After being held scoreless in game one, expect Porter Martone to round back into form against the Carolina Hurricanes in game two by generating Shots on Goal at a more consistent rate. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Vegas Golden Knights as they have a great opportunity to light up the scoreboard by attacking the Anaheim Ducks back line who severely struggles in coverage.
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| Best NHL Prop Bets Today | Odds | Kalshi to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes Team Total Under 3.5 | -120 | Carolina Hurricanes 70% |
| Porter Martone Anytime Goal Scorer | +290 | Carolina Hurricanes 70% |
| Vegas Golden Knights Team Total Over 3.5 | -110 | Vegas Golden Knights 61% |
| Mark Stone Anytime Goal Scorer | +222 | Vegas Golden Knights 61% |
| Odds and market prices are accurate as of the time of publishing and subject to change before the event. | ||
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With Owen Tippett out with an injury, Porter Martone’s uptick in usage rate will lead to a higher volume of Shots on Goal, increasing his chances of scoring.
Since the start of the regular season, the Philadelphia Flyers back line have been one of the more successful units in the league, ranking near the top of the board in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Their high level of play on defense has helped Dan Vladar carry over his momentum into the playoffs, averaging just 1.82 Goals Against per game and a .928 Save Percentage in seven games.
While a series against Carolina looks daunting on paper, the Hurricanes success on offense is overly reliant on their top two lines, leaving them vulnerable to prolonged scoring lulls when matched up against a defense who thrives in coverage. With Carolina fielding only five players who average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game, the Flyers will be able to collapse their defense to the middle which will help them wall off the Hurricanes shot attempts for the full duration of the contest.
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Even when receiving minimal support from his linemates, Porter Martone has still been able to play at a high level, averaging 0.54 Expected Goals per game. With Martone shouldering a heavier workload while Tippett is out with an injury, his uptick in Shots on Goal will force Frederik Andersen to scramble between the pipes, opening up larger gaps beside him.
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With the Anaheim Ducks back line incapable of staying in front of the puck, the Vegas Golden Knights will be able to put together a dominant performance by pressuring their net at a higher rate.
It has been a turbulent year for the Anaheim Ducks back line, a unit who currently resides near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.36 Expected Goals Against per game. Their lack of production on defense brings in a higher amount of negative variance into their contests, making it difficult for the Ducks to pull away on the scoreboard.
Unfortunately for Anaheim, their struggles on defense are poised to persist on Monday night as they face off against the Vegas Golden Knights who rank above league average in Expected Goals For in 5-on-5 Play. Especially with Lukas Dostal giving them no support with his individual production in net, averaging 3.87 Goals Against per game and a .874 Save Percentage in the playoffs.
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After re-tooling their front line in the offseason, Mark Stone has been able to take advantage of the extra space his linemates create with their gravity, averaging 0.39 Expected Goals and 2.17 Shots on Goal per game. With his supporting cast stretching out the Ducks underwhelming coverage, the width of Stone’s shooting lanes in front of the crease will widen, improving the quality of his Shots on Goal.
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