After losing to Montreal in game one, expect the Tampa Bay Lightning to round back into dominant form by taking advantage of their lack of coverage in front of the crease. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Colorado Avalanche as their back line will be able to put together a dominant performance by consistently smothering the Los Angeles Kings anemic offense.
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| Best NHL Prop Bets Today | BetMGM Sportsbook | Kalshi to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning Team Total Over 3.5 | -105 | Tampa Bay Lightning 64% |
| Jake Guentzel Anytime Goal Scorer | +175 | Tampa Bay Lightning 64% |
| Colorado Avalanche Puck Line -1.5 | -105 | Colorado Avalanche 71% |
| Jack Eichel Anytime Goal Scorer | +185 | Vegas Golden Knights 59% |
| Odds and market prices are accurate as of the time of publishing and subject to change before the event. | ||
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With the Montreal Canadiens incapable of staying in front of the puck, the Tampa Bay Lightning will be able to consistently light the lamp and even up the series.
Since the start of the regular season, the Tampa Bay Lightning front line have been one of the more explosive units in the league, ranking in the top-5 in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Their depth across their lines has played a major role in their success this year, fielding six players who average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.
Heading into Tuesday night, expect the Lightning’s high level of play on offense to be on full display as they face off against the Montreal Canadiens who reside near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. With the Canadiens struggling to protect their net, Jakob Dubes will be forced to make quick cuts across the crease, widening the width of their shooting lanes on the outside.
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In his second year with the Lightning, Jake Guentzel has been a reliable scorer for them to lean on, averaging 0.44 Expected Goals and 2.72 Shots on Goal per game. With Nikita Kucherov pulling defensive attention away from him, Guentzel will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal in front of their net and score his 39th goal of the season.
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The Los Angeles Kings front line must quickly elevate their level of play if they want to avoid falling in a 0-2 hole against the Colorado Avalanche.
It has been an abysmal year for the Los Angeles Kings front line, a unit who ranks well below league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. With their offense struggling to score, the Kings have been prone to falling into prolonged scoring lulls which increases the amount of negative variance in their contests.
Unfortunately for the Kings, their struggles on offense are poised to persist against the Presidents’ Trophy winners, battling it out against an Avs back line who ranks third overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations while Scott Wedgewood averages just 2.02 Goals Against per game. Colorado’s dominance was evident throughout the regular season, as they consistently paced the league and maintained the shortest Presidents’ Trophy odds before ultimately securing the title with 121 points. With the Avs possessing the playmaking that is needed to break through their overage, expect them to pull away on the scoreboard and cover the puck line.
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With the Utah Mammoth back line stretched out thin, Jack Eichel is in a favorable position to score when he weaves the puck through their gaps in coverage.
Even with his linemates dealing with regression, Jack Eichel has still been able to play at a high level, averaging 0.34 Expected Goals per game. With the Utah Mammoth back line underwhelming in coverage per their below league average mark in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots, the quality of Eichel’s shot attempts will improve, increasing his chances of scoring.
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