Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Run it Back With a Pair of Team Total Overs

After lighting up the scoreboard in game one against Montreal, the Buffalo Sabres will have the opportunity to build on their momentum in game two by exploiting their struggles in coverage. Later in the night, positive regression looms large over the Vegas Golden Knights who had no issue with pressuring the Anaheim Ducks net in game two but were unable to convert their shot attempts into goals.

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Montreal Canadiens vs. Buffalo Sabres - Prop Bets (7:00 PM, EST)

With the Montreal Canadiens struggling to stay in front of the puck, the Buffalo Sabres will be able to put together another dominant performance and clear the over on their team total in the process.

Buffalo Sabres Team Total Over 3 (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After a turbulent start to the playoffs, the Buffalo Sabres front line were able to round back into dominant form, climbing into the top-15 in Expected Goals For in All Situations. Their turnaround on offense has played a major role in their success this season by reducing the amount of negative variance in their contests, making it easier for them to pull away on the scoreboard to secure the win.

In a favorable matchup against the Montreal Canadiens, the Sabres front line will be able to continue to light the lamp by taking advantage of a back line who resides near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Especially with Jakob Dubes showing signs of regression, giving up -0.94 Goals Saved Above Expected in game one. If the Sabres team total climbs up to 3.5, then reduce the size of your wager.

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Tage Thompson Anytime Goal Scorer (+140) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Tage Thompson’s individual production has helped spark the Sabres turnaround on offense, averaging 0.42 Expected Goals and 3.36 Shots on Goal per game throughout the regular season. With the Canadiens back line struggling to shift their coverage across the ice, Thompson will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal in front of the net, increasing his chances of scoring.

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Vegas Golden Knights vs. Anaheim Ducks - Prop Bets (9:30 PM, EST)

After underwhelming in game two, expect the Vegas Golden Knights to bounce back in game three by relentlessly attacking the Anaheim Ducks back line who struggle to defend their net.

Vegas Golden Knights Team Total Over 2.5 (-170) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After squeaking past the Utah Mammoth, the Vegas Golden Knights odds to win the Stanley Cup have grown, drawing the Anaheim Ducks in the second round who possess glaring red flags on defense. Defending their net has been a thorn in the Ducks side this season, fielding a back line who ranks well below league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations, in 5-on-5 Play, and From High Danger Shots. With Anaheim’s defensive struggles on full display, bettors are keeping a close eye on the shifting Stanley Cup odds for this series.

With Lukas Dostal receiving minimal support from his back line, the Ducks goalie has been unable to wall off high quality Shots on Goal at a consistent rate, averaging 3.22 Goals Against per game and a .886 Save Percentage in the playoffs. If you want to increase your risk on the Golden Knights, escalator bet their team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.

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Mark Stone Anytime Goal Scorer (+240) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Mark Stone has been a reliable scorer for the Golden Knights, averaging 0.39 Expected Goals per game. With Jack Eichel pulling defensive attention away from him, the width of Stone’s shooting lanes in front of the net will widen, improving the probability he turns his shot attempts into Shots on Goal from multiple angles.

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