US Open 2025 Predictions and Best Bets: Final Grand Slam Tournament of the Season

• Sinner the one to beat despite illness

• In-form Swiatek can reclaim title

• Shelton has chance on home soil

The final Grand Slam tournament of the season takes place in New York, offering players a final shot at major glory in 2025.

With the tennis season notoriously long and testing for the players, fatigue could well play a part in what are usually hot and humid conditions.

The men’s campaign has been dominated by two players, Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz, and it’s no surprise to see the pair at the head of the market. Indeed, you have to go back a full two years now to find another player who has won at this level.

Things look more open on the women’s side, although again the world’s top two have something of a grip on the market with Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek battling for favoritism.

US Open Men’s Singles Picks

Most Likely Winner – Jannik Sinner (+114 with BetRivers)

The rankings show Sinner as the world’s best player and it’s very hard to disagree. His level of consistency has been outstanding in the past couple of years and since leaving this tournament in 2023, he’s racked up an excellent 124-12 win-loss record. During that period, Sinner has won all three hardcourt Grand Slams. The one player who has been able to trouble him on anything like a regular basis is Carlos Alcaraz, the Spaniard being responsible for six of those 12 defeats.

However, Sinner did beat him in last month’s Wimbledon final. What happened in their most recent match - the Cincinnati Open final - will be of most concern to potential backers, however. It lasted only 23 minutes before an ill Sinner was unable to continue. That contest came just a week before the first ball in New York so there will be worries about whether the virus is out of Sinner’s system in time. A week is a decent period of time for recovery, however, and if he’s fully fit, then Sinner will take all the beating.

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Contender – Ben Shelton (+2200 with FanDuel)

The American hope is one of the form players coming into the US Open. He’s gone 12-2 through the North American hardcourt swing so far, claiming the biggest title of his career at the Canadian Masters in Toronto. Also made the last eight in Cincinnati before running out of gas. Boasting a big serve and heavy groundstrokes, Shelton has the game to do some damage on the fairly quick Laykold hardcourts of Flushing Meadows.

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Outsider – Alexander Bublik (+15000 with bet365)

If you are looking to back someone at a massive price, Bublik is worth more than a glance. Admittedly, you never really know what you’re going to get with the Kazakh - he’s capable of beating all-comers, as he showed when defeating Jannik Sinner in Halle, but can also lose to anyone. However, he’s been in one of the most consistent periods of his career of late, winning 22 of his last 25 matches.

To add to the intrigue, having captured two claycourt titles post-Wimbledon, Bublik didn’t play either of the recent hardcourt Masters events. That was probably a fatigue issue after all those wins and recharging the batteries away from tennis certainly worked earlier in the season when a break in Las Vegas proved the catalyst for his winning run. Bublik probably isn’t going to emerge as champion but his odds aren’t giving him the respect his form deserves.

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Potential R1 upset – Adam Walton to Beat Ugo Humbert (+245 with FanDuel)

Seed Humbert’s confidence won’t be high at the moment - he’s gone just 9-13 since winning the ATP title in Marseille in February. He’ll also be very aware of his poor record at the US Open - 3-7 is miserable for a player of his quality. In contrast, Walton should be buzzing, at least relatively. He made the semi-finals in Los Cabos at the start of the current hardcourt swing and then beat Daniil Medvedev in Cincinnati.

The Australian has also been competitive in defeats to Alex Zverev and Jiri Lehecka on the hard surface in recent weeks. I just feel Walton is overpriced to land an upset here in what will be the duo’s first meeting.

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US Open Women’s Singles Picks

Most Likely Winner – Iga Swiatek (+260 with BetMGM)

After going more than a year without a title of any sort, Swiatek has now won two of her last three tournaments and arrives in New York contesting favoritism with defending champion Aryna Sabalenka. Confidence has soared thanks to the Pole’s surprise Wimbledon title and she didn’t lose a set when emerging triumphant on the hardcourts of Cincinnati. Has clearly shown she can win on the surfaces faster than her beloved clay - indeed, she’s won here in New York before, back in 2022.

With main rival Sabalenka not at her best of late, Swiatek is my most likely winner, albeit she’s far from a lock.

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Contender – Elena Rybakina (+1300 with FanDuel)

The former Wimbledon champion arrives in New York in good form. She’s notched up plenty of hardcourt wins in recent weeks, including one against world number one Aryna Sabalenka. In doing so, she’s reached the semi-finals of all three of her warm-up events and on each occasion it has taken the eventual champion to stop her.

Something of a concern is the fact she’s been coming out on the wrong side of a lot of tight scorelines - two of those three defeats have come in a final-set tie-break - but if you look positively at that you can say she’s been very close to a dream run. Boasting one of the best serves in women’s tennis, she should go well.

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Outsider – Linda Noskova (+10000 with BetMGM)

Emma Raducanu famously won here when almost completely unknown in 2021 so is it really going too far to suggest the 21st seed could claim the title four years on? Form would suggest it probably is - the Czech hasn’t delivered at the recent warm-up events. However, she did make the final of a smaller event in Prague and produced good hardcourt results during the Middle East swing earlier in the year. Look deeper at her hardcourt record and you’ll find she’s 6-3 against top-20 players over the past year.

Two of those defeats came at the hands of Iga Swiatek, the favorite here. Noskova looks well drawn in quarter three which features former champion Coco Gauff and Australian Open winner Madison Keys, neither of whom are in great form, while the former has switched coach just days before one of the biggest tournaments of the year. If anyone is to jump out of the pack, it could be Noskova.

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Potential R1 Upset – Anastasia Sevastova to Beat Ekaterina Alexandrova (+365 with FanDuel)

Respect is due to Sevastova. Last year’s comeback as a mother had barely begun when she suffered a cruciate ligament knee injury which meant another year off the tour. But in her first tournament back - Madrid in April - she beat top-20 star Jelena Ostapenko. More recently, on the hardcourts of Montreal she stunned last year’s US Open finalist Jessica Pegula and also beat another seed, Magda Linette.

Twice a semi-finalist at Flushing Meadows, the Latvian should be relishing her return to New York. Alexandrova disappointed in Montreal and Cincinnati so ended up heading to Monterrey this week where she has won matches. However, we’ve seen in the past how a dash to a new venue (in a different country) isn’t the best preparation for a major and she could well be vulnerable in this match.

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How to Watch the 2025 US Open

• What: US Open Tennis

• Location: Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, Queens, New York

• Time: Sunday, August 24 to Sunday, September 7

• How to Watch: ESPN