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The NFL is in a golden era of offense. Aside from offensive players winning MVP every year since 1986, the 10 most recent award winners were all quarterbacks.
The rules of the game have also been molded to encourage high-octane aerial assaults, which has allowed young stars such as Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Jalen Hurts, and others to flourish.
Team | Points/G | Rush TDs | Pass TDs | Total YPG | Rush YPG | Pass YPG |
Arizona Cardinals | 20 | 15 | 17 | 323.5 | 110.2 | 213.3 |
Atlanta Falcons | 21.5 | 17 | 17 | 318.6 | 159.9 | 158.8 |
Baltimore Ravens | 20.4 | 14 | 19 | 340.2 | 159.7 | 180.5 |
Buffalo Bills | 27.7 | 15 | 35 | 394.9 | 133.5 | 261.4 |
Carolina Panthers | 20.4 | 16 | 16 | 306.2 | 130 | 176.2 |
Chicago Bears | 19.2 | 18 | 19 | 307.8 | 177.3 | 130.5 |
Cincinnati Bengals | 25.7 | 14 | 35 | 353.8 | 95.9 | 257.9 |
Cleveland Browns | 21.2 | 19 | 19 | 349.1 | 146.5 | 202.6 |
Dallas Cowboys | 26.8 | 24 | 28 | 354.8 | 131.7 | 223.1 |
Denver Broncos | 16.9 | 11 | 18 | 325.1 | 113.8 | 211.3 |
Detroit Lions | 26.6 | 23 | 29 | 380 | 128.2 | 251.8 |
Green Bay Packers | 21.8 | 12 | 27 | 337.9 | 124.3 | 213.6 |
Houston Texans | 17 | 7 | 20 | 283.5 | 86.8 | 196.7 |
Indianapolis Colts | 17 | 8 | 17 | 311.6 | 109.8 | 201.9 |
Jacksonville Jaguars | 23.9 | 16 | 25 | 358.6 | 125.1 | 233.5 |
Kansas City Chiefs | 29.2 | 18 | 41 | 404.6 | 115.7 | 288.9 |
Los Angeles Chargers | 23.4 | 12 | 28 | 357.1 | 88.4 | 268.7 |
Las Vegas Raiders | 18.1 | 15 | 26 | 352.5 | 121.1 | 231.4 |
Los Angeles Rams | 18.1 | 15 | 16 | 280.5 | 97.7 | 182.8 |
Miami Dolphins | 23.2 | 12 | 30 | 357.1 | 96 | 261.1 |
Minnesota Vikings | 23.8 | 18 | 30 | 359.8 | 95.7 | 264.2 |
New England Patriots | 24.9 | 12 | 19 | 314.6 | 106.6 | 208 |
New Orleans Saints | 21.4 | 12 | 24 | 333.8 | 116.6 | 217.2 |
New York Giants | 19.4 | 21 | 17 | 333.4 | 146.3 | 187.1 |
New York Jets | 21.2 | 13 | 15 | 318.2 | 99.2 | 219 |
Philadelphia Eagles | 17.4 | 32 | 25 | 385.8 | 152 | 233.8 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | 29.1 | 16 | 12 | 322.6 | 121.9 | 200.8 |
San Francisco 49ers | 18.1 | 20 | 30 | 359.9 | 136.8 | 223.1 |
Seattle Seahawks | 25.9 | 12 | 30 | 350.4 | 119.2 | 231.2 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 18.2 | 5 | 26 | 348.9 | 75.6 | 273.3 |
Tennessee Titans | 17.5 | 16 | 16 | 296.8 | 125.4 | 171.4 |
Washington Commanders | 18.9 | 9 | 24 | 330.3 | 126.1 | 204.2 |
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Without further ado, here is how every NFL offense stacks up against the competition heading into the 2023 season as of May (we will provide updates throughout the season).
The Buccaneers are… not going to be that good on offense. They have a nice three-man trio at wideout, but their offensive line has fallen apart, Baker Mayfield is fighting to stay in the league, and they had the worst rushing attack in the league last season. Second-round draft pick and lineman Cody Mauch has the potential to develop but is coming from North Dakota State and will likely have an adjustment period.
Byron Leftwich was scapegoated and fired at the end of last season despite being regarded as one of the best young offensive minds in the league a couple of seasons before. Dave Canales is assuming his position in what will be his first time serving as an offensive coordinator.
The Bucs won the Super Bowl a couple of years ago but made even the G.O.A.T., Tom Brady, look below average last season. It is hard to see them doing any better this time around with the shape that the roster is in.
The Falcons made a truly puzzling draft pick, taking Bijan Robinson with the eighth overall selection in the draft the year after they ranked second in rushing yards per game and Tyler Allgeier broke a franchise rookie rushing record. Robinson is an excellent player and should be a top-10 back in the league the moment he steps on the field, but other areas of concern should have taken priority.
What the Falcons cannot be accused of is being starved of weapons. Robinson, Drake London, and Kyle Pitts are all young and exciting players that can easily fit into a top-tier offense. However, Desmond Ridder was unimpressive last year and needs to prove himself as an NFL quarterback.
The offensive line also isn’t that great, and as boring as it can be, it takes time to build an offensive line.
The Texans defied pre-draft expectations and took C.J. Stroud with their second pick in the draft. They were in a nice spot to pick the first wide receiver in the draft with their second pick but opted to move up to snag Will Anderson Jr. with the third pick.
Stroud was extremely productive at Ohio State but does not have great receiving options in the form of Robert Woods, Nico Collins, and Noah Brown. Dalton Schultz is a nice piece and will likely turn into his security blanket.
Dameon Pierce is a decent backfield option and can punch the ball in when he gets the chance—just don’t expect a ton of those chances in a no-expectations year dedicated to growth.
If watching paint dry was an NFL offense, it’d be the Patriots. It turns out that having offensive coordinators that had never coached offense before made the offense lethargic and impotent—who could have guessed?
Bill O’Brien is back in town and should help the offense progress, but Mac Jones does not appear to be the franchise quarterback his first-round draft status projected him to be.
New England also overpaid to get JuJu Smith-Schuster and is working with a decent-but-not-great offensive line. Above all, they need to show serious improvement at the QB position to move up the list.
The Titans have had a shocking fall from grace. They made the AFC Championship Game a few years ago but have been left in the dust by the other powerhouse offenses in the conference.
Derrick Henry is still great but is a year older, and Ryan Tannehill appears to have worn out his welcome. It won’t be a surprise to see second-round pick Will Levis inserted into the starting lineup within a few weeks if Tannehill struggles.
Tennessee’s points per game ranking in 2022 matches its power ranking here: 28th. Peter Skoronski was a big addition to the offensive line, but an entire recast of the surrounding weapons is needed.
Kyler Murray has had problems staying on the field, which is a huge problem given that quarterback is the most important position in football. DeAndre Hopkins appears to be on his way out of town as well, and Marquise Brown and Rondale Moore are both injury-prone.
There’s no truly dominant player on the entire Cardinals’ offense. Their new head coach, Jonathan Gannon, is also a defensive guy, which doesn’t exactly help.
Arizona got Murray some blind-side protection with the selection of Paris Johnson Jr. in the draft. That will help long-term but will not turn around the sinking ship that is Arizona’s offense.
The Commanders could arguably be lower on this list but have a few areas working for them. First, they led the league in time of possession last season, which counts for something. Second and more importantly, they have speedy and deadly weapons on the outside in the form of Terry McLaurin, Jahan Dotson, and Curtis Samuel that are begging to be unlocked.
On top of that, Washington brought in former Kansas City Chiefs OC Eric Bieniemy to lead their offense. That alone is worth a couple of spots in the rankings, given what he helped build in Kansas City.
Sam Howell is expected to be the starting quarterback, which is a huge question mark. He was a risk-taker in college that connected on quite a few deep balls, but he is on the shorter side and only threw for 169 yards, one touchdown and one interception in his lone start last year.
The Colts have one of the largest variances of any team on this list. Jonathan Taylor is two years removed from winning the AP Offensive Player of the Year award but was banged up and struggled to produce in 2022.
Anthony Richardson is also going to step into the lineup at some point this season if it isn’t in Week One. He only started 13 games in college and made highlights for the right and wrong reasons. He’ll be a work in progress that could struggle frequently, even if he has his electrifying moments.
On the plus side, the line is solid, and there are playmakers out wide. Indy is in a decent spot for the future but not so much for the present.
The Rams are also tough to rank. They too are a couple of years removed from greatness, a Super Bowl championship, but were awful last season.
Any team that has the Matthew Stafford-Cooper Kupp pairing will be okay. That being said, the Rams were only 26th in rushing yards per game last season and did not make any attempts to remedy the situation in the offseason.
The Rams define a team that is a couple of years past its prime, even if that prime was a Super Bowl. They will need luck to properly rebuild in the next couple of years since they traded away a ton of draft capital in pursuit of the championship.
Many first-overall draft picks step into situations that do not behoove them. Bryce Young gets to be one of the rare exceptions to that rule.
The Panthers have a reigning Pro Bowl running back in Miles Sanders and a couple of solid wideouts in Adam Thielen in DJ Chark, even if both are a spot higher on the depth chart than they would be in a perfect world. Hayden Hurst is also a very nice tight end that will be great for Young’s intermediate work.
Carolina also gave up the 11th-fewest sacks last season, which again is abnormal for a team picking first. Frank Reich has a history of churning out elite offenses and has the best prospect in the class of 2022 at the center of it all.
The Browns round out our three-team run of teams that could feasibly be anywhere from the top half to last place. Deshaun Watson was once a top-five quarterback in the league but was downright awful last year after two years off the field.
Nick Chubb and the offensive line will always keep this team relevant. The Browns ranked fifth in rushing yards per game last season and can open up their passing game through the effectiveness of their ground attack.
Amari Cooper is another year old, and the other receiving options aren’t the best. It’s unlikely that this turns out to be a playoff offense, but it’s not totally out of the realm of possibility. Just unlikely.
The Steelers are positioning themselves to be good for a long time. The offense is behind the defense, but they are investing where they can, whether that be the selections of Kenny Pickett, Najee Harris, or George Pickens.
Pickett only threw one interception in his final eight games of the 2022 season. He needs to take the next step and start cutting the ball loose to truly find out what this offense is capable of.
The Steelers were impressively seventh in the NFL in third-down conversion percentage. That ability to sustain drives combined with Picketts’ security are promising signs and why the Steelers are at 21 instead of lower.
Vegas made a panicky move to sign Jimmy Garoppolo in place of Derek Carr over the offseason. That will keep them competitive but offers them no improvement to their ceiling will not make them stronger in years to come.
Garoppolo is one of the most injury-prone players in his position and is just as likely to drop a stinker as he is a masterclass. Davante Adams and Josh Jacobs are both top-five at their respective positions but cannot win games on their own, plus Adams’ Instagram tirades and brutal transparency show that he does not agree with the organization’s direction and does not want to be there.
The Raiders also gave up the 10th-most sacks in 2022 and did not pick up an offensive lineman in the draft. Expect to see the best and the worst of the Raiders in 2023 with no real pattern.
Lots of the Packers’ projection is based on speculation. Aaron Rodgers finally moved on after years of speculation, leaving Jordan Love in his place.
Love does not have a long professional history but has shown promise, whether it be anticipatory throws or great arm strength. He has a young core of receivers in Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs that are still growing but both produced last season.
Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon are also nice running backs that are behind a decent offensive line. All three of the other NFC North defenses were poor in 2022, which should breed optimism in Packers fans.
No team scored fewer points than the Denver Broncos did in 2022. That will change with the appointment of new head coach Sean Payton, who is widely regarded as one of the smarter offensive minds in football.
Russell Wilson stepped off a cliff last season but is due for a relatively bounce-back. He probably won’t make the Pro Bowl, but he is also too good of a player to be the worst starter in the league again.
Denver needs to upgrade its skill positions to become truly competitive again. Until then, expect them to be mediocre in most areas but well-drilled in situations such as third-and-short thanks to Payton.
There may be shouts for the Giants to be ranked higher, but those people need to pump the breaks. Daniel Jones ranked sixth in quarterback rating but also threw just 15 touchdowns in 17 games, which is nowhere near enough for a truly elite offense.
The Giants also ranked just 18th in points scored and 19th in yards per game. They had a chance to select a wide receiver in the first round of the draft but spent that pick on a corner and instead picked speedy wideout Jalin Hyatt in the third round.
Jones is not in a make-or-break year since he just signed a four-year, $160 million deal, but he does need to demonstrate better control of the passing game to inspire belief that he is a Super Bowl quarterback.
The Saints have shot themselves in the foot with their salary cap mismanagement for years but at least have a reason to make the plunge now that they have Derek Carr under center. Pairing him up with Chris Olave will be fun to watch in a division that is there for the taking.
Alvin Kamara is taking steps backward as a runner, and the line is only okay, but the Saints are going to be much better than they were last year. They also have a QB that, while he can throw the game away, is explosive and can be the driving force for a playoff team.
New Orleans doesn’t have that high of a ceiling to break through, but they are definitely solid and have one of the higher floors of the teams that have appeared thus far.
The Bears were unexpected climbers on our defensive power rankings, and here they are at 15 on offense.
Justin Fields was nothing short of a game-breaker in the back half of 2022 and had a five-game stretch where he helped the Bears score 29.6 points per game. Chicago also finished the year averaging more rushing yards per game than any team, although they were dead last in passing yards.
The Bears made a savvy pick of Darnell Wright in the draft. The huge Tennessee product is raw but has tons of strength and was one of the few players that troubled Will Anderson when he played Alabama. Fields also now gets to throw to DJ Moore, who was acquired in an offseason trade with the Panthers.
Talk about a steal! The Seahawks got Jaxon Smith-Njigba, the top wideout in the draft, with their second pick in the first round to add to an offense that tied for the fourth-most passing touchdowns and was 12th in passing yards in 2022.
Seattle gave up too many sacks for comfort, but they have a true number-one wideout (DK Metcalf), a highly impressive young running back (Kenneth Walker III), and a sure-handed tight end (Noah Fant). Teams can certainly do worse than the Seahawks have.
The one pitfall the ‘Hawks will face will be within their division and against the San Francisco 49ers. The offense does not have enough to outperform the Niners’ defense, which will likely be the deciding factor in the NFC West title.
The Jets have not won or reached the Super Bowl since Joe Namath was taking snaps. Aaron Rodgers will be expected, whether fairly or unfairly, to break that streak in his first year in the Big Apple.
Rodgers won back-to-back MVPs in 2020 and 2021 before falling off a cliff in 2022. He now steps into an offense that has a worse line than the Packers did, receivers of similar age and caliber, and running backs of similar effectiveness.
Rodgers does, however, have a low bar to clear with Jets fans that had to suffer through their team throwing less than a touchdown per game last year, tied for second-worst in the league. He probably only has one or two more years of potential greatness left, so this one has to count.
Baltimore made the statement of the summer by locking up Lamar Jackson on a $260 million deal, signing Odell Beckham Jr., and drafting Zay Flowers in the first round. A team that just a few weeks ago was teetering on irrelevance is now back and could be in its best-ever form in the Jackson era.
Expectations have to be tempered because Jackson was injured each of the last two seasons and also regressed as a passer last year. Still, it’s hard to see him not returning to a semblance of his MVP self now that he has speedy and elite playmakers on the outside, plus the ever-present Mark Andrews at tight end.
John Harbaugh is a model of regular-season success and will have this team cooking quickly. They might struggle in shootouts with other top offenses but will be better than most.
As thrilling as Jackson is, he is not a gunslinger—the Chargers are one of the few teams that employ one of those, and his name is Justin Herbert.
Herbert just got a shiny new toy to play with called Quentin Johnston. He’s another tall deep threat that will complement Keenan Allen and Mike Williams and can step up if either gets injured.
Austin Ekeler appeared to be on his way out of town but is back on a restructured deal for at least one more year. They have elite talent at the most important position and finished 2022 ranking 12th in points and eighth in total yards.
The Cowboys shook up their roster during the offseason. Schultz and Ezekiel Elliott made way for Brandin Cooks and a newly-franchise-tagged Tony Pollard, and Mike McCarthy will be calling plays for the first time in Dallas.
The NFC East runner-ups finished fourth in points and 10th in yardage last season but had a serious problem with turnovers. Dak Prescott led the league in interceptions despite missing the first quarter of the season with an injury and needs to clean that up.
There is also lots of pressure on Pollard who, for the first time in the NFL, is the number-one back and will get a majority of the carries. Lucky for him, he’s behind a top-tier offensive line that will make his life much easier.
The Jags flipped the switch in the middle of the season last year and quickly became one of the most feared offenses in the league. They averaged 25.7 points (would tie for seventh) over their last 11 games (regular and postseason included) and won eight games in the process.
Trevor Lawrence shrugged off a disappointing rookie season and started looking like an MVP candidate in the making. He now gets to team up with former Falcons receiver Calvin Ridley, who caught 90 balls for 1,374 yards and nine touchdowns in 2020 before a variety of issues held him out for most of 2021 and 2022.
Jacksonville also gave up the fifth-fewest sacks in the league in 2022 and has an offensive-minded, risk-taking coach in Doug Pederson in Lawrence’s ear. The days of irrelevance are over for the Jaguars.
San Fran is defined by its defense but is also tremendous on offense. It ranked fifth in yardage and sixth in points in 2022 despite playing games with a second-year pro, a castaway, and rookie “Mr. Irrelevant” at quarterback.
The Niners are extremely physical and also extremely gifted. They can thrive on the ground or through the air and are one top-15 quarterback away from becoming a top-two offense in the league.
On top of all that, SF is the first team in NFL history to have a first-team All-Pro member in every meeting group except for quarterback. Teams have to have their best games of the season just to compete with last year’s NFC runner-ups.
The Dolphins had arguably the most prolific offense in the league until Tua Tagovailoa was ravished by injuries. Assuming he is back to the level he was at the start of 2022, the team should expect similar levels of success.
Tyreek Hill (119 receptions, 1,710 yards, seven TDs) and Jaylen Waddle (75 receptions, 1,356 yards, eight TDs) are close to unguardable on the outside, and Raheem Mostert is a great fit in the offense. The defense is also going to be better than it was last year, which will just give the offense more chances to wreak havoc.
Connor Williams is also a nice addition to the offensive line and will offer more protection for Tua. There’s too much explosiveness at the receiver position not to hold this team in high regard.
The Lions’ offense was one of the most unexpected stories of the 2022 season. Jared Goff reminded the world that he was the quarterback of a team that reached the Super Bowl and threw for 4,438 yards, 29 touchdowns, and only seven interceptions as the team ranked fifth in scoring and fourth in yardage.
They had a surprising draft, which started with them picking running back Jahmyr Gibbs 12th overall, but he will still add dynamism to the offense, even if he went earlier than expected.
Jameson Williams will be suspended at the start of the season for violating the NFL’s gambling rules, but Amon-Ra St. Brown and Marvin Jones Jr. are capable players, and the offensive line is great. Add in bruising back David Montgomery to the mix and the Lions are rightfully in the top five.
Buffalo gave Josh Allen another much-needed weapon in the passing game in Dalton Kincaid with their first draft pick. He’ll join an offense that was second in yardage and third in scoring when last seen on the field.
The reason Allen needs another weapon is that he’s been using his body as a battering ram for the past couple of seasons. If Buffalo wants him to be around for the long haul and also avoid injuries like the one he picked up last season, they will need to invest in a durable running back (which they are hoping Damien Harris is).
This is a quarterback’s game, and Allen is a perennial MVP favorite. They will never be too far away from the top of the rankings no matter who fills out the rest of the offense.
Minnesota made a strength even stronger by drafting Jordan Addison in the first round and will put him opposite 2022 Offensive Player of the Year, Justin Jefferson. QB Kirk Cousins has his critics but is spoiled for options and has been able to put up numbers in Minnesota’s offense.
Dalvin Cook is also one of the premier backs in the league, and the line is young and improving. Minnesota’s front office is doing a great job of transitioning to the future when just a couple of years ago it looked like they were aging quickly and past the point of competitiveness.
The Vikings can be expected to have one of the three best passing attacks in the league. Jefferson continually bailed them out last year and will probably do it on more than a few occasions this time around too.
One of the few quarterbacks chasing Patrick Mahomes for the title of best QB in the league is Joe Burrow of the Bengals. He started the year somewhat slow last year but led his team to finish seventh in passing and scoring despite their running game being one of the five worst in the league.
Cincy upgraded the offensive line with the additions of Orlando Brown Jr. and Alex Cappa and has arguably the best three-man receiving trio in the league (Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd).
The Bengals’ best quality is their ability to get up and down the field in a hurry. They are basically never out of a game with Burrow under center, which is why they are a top-three offense in the NFL.
The Eagles had a problem early in the offseason of Rashaad Penny being their number-one running back. Rather than ride that out, they smartly traded for De’Andre Swift of the Lions, who had a surplus of running backs with Gibbs and Montgomery.
Philly was second in scoring and third in yardage in 2022. They were also the best third and fourth-and-short team in the league because of their usage of the QB sneak.
It’s virtually impossible to account for everything the Eagles have to offer. They can run anywhere, accurately take deep shots with Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, and DeVonta Smith, and have an elite line that dominates the trenches nearly every play. Expectations have not been this high in Philly for some time, and for very good reason.
There should be no hesitation or disagreement with the Chiefs in the top spot. Mahomes is off to the most productive start to a career in league history and just won a Super Bowl with unheralded rookies, journeymen, and backups playing wideout.
The offense is heavily reliant on Travis Kelce to be excellent, but that is also because they can be. Take him out of the offense and Andy Reid would scheme someone else open just as he has his entire career.
KC also quietly gave up the third-fewest sacks last season and also found a solution at running back with Isaiah Pacheco. It’s going to take quite a lot to dethrone the team that ended 2022 ranked first in points and yards.
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Grant is a sports and sports betting journalist who prides himself on delivering breaking news and insightful analyses of the industry. Grant graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 and is feverishly pursuing his ambitions in the sports betting field.
In his free time, Grant can be found passionately watching sports, doing a workout, or searching for adventure with his friends.
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