When you sign-up through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more >

ATP Munich & Estoril Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

Written by: Andy Schooler
Updated October 14, 2022
12 min read
  • Sousa to provide home comforts
  • Back underdog Lehecka
  • Eyecatcher Egor worth a wager

ATP Munich & Estoril Picks

Joao Sousa to beat Sebastian Baez at +215 at PointsBet

Jiri Lehecka to beat Holger Rune at +134 at PointsBet

Egor Gerasimov to beat John Millman at -138 at bet365

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win the Estoril Open at +600 at BetMGM

Play Fantasy Sports Here!

🔥 Claimed by 41 people this week!



Get a No Sweat First Bet up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets

21+ | T&Cs apply

Atp Munich Estoril 2022

Joao Sousa vs Sebastian Baez

At the north of +200, Sousa has to be worth a shot here.

The home hope is a former champion in Estoril (2018) and while he’s hardly been in sparkling form this season, he’s beaten a couple of decent clay courters in Federico Delbonis and Carlos Taberner in recent weeks.

Baez is a player on the rise, no doubt, and he certainly has the tools to win this match.

However, the vast majority of his tennis has been played in South America and he has very little experience in Europe.

He’s 0-2 in main draws since hitting the European clay this season and I can’t have him as such a short-priced favorite for this match, one which will see plenty of support for his opponent.

Jiri Lehecka vs Holger Rune

Lecheka is a player who’s been on the radar for a while and he’s been quietly picking off some wins this season, his first on the main tour.

The Czech grabbed the headlines with his run to the semi-finals of Rotterdam but he’s also been beating some decent opponents in qualifying, Monte Carlo being a good example where top-100 players Benjamin Bonzi and Henri Laaksonen were seen off.

Last week he qualified again in Belgrade before his run was ended by eventual champion Andrey Rublev in the last 16, although not before Lehecka had won the opening set.

That is the sort of display which breeds confidence and he duly qualified in Munich, notching a decent win over Alejandro Tabilo in the final round. He’ll also head into this one knowing he won the pair’s only previous match (admittedly on indoor hard).

Rune continues to be priced up on his reputation as a ‘next big thing’ but frankly his climb up the rankings has rather stuttered now he’s competing regularly at tour-level.

Lehecka is the pick here at +134.

Egor Gerasimov vs John Millman

Gerasimov was an eyecatcher in Munich qualifying, beating Francisco Cerundolo and Thiago Monteiro.

The Belarusian’s decent first serve was winning him plenty of points (75% across his two matches at the weekend) which shouldn’t come as a great surprise given the altitude of around 500m which gives the ball that extra fizz through the air.

Both matches were won in straight sets with three of the four sets having 6-1 scorelines. That is impressive.

Millman is a player who tends to get plenty back but that prove harder than usual in these conditions and after his weekend exploits, Gerasimov looks worth a wager at -138.

Round Two Upsets?

Once more, the top four seeds get byes in both Estoril and Munich so who could be vulnerable?

Well, Felix Auger-Aliassime, who leads the field in Estoril, has won just three of his last nine matches.

One of his victories was a narrow three-set success over Carlos Taberner last week in Barcelona and if they meet again the Spaniard, who thrashed Sebastian Korda at the same event, is likely to go off a decent outsider again and could be worth siding with in some capacity.

Marin Cilic could also find things awkward against either Joao Sousa or Sebastian Baez.

In Munich, second seed Casper Ruud hasn’t hit the heights expected of him on the European clay and so an opening clash with Alex Molcan has the potential for problems.

Molcan recently made the final at a similar altitude in Marrakech, beating Auger-Aliassime, Botic van de Zandschulp and Laslo Djere.

He’s another underdog who could be worth following, most realistically on the handicap.

Best Outright Pick

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was excellent during his run to the Monte Carlo Masters final and will be hard to beat in Estoril if he picks up where he left off.

The Spaniard beat world number one Novak Djokovic in Monaco and having rested up last week should be raring to go again.

He looks well drawn and with confidence flowing through the veins, he looks worthy of support at +600.

Play Fantasy Sports Here!

Logo #1



Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets

21+ | Terms and conditions apply

Logo #2



$500 Bonus Bet

21+ | VA only | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-532-3500

How to Watch ATP Munich & Estoril

ATP Munich & Estoril Information
What ATP BMW Open; ATP Millennium Estoril Open
Location Munich, Germany; Estoril, Portugal
Time Monday April 25 to Sunday May 1
How to Watch Tennis Channel
Image for Andy Schooler


Andy Schooler

70 Articles

Andy is a sports journalist of more than 20 years’ experience and is a former betting editor of the UK-based website, Sporting Life. He has specialized in tennis for many years, previewing hundreds of ATP Tour events and reporting from tournaments such as the ATP Finals and Davis Cup final. Andy has also covered numerous other sports, with a particular interest in soccer and cricket.

More info on Andy Schooler
We've been featured on:
espn logo
reuters logo
cbs-news logo
forbes logo
entrepreneur logo
entrepreneur logo
We only list licensed sportsbooks

© Rebel Penguin ApS 2024 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)

We support responsible gambling. 21+ Only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.

WSN.com is run by iGaming Cloud Inc (a Gaming Innovation Group Subsidiary) and is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.

Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.