It's going to be a very busy day in the WNBA, with six games on the schedule, starting with Connecticut vs. Indiana at 7 p.m. EST and concluding with Seattle vs. Los Angeles at 10 p.m. EST. Six games, of course, means lots of great WNBA Player Props to put money on.
Since Phoenix is the only team not playing tonight, there will be a lot of star power seeing action. We will try to focus primarily on the game’s stars for today’s list of WNBA Player Props and Best Bets.
Clark is fresh off a 32-point effort against one of the better defensive teams in the league (New York), and she is averaging 21.6 ppg so far this season, although that number is slightly inflated thanks to that 32-point night and the fact that she’s only played in five games.
Expecting another 30+ point night would be unrealistic, but the Fever are playing one of the worst defenses in the WNBA at home. She’ll probably be good for around 25 points.
I was going to go with the UNDER for her point total (10.5 at -130), because she has scored less than 10.5 points in six of her last seven games. It is highly unlikely she will play any better against the Liberty, one of the most formidable defenses in the WNBA.
Then I noticed she has had UNDER 15.5 points and rebounds in six of her last seven games. Again, against New York, it is doubtful her rebound numbers improve. So, chances are good she’ll finish UNDER this combo prop as well.
Since the payout is better with the combo, if you only want to bet on one, the choice is easy.
Citron has not gone OVER 13.5 points in her last six games, which makes it seem like the UNDER would be the right play. But she’ll be facing one of the worst defenses in the WNBA. Chicago is allowing 87 ppg this season, but they actually play a little worse at home (90 ppg all allowed).
She has scored at least ten points in every game this season and is averaging 13.4 points per game. So, she needs just a couple more baskets against the worst home defense in the WNBA to go OVER her total. Citron will be good for 15+ in this game.
Dallas is actually a team that plays worse at home on the offensive end of the court (76.4 ppg; 85.4 ppg on the road). To be fair, the Wings have only played two home games this season (their first two).
But Dallas will face a Golden State team on a three-game win streak, and giving up just 73 ppg during the streak. The Valkyries have also been stingy with the rebounds and assists. Golden State will keep Bueckers somewhat contained and UNDER the total.
With A’ja Wilson out again, you would think this would be a good game for Young to go OVER her total. She’s averaging 19 ppg and without Wilson on the court, surely she’ll get the additional shots she needs to go OVER 21.5 points, right?
Not necessarily. Against a lesser team, the answer would be yes, but against a tough Minnesota defense, it’s no.
The Los Angeles defense has been struggling this season, giving up 87 points per game. A player scored 20+ against them in four of their last five games. Diggins is averaging 18.1 ppg this season, a mark she has gone OVER in her last three games and eight of 11 this season.
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