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Thursday Night Football Prop Bets: Best TNF Player Props Week 16

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Published December 21, 2023
8 min read
NFL ENF Prop Bets Week 16

Kicking off Week 16 before we head into the Christmas weekend are the New Orleans Saints and Los Angeles Rams. 

Below, we’re looking at player props, offering our three best ones for this matchup.

Let’s dive in.

New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Rams

Pick: Cooper Kupp Over 6.5 Receptions (-101) at Caesars

Since coming back in Week 5, Kupp has been a solid wide receiver for the Rams. He started with back-to-back 118+ yard games before seeing no more than 48 between Weeks 7 and 13. However, over the past two games, he’s caught eight passes in each, both for 111+ yards and has a touchdown in three straight games. 

This season, Kupp has lined up in the slot 56.6% of the time, which bodes well for his prop of more than 6.5 receptions.

The Saints run Alontae Taylor primarily out of the slot, and this season, he’s allowed 64 receptions on 96 targets for 623 yards and four touchdowns. He allowed seven receptions in Week 15 against the New York Giants. 

This matchup should bolster Kupp’s receptions enough that he only needs a couple of catches to hit the over here at seven when he goes outside. The Saints have had excellent outside cornerback play, but he has a fantastic matchup in the slot, where Kupp plays more than half of his snaps. 

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Pick: Cooper Kupp Any Time TD (+125) at DraftKings

Continuing with Kupp, we’ll double-dip on him here and bank on a touchdown. Getting the +125 value in this matchup is worth it.

Kupp has scored in three straight games, and, as mentioned, Taylor has allowed four touchdowns, including one over his last three games. Puka Nacua and Demarcus Robinson have their work cut out of them on the outside against Isaac Yiadom and Paulson Adebo—two corners who have played a nearly combined 700 coverage snaps and have allowed two total touchdowns this season.

Expect a massive game from Kupp here—eight or more catches for 100+ yards and a score. 

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Pick: Tyler Higbee Over 23.5 Receiving Yards (-135) at DraftKings

Last, we have another Rams pass-catching weapon in tight end Tyler Higbee. 

Over his last three games, Higbee has had 24 receiving yards or more in all of them. He had a two-touchdown day in Week 12 and has 11 catches in that span.

Against the Saints, he’ll take on a defense that allows nearly five catches for over 50 yards to the position. No other tight end on the Rams roster is that involved, leaving a lot of this work for Higbee. This season, the Saints have allowed 67 receptions for 708 yards and seven touchdowns to this position, including seven catches or more in three of their last five games. 

Higbee should be in for a sneaky-good game here. 

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Richard Janvrin

550 Articles

After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.

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