—teams just don’t need to throw against them.
If the Commanders need to throw, Heinicke has a dependable No. 1 in Terry McLaurin, that can take on any of these Texans cornerbacks.
The line here is at -105, so they may get pushed down to -3, which would be even better.
Look for the Commanders to run the ball well here while their defense line creates pressure up front and makes it so Texans running back Dameon Pierce has one of his rougher days.
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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