UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas - Odds, Predictions & Picks

Written by: Ryan Bristlon
Published March 22, 2024
6 min read
  • Former strawweight champ Rose Namajunas continues onward in the flyweight division

  • Justin Tafa returns from injury to co-main event against Karl Williams

  • Edmen Shahbazyan looks for an important win over A.J. Dobson

UFC on ESPN: Ribas vs Namajunas

The odds for this match are provided by the DraftKings Sportsbook. Click the odds in the table below to place your bets and get $150 in Bonus Bets when wagering just $5 at DraftKings.

Fighter Odds
Amanda Ribas +150
Rose Namajunas -180
Fighter Odds
Justin Tafa +180
Karl Williams -218
Fighter Odds
Edmen Shahbazyan -180
A.J. Dobson +150
Fighter Odds
Payton Talbott -148
Cameron Saaiman +124
Fighter Odds
Billy Quarantillo -162
Youssef Zalal +136
Fighter Odds
Fernando Padilla -180
Luis Pajuelo +150

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UFC Fight Night Ribas vs Namajunas Predictions

UFC on ESPN: Ribas vs Namajunas - Picks & Predictions

Amanda Ribas vs Rose Namajunas - Women’s Flyweight Division

  • Our pick: Amanda Ribas (+150) at DraftKings

Justin Tafa vs Karl Williams - Heavyweight Division

  • Our pick: Karl Williams (-218) at DraftKings

Edmen Shahbazyan vs A.J. Dobson - Middleweight Division

  • Our pick: Edmen Shahbazyan (-180) at DraftKings

Payton Talbott vs Cameron Saaiman - Bantamweight Division

  • Our pick: Cameron Saaiman (+124) at DraftKings

Billy Quarantillo vs Youssef Zalal - Featherweight Division

  • Our pick: Billy Quarantillo (-162) at DraftKings

Fernando Padilla vs Luis Pajuelo - Featherweight Division

  • Our pick: Fernando Padilla (-180) at DraftKings

Amanda Ribas vs. Rose Namajunas - Women’s Flyweight Division

Amanda Ribas TALE OF THE TAPE Rose Namajunas
30 Age 31
5 ft 4 in Height 5 ft 5 in
66 in Reach 65 in
13-4 Record 11-6

3-3 over her last six octagon appearances, the always entertaining Amanda Ribas will enter the main event this weekend having won her last bout against Luana Pinheiro via third-round TKO.

She takes on the former strawweight champion Rose Namajunas, who will be making her second flyweight appearance. She lost her flyweight debut against Manon Fiorot via decision and lost her strawweight title to Carla Esparza in her fight previous.

Namajunas, listed at -180 at DraftKings Sportsbook, will stand one inch taller but it is Amanda Ribas who will have a one-inch reach advantage over the former champion.

Both women are evenly matched and both have experience across the strawweight and flyweight divisions.

To find out how to place your bets for this women’s flyweight main event, check out our ultimate UFC betting guide to get started.

Justin Tafa vs. Karl Williams - Heavyweight Division

Justin Tafa TALE OF THE TAPE Karl Williams
30 Age 34
6 ft Height 6 ft 3 in
74 in Reach 79 in
7-3, 1 no-contest Record 9-1

With six wins in a row (two of them with the UFC), heavyweight Karl Williams is the biggest betting favorite on the main card this weekend - listed at -218 on DraftKings Sportsbook.

He takes on Justin Tafa - who, unfortunately, had to pull out of a recent UFC 298 bout against Marcos Rogerio de Lima due to injury in February.

Tafa is 3-0 with one no-contest in his last four outings. Williams is coming off of a decision win over Chase Sherman that took place last May.

Williams will be the taller fighter and will also look to utilize a five-inch reach advantage in Saturday’s co-main event.

Edmen Shahbazyan vs. A.J. Dobson - Middleweight Division

Edmen Shahbazyan TALE OF THE TAPE A.J. Dobson
26 Age 32
6 ft 2 in Height 6 ft 1 in
74 in Reach 76 in
12-4 Record 7-2

Once considered a highly touted prospect, karate black belt Edmen Shahbazyan is just 1-4 in his last five octagon appearances and is coming off of a third-round TKO loss that came at the hands of Anthony Hernandez last May.

Shahbazyan takes on A.J. Dobson - a promotional newcomer who only recently earned his first UFC win (a decision over Tafon Nchukwi last August). He had lost his first two UFC appearances via decision.

Despite standing one inch taller, Shahbazyan will be at a two-inch reach disadvantage. However, he will still enter the cage this weekend as the -180 favorite at DraftKings.

Payton Talbott vs. Cameron Saaiman - Bantamweight Division

Payton Talbott TALE OF THE TAPE Cameron Saaiman
25 Age 23
5 ft 10 in Height 5 ft 8 in
70 in Reach 67 in
7-0 Record 9-1

After a decision win on the Contender Series, Payton Talbott came out guns blazing in his UFC debut last November, choking out Nick Aguirre in the third round to remain undefeated.

Cameron Saaiman won his first three UFC appearances but recently suffered the first loss of his professional career when he dropped a unanimous decision to Christian Rodriguez last October. It should be noted that Rodriguez missed weight by four pounds.

Although slightly less experienced, Talbott will have physical advantages in both height and reach. The undefeated fighter is listed as a -148 favorite at DraftKings.

Billy Quarantillo vs. Youssef Zalal - Featherweight Division

Billy Quarantillo TALE OF THE TAPE Youssef Zalal
35 Age 27
5 ft 10 in Height 5 ft 10 in
70 in Reach 75 in
18-5 Record 13-5-1

Like Amanda Ribas in the main event, Billy Quarantillo is also just 3-3 in his last six fights but is also coming off of a win. In his case, a unanimous decision win over Damon Jackson that took place last August.

He takes on Youssef Zalal, who will be fighting in his first UFC bout since 2022. Zala went 3-3-1 in his first stint with the promotion but has since won three in a row for the Sparta Combat League. All three of those wins came in the form of first-round stoppages.

Both men stand at an equal height but Zalal will look to take advantage of his five-inch reach advantage.

However, not unsurprisingly, the returning Zala is listed as the +136 underdog with Quarantillo coming in as the -162 favorite.

Fernando Padilla vs. Luis Pajuelo - Featherweight Division

Fernando Padilla TALE OF THE TAPE Luis Pajuelo
27 Age 29
6 ft 1 in Height 5 ft 10 in
76 in Reach 69.5 in
15-5 Record 8-1

Two UFC newcomers kick off the main card. Fernando Padilla is 1-1 in the promotion, coming off a recent decision loss against Kyle Nelson last September.

Luis Pajuelo is coming off of a first-round TKO win over Robbie Ring on the Contender Series and this weekend will mark his UFC debut.

All physical advantages go to Padilla, who will stand three inches taller and have a 6.5-inch reach advantage. He is also the more experienced fighter and will start the main card off as a -180 favorite.

How to Watch UFC on ESPN: Ribas vs. Namajunas

  • Location: UFC Apex, Enterprise, Nevada

  • When: Saturday, March 23

  • Time: 10 PM EST

  • How: ESPN, ESPN+, Sportsnet+

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Ryan Bristlon

Sports Betting Analyst

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Ryan Bristlon is a Canadian writer currently residing in Hamilton, Ontario. He studied print and broadcast journalism at Humber College and has been a lifelong fan of hockey, the NHL in general, and UFC.
Nationality: Canadian
Education: Print and Broadcast Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: BetRivers Sportsbook
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