Best NHL Prop Bets Today: Target the Over on the Avs Team Total

Fresh off of a dominant win in game four, the Colorado Avalanche are now just one more win away from stamping their ticket to the Western Conference Finals. Luckily for the Stanley Cup betting favorites, the Avs will have a great opportunity to build on their momentum in game five, taking advantage of a Minnesota Wild back line who continues to stumble down the board in most defensive metrics.

With their current form making them a nightmare for opponents, the team's Stanley Cup odds continue to shorten as they look to close out the series at home.

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Minnesota Wild vs. Colorado Avalanche - Prop Bets (8:00 PM, EST)

With the Minnesota Wild struggling to stay in front of the puck, expect the Colorado Avalanche to continue to break away from their coverage and pressure their net for the full duration of the contest.

Colorado Avalanche Team Total Over 3.5 (-130) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since opening night, the Colorado Avalanche front line have been in a tier of their own, leading the league in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Their depth and versatility has played a major role in their success, fielding eight players who average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game. With the Avs possessing at least two productive players in each line, they are able to drastically reduce the amount of negative variance in their contests, making it easier for them to pull away on the scoreboard.

Against the Minnesota Wild, expect the Avs to continue to light up the scoreboard by relentlessly attacking a back line who has shown signs of regression, dropping down to the bottom half of the board in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. With the Wild struggling to shift their coverage across the ice, the Avs will be able to continue to pressure their net at a high rate, forcing Jesper Wallstedt to scramble between the pipes which will widen the width of their shooting lanes on the outside.

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Martin Necas Anytime Goal Scorer (+143) at FanDuel Sportsbook

In his first full stint with Colorado, Martin Necas has been a reliable scorer in the Avs front line, averaging 0.34 Expected Goals and 2.64 Shots on Goal per game. With Nathan MacKinnon pulling defensive attention away from him, Necas will be able to exploit the Wild’s gaps in coverage in front of their net, leading to a higher volume of Shots on Goal which increases his chances of scoring.

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Nathan MacKinnon Over 1.5 Points (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Speaking of MacKinnon, the Avs center has been dominant, averaging two Points per game against the Wild. When commanding defensive attention, his linemates have had no issue with beating their assignments as their top ranked mark in Expected Goals For indicates. With the Wild forced to stretch out their coverage, MacKinnon will continue to pull defensive attention towards him when he weaves the puck through their back line, leading to a higher volume of Assist Opportunities.

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