Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Back the Flyers to Light Up the Scoreboard

With the Pittsburgh Penguins continuing to fall down the board in Expected Goals Against, positive regression looms large over the Philadelphia Flyers who will be able to pressure their net at a heavier rate. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Minnesota Wild as they will be able to hold the Dallas Stars off the scoreboard by smothering their injury riddled front line.

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Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Philadelphia Flyers - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

With the Pittsburgh Penguins struggling to stay in front of the puck, expect the Philadelphia Flyers to round back into competitive form and clear the over on their team total.

Philadelphia Flyers Team Total Over 2.5 (-165) at BetMGM Sportsbook

It has been a turbulent year for the Philadelphia Flyers front line as they currently rank near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Even with Porter Martone injecting some life into their offense, their lack of versatility makes it hard for them to create space, fielding just five players who average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.

Fortunately for the Flyers, they will have the opportunity to elevate their level of play against the Pittsburgh Penguins by taking advantage of a back line who ranks well below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. If the Flyers team total climbs up to a flat three across all sportsbooks, then reduce the size of your wager.

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Porter Martone Anytime Goal Scorer (+207) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Speaking of Martone, the Flyers forward has been able to hit the ground running since taking the ice, averaging 0.54 Expected Goals and 3.56 Shots on Goal per game. With the Penguins incapable of face guarding Martone, the width of their gaps in the middle will widen, making it easier for him to attack the crease and generate high quality Shots on Goal in front of the net.

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Dallas Stars vs. Minnesota Wild - Prop Bets (9:30 PM, EST)

With Roope Hintz out with an injury, the Dallas Stars will continue to struggle on offense as they face off against a Minnesota Wild back line who excels in coverage.

Dallas Stars Team Total Under 3 (-175) at BetMGM Sportsbook

While the Minnesota Wild front line took some time to find their footing, their defense has been able to string together their performances, ranking in the top-10 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their high level of play on the back end helps reduce the amount of negative variance, improving their odds of making a run to the Stanley Cup Finals.

Currently sitting as a top contender in the West, the team’s consistent suppression of high-danger chances has seen their Stanley Cup odds steadily shorten as the playoffs approach.

Heading into Wednesday night, expect the Wild back line to continue to thrive as they face off against the Dallas Stars who have plummeted to the bottom half of the board in Expected Goals For. With the Stars incapable of stretching out their defense, the Wild will be able to consistently keep a defender near the vicinity of their shot attempts, lowering the quality of their Shots on Goal for the full duration of the contest.

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Anaheim Ducks vs. Edmonton Oilers - Prop Bets (10:00 PM, EST)

In a favorable matchup against Anaheim, expect Connor McDavid to light the lamp by exploiting the Ducks lack of coverage in front of the crease.

Connor McDavid Anytime Goal Scorer (+110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Connor McDavid has remained in contention for the Hart Memorial Trophy by averaging 0.53 Expected Goals per game. With the Anaheim Ducks struggling to defend their net per their below league average mark in Expected Goals Against in All Situations, McDavid will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal, increasing his chances of scoring.

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