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New England Patriots are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games
Minnesota has covered in each of their last five games against AFC opponents
Watch Patriots vs Vikings live on Thursday, Nov. 24, 2022, at 8:20 PM ET on NBC
POINT SPREAD: New England Patriots +3.0 (-120) at DraftKings
POINTS TOTAL: Over 42.5 (-110) at BetMGM
MONEY LINE: New England Patriots (+122) at Caesars
The final game in the NFL’s Turkey Day Trio is an exciting interconference battle between the 6-4 New England Patriots and the 8-2 Minnesota Vikings, this Patriots team on a three-game win streak led by the above adequate play of QB Mac Jones while the Vikings enter this matchup still licking their wounds after a Week 11 thumping they received from the Dallas Cowboys, 3-40.
Minnesota has covered the spread in each of their last five games against AFC opponents, but New England’s superior defense could be enough to change that trend this holiday weekend, but the hometown Vikings fan base will be a huge factor in the Pats’ offense, something that could affect QB Jones’ ability to audible to his offense, a disadvantage that traveling teams suffer.
Here’s a different trend to consider – the New England Patriots are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against the Minnesota Vikings, so we expect that to continue and like Bill Belichick’s underdogs to find a way to cover in this one despite how many Vikings playmakers they will be forced to game plan around including WR Justin Jefferson and RB Dalvin Cook.
The NFL seems to be heating up the scoreboard lately, with warmed-up offenses finding the end zone more often, and that is certainly true of Minnesota given five of their last six games as home favorites have gone over the total points line, which we like in this Points Total bet.
Forget last week when the Vikings offense could only muster a field goal – that’s most likely an anomaly that is counter to what they typically generate, that group averaging 22.9 points per game, whereas the Patriots put 21.3 points up every week, that total of 44.2 points just over what the oddsmakers are predicting for this matchup, another sign to go that way with the bet.
As for these defenses, the Patriots have a top-4 unit on that side of the ball that allows opponents to score 16.9 points per game on average, while the Vikings' defense is ranked 29th in the league and lets the teams it plays score 23.1 points each time, that total of 40 a bit under what this bet allows; remember, this game will be played inside so the weather will not be a factor.
The Minnesota Vikings have won each of their last 10 games as favorites so if you think that momentum will carry them into victory in Week 12, a good idea is to place a money line wager on your team to win outright, in this case, a $145 bet on the Vikes would pay out $100 plus the wager if they avoid the upset, a great way to add excitement to what should already be a thrilling game.
As for the underdog New England Patriots, fans will enjoy the odds here of them beating Minnesota without any extra points to sweeten the pot, with a $100 winning bet paying back $122 dollars plus your original investment, the reward for betting the underdogs, though in this case, their superior defense could be what keeps their three-game win streak alive.
Remember, injuries are more prevalent in Week 12, and they could keep key playmakers out of the game which could directly affect the outcome so be sure to check the updated reports before game time, right now with four injured Vikings listed as questionable to play including LB Za’Darius Smith (knee), while on the Patriots there are a half dozen players who will be a game-time decision.
What: New England Patriots vs Minnesota Vikings
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN
When: Thursday 24, 2022, at 8:20 PM ET
Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]More info on Mike Lukas
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