With the Edmonton Oilers backs against the wall, expect Connor McDavid to get more aggressive in his efforts of scoring, exploiting a Anaheim Ducks back line who struggles in coverage. Before their puck drop takes place, we turn our attention towards the Minnesota Wild as their defense is in a position to thrive by bottling up a Dallas Stars offense who lacks the versatility that is needed to pressure their net.
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| Best NHL Prop Bets Today | BetMGM Sportsbook | Kalshi to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers Team Total Over 3.5 | -145 | Edmonton Oilers 60% |
| Connor McDavid Anytime Goal Scorer | +110 | Edmonton Oilers 60% |
| Dallas Stars Team Total Under 3.5 | -170 | Dallas Stars 55% |
| Jason Zucker Anytime Goal Scorer | +255 | Buffalo Sabres 61% |
| Odds and market prices are accurate as of the time of publishing and subject to change before the event. | ||
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Down 1-3, the Edmonton Oilers front line must round back into dominant form against Anaheim if they want to avoid making an early exit in the playoffs.
After entering the year listed as one of the betting favorites to win the Stanley Cup, the Edmonton Oilers odds of winning the title have plummeted now that they are down 1-3 in their series against Anaheim. Their regression on offense brings in a higher amount of variance into their contests, ranking near dead last in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Consequently, bettors who backed the team early are watching their potential returns vanish as the latest Stanley Cup odds reflect a steep uphill battle for the struggling roster.
Fortunately for the Oilers, the Ducks low level of play on defense will help them round back into form, fielding a back line who ranks below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Especially with Lukas Dostal incapable of giving them the protection they need to mask their struggles in coverage, averaging 3.75 Goals Against per game and a .877 Save Percentage.
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Since the start of the regular season, Connor McDavid has been able to play at a very high level, averaging 0.53 Expected Goals per game. With the Ducks struggling to protect their crease, more shooting lanes will open up in front of their net, improving the quality of McDavid’s Shots on Goal when he weaves the puck through their back line.
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With Roope Hintz still dealing with an injury, the Dallas Stars will struggle to break through the Minnesota Wild’s back line who excel in coverage.
It has been a turbulent past few weeks of play for the Dallas Stars front line as they continue to stumble down the board in Expected Goals For in All Situations. With Hintz on the sideline, the Stars lack of depth and versatility makes it hard for them to create enough space to attack the net, possessing just three players who average more than 0.30 Expected Goals per game.
Heading into Tuesday night, expect the Stars struggles on offense to continue to persist, battling it out against the Minnesota Wild who rank in the top-10 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations while Jesper Wallstedt is averaging just 2.06 Goals Against per game. If the Stars team total drops down to 2.5, then reduce the size of your wager.
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With Tage Thompson pulling defensive attention away from him, expect Jason Zucker to take advantage of the extra space and pressure the Boston Bruins net at a higher rate.
While Tage Thompson hogs the spotlight, Jason Zucker has quietly been a steady source of production for the Buffalo Sabres, averaging 0.35 Expected Goals and 2.06 Shots on Goal per game. With the Boston Bruins residing near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots, Zucker will be able to generate a higher volume of shot attempts in front of the net, increasing his chances of scoring.
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