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US Open Tennis 2023: Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

Written by: Andy Schooler
Updated August 28, 2023
16 min read

US Open Men’s Singles Picks

Most likely winner – Novak Djokovic (+125 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

Struck a psychological blow by coming back from the dead to beat main US Open title rival Carlos Alcaraz at the big warm-up event in Cincinnati. Has since been handed a near-ideal draw in New York; indeed it’s difficult to see who beats him prior to the final. Also has a point to prove to the locals after he was refused entry to the country  and was forced to miss last year’s tournament which was won by Alcaraz.

Contender – Alex Zverev (+4000 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

Alcaraz is the man most expect to come through the top half but this is a loaded section of the draw and it should be remembered that the Spaniard struggled for much of the week in Cincinnati, losing a set in all of his matches prior to the final. The likes of Jannik Sinner and former champion Daniil Medvedev may fancy toppling him but Zverev looks a more tempting price. The German made the final here in 2020 and the semis on his last visit in 2021. Reached the last four in Cincinnati recently and his big serve and powerful baseline game fit the conditions well.

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US Open Tennis 2023 Predictions

Outsider – Tommy Paul (+13000 at DraftKings Sportsbook; +700 to win quarter)

For a big-priced alternative, take a look at former US Open juniors finalist Paul. He resides in the weak-looking third quarter, one led by the recently injured Holger Rune and out-of-form Casper Ruud. Paul beat Alcaraz in Toronto earlier this month and also did so last season during which Zverev and Rafa Nadal were other Paul victims. Outright odds of +13000 look very big but, with Djokovic looming at the semi-final stage, a bet in the quarter market at +700 is probably the better option.

Potential R1 upset – Milos Raonic to beat Stefanos Tsitsipas (+280 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

Tsitsipas did win against a weak field in Los Cabos during the current North American hardcourt swing but he struggled again in both Toronto and Cincinnati. And he wouldn’t have been pleased to see big-serving Raonic drawn against his name in round one. The Canadian is on his way back from injury but has shown some positive signs and this could be awkward for the seeded player. Raonic has won both previous meetings with Tsitsipas forcing just one break point (which was saved) in their five sets. The Greek is one of the weakest returners in the top 10 – he’s down at 25th for service games won on the ATP Tour this season – so the potential for problems is clear.

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US Open Ladies’ Singles Picks

Most likely winner – Coco Gauff (+900 at PointsBet)

The biggest eyecatcher of the warm-up events, winning in both Washington and Cincinnati. Beat world number one Iga Swiatek at the latter to really lay down a marker for the US Open. The appointment of renowned coach Brad Gilbert to her team appears to have paid immediate dividends and he’s coached Andre Agassi and Andy Roddick to Grand Slam titles in the past. With confidence high, Gauff can claim her maiden major.

Contender – Karolina Muchova (+2200 at PointsBet)

If Gauff doesn’t come through the top half of the draw, perhaps Muchova can. She made the final in Cincinnati where she knocked out Aryna Sabalenka and has landed in the second quarter of the draw, alongside Elena Rybakina, who has had shoulder trouble of late. Opponents often struggle to deal with Muchova’s mix-it-up game style and having made the final of this year’s French Open, she’ll be confident of repeating the trick in New York.

Outsider – Liudmila Samsonova (+5500 at FanDuel)

Only three players have served more aces on the WTA Tour this season than Samonsova and the speedy court conditions here should suit. Form is good with a semi-final appearance in Washington followed by a final run in Montreal where she was hit hard by the rain-enforced scheduling and was exhausted by the time of her defeat to Jessica Pegula. The pair could meet again in New York (in the last 16) and while Pegula would start a worthy favorite, Samsonova would surely put up a better showing and so she’s a tempting price.

Potential R1 upset – Venus Williams to beat Paula Badosa (+375 at FanDuel)

Both of these players have struggled with injury this season but Badosa looks very short given she’s not played a match since Wimbledon. While wins have been thin on the ground since Williams’ comeback from injury, she did defeat top-20 star Veronika Kudermetova in Cincinnati to show what she is still capable of at the age of 43. This will be Tuesday night’s showpiece on Arthur Ashe Stadium where the fans will be right behind Williams, knowing it could be her last-ever match at the Open. This one looks worth rolling the dice on.

How to Watch the US Open

  • What: US Open
  • Location: Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, New York, USA
  • Time: Monday, August 28 to Sunday, September 10
  • How to Watch: ESPN
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Andy Schooler

70 Articles

Andy is a sports journalist of more than 20 years’ experience and is a former betting editor of the UK-based website, Sporting Life. He has specialized in tennis for many years, previewing hundreds of ATP Tour events and reporting from tournaments such as the ATP Finals and Davis Cup final. Andy has also covered numerous other sports, with a particular interest in soccer and cricket.

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