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Odds taken from BetMGM. Click on the links below to head to the sportsbook and place your bet.
|Team||Point Spread||Points Total||Money Line|
|Houston Gamblers||+4.5 (-115)||O41.5 (-115)||+160|
|New Orleans Breakers||-4.5 (-115)||U41.5 (-115)||-225|
The USFL season is still relatively young, and these offenses are just getting warmed up so don’t expect them to run up the score here.
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The final USFL Week 4 matchup features two teams coming off a disappointing Week 3 loss as the 1-2 Houston Gamblers take on the 2-1 New Orleans Breakers, the only Sunday game to be played as the league fights to attract more viewers, including in-person fans and a TV audience.
Last week, the Gamblers blew a 26-17 lead after three quarters and eventually fell to the Tampa Bay Bandits, 26-27, with Houston again showing up in the first half and then looking impotent in the second half, so much so that the team has cut two of its DBs and signed two others (below).
The Breakers faced a tough defense in Week 3 when they took on the hometown Birmingham Stallions, a low-scoring affair that New Orleans eventually lost, 13-22, their passing attack coming up short as QB Kyle Sloter only completed just over fifty percent (55.3) of his passes.
Here are our best predictions, odds, and picks for Gamblers vs Breakers – good luck, win big!
The Houston Gamblers made some big changes to their secondary this week as they cut two of their cornerbacks – Stanley Green and Ryan White – and signed two free-agent DBs to their roster – S Jeremiah Johnson and CB Brandon Williams – a midseason attempt to improve.
In 3 games, the Gambler’s defense has allowed the teams they are playing to generate almost 210 passing yards and 164.3 rushing yards each outing, a production that has resulted in teams scoring an average of 24 points a game against them, thus their 1-2 record in that stretch.
Houston head coach Kevin Sumlin and defensive coordinator Tim Lewis no doubt met with Brendan Donovan, the team’s defensive quality control coach, and decided to make these bold changes, so watch to see if this shift does make a difference against these two-win Breakers.
Despite Breakers’ QB Kyle Sloter currently leading all USFL QBs in production, his play in Week 3 looked inconsistent at best as he missed several open receivers during that loss, a game where he completed just 55.3% of his passes (26-of-47) for 240 yards, 2 TDs and an INT.
New Orleans offense puts up an average of 212.7 passing yards per game and they score just over 23 points each time (23.3), with Sloter’s season numbers keeping him first amongst his QB peers having completed 68-of-113 passes for 657 yards and 4 touchdowns with 2 INTs in 2022.
The Breakers play the Gamblers, a team who keeps their opponents to 209 passing yards per game, but Houston will be fielding two new players in their secondary (see above), so expect them to be rusty to start since those new DBs have had just a few reps to learn the game plan.
A video of the Houston Gamblers practice session went viral last week, but not for reasons they might prefer, with linebacker Reggie Northrup appearing to be smoking a cigarette while running drills, a bad look for a team that just lost two in a row and have seemed to struggle on defense.
Turns out Northrup does not even smoke, this “prop cigarette” more of a team motivator than vice, with the feisty linebacker announcing in a follow-up Tik Tok video that the cig is “an attitude. It’s the attitude I come out here onto this football field [with]. It’s time to work today.”
Northrup, a Florida State alum who has posted 25 tackles so far on the season, had one of the flashiest plays in the Gambler’s opening weekend win over the Michigan Panthers when he returned a fumble recovery 95 yards for a touchdown, smoking past opponents for the score.
Make sure to keep an eye on Breakers WR Johnnie Dixon, the 27-year-old Ohio State alum who helped his Buckeyes win the College Football National Championship in 2014 by a score of 42-20 and who has since spent time in several NFL camps (Texans, Cardinals, Cowboys).
Right now, Dixon leads all USFL receivers in production, his stat line reading like a pro with 16 catches off 25 targets for 165 receiving yards, 61 yards after the catch, and 3 touchdowns, the 5’ 11” 198-pound speedster (4.41 second 40-yard dash time) who can definitely get open.
It is important to keep in mind that these USFL players have only worked together as a team for a few months, which makes Dixon’s numbers all the more impressive, plus that makes it seem likely that the offenses will continue to develop as the players get more reps with each other.
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|Gamblers vs Breakers Information|
|What||Houston Gamblers vs New Orleans Breakers|
|Where||Protective Stadium in Birmingham, Alabama|
|When||Sunday, May 8, 2022; 3:00 PM ET|
|How to watch||NBC|
Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]More info on Mike Lukas
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