2024 WNBA Championship Odds & Predictions: The End of the Line

• This season’s WNBA Finals is the first since 2019 to go the distance.

• It will be just the eighth Game 5 in WNBA history and the sixth in which Minnesota head coach Cheryl Reeve has been involved in.

• Reeve is 3-2 in Game 5 of the WNBA Finals, going 1-1 in Detroit as an assistant (2006 and 2007) and 2-1 as head coach of the Lynx (2015-17).

Minnesota has proven yet again that you just can’t keep a good team down. Many were ready to crown the Liberty as champions of the 2024 WNBA season after Sabrina Ionescu hit that incredible three-pointer to win Game 3. But the people willing to do just that were not taking one very important detail.

All three games had been really, really, really close.

The series will now move back to New York for a decisive Game 5, winner-take-all. New York was a 3.5-point favorite when the line opened. But the spread shifted to -5.5 for the Liberty in the hours after Game 4.

2024 WNBA Championship Odds

Here are the odds for the 2024 WNBA Finals Game 5 at BetMGM Sportsbook. Head over to BetMGM to place your bets: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*

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WNBA Championship Predictions and Favorites to Win

If the Finals were going to end Friday night, the Liberty and Lynx turned in a game worthy of deciding who would become WNBA champions. No one ever got out to more than a six-point lead, there were 14 lead changes, and the score was tied on 13 occasions (tied for fourth most lead changes/ties in league history).

Game 5 will have to be an instant classic if its going to surpass the intensity of Game 4. Let’s take a closer look at both teams.

New York Liberty (-250) at BetMGM

• 2024 Record: 32-8 SU, 19-21 ATS

• Averaging 85.6 ppg; Allowing 76.5 ppg

New York has had some solid performances from the supporting cast in this series. Jonquel Jones could be named MVP if she leads the team in scoring in a Game 5 win on Sunday. But when push comes to shove and its time to lock up a championship, your superstars have to get the job done.

That didn’t happen in Game 4. Breanna Stewart went 5-21 from the floor and Sabrina Ionescu 5-15, including 0-5 from the three-point line. It was the only game this season, regular and playoffs, where she did not hit at least one three-pointer.

The Minnesota defense deserves a lot of credit for doing a great job defending both players. But in a clutch game with high stakes, your superstars need to come through no matter how well the other team plays.

Stewart and Ionescu did not.

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Minnesota Lynx (+650) at BetMGM

• 2024 Regular Season Record: 30-10

• Averaging 82 ppg; Allowing 75.6 ppg

The odds give New York a 71.43% chance of winning Game 5 and Minnesota just a 33.33% chance of winning, but the Lynx might have an edge in this game even though they are the road team. How is that possible?

It’s the whole "been there, done that" thing.

This is the sixth time Minnesota head coach Cheryl Reeve has had a team playing in Game 5 of the WNBA Finals and the fourth as head coach of the Lynx. That experience could be crucial to getting the team prepared for arguably the biggest game of their lives. 

Reeve had this to say after Game 4: "I do feel very blessed in my career to have a chance to have been a part of so many. Haven't won them all. I think what I'm just thrilled about is that this group gets to experience a Game 5."

If Minnesota can pull off another upset on Friday to win the series, they’ll have won a WNBA-record fifth championship.

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WNBA Championship Winner - My Pick

Favorite - Minnesota Lynx (+200) at BetMGM

I’ve been riding with the Liberty throughout the series, but I feel as if Minnesota has been the better team in this series and may deserve it more. The Lynx were not expected to even sniff the playoffs this season, and here they are playing in Game 5 of the WNBA Finals, in which they were not expected to have a chance.

But they’ve played good, hard, team basketball throughout the series and have seen several players step up and make plays in the clutch. At this point, there is zero value in New York’s odds, and while it would have been better to bet on Minnesota before Game 4 (when the odds of winning the WNBA Finals were +1000).

But the payout from a +200 bet is nothing to sneeze at.

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WNBA Championship History 

There have been a few periods of dominance by one team in the 27-year history of the WNBA. It all got started in Houston where the Comets won the title in the league’s first four seasons. The Minnesota Lynx and Seattle Storm are the only other teams to win four titles (not consecutively).

Three teams have won three titles (Detroit, Los Angeles, and Phoenix). The Los Angeles Sparks and Las Vegas Aces are the only teams other than Houston to win back-to-back titles, while four teams have yet to win, the Connecticut Sun, Dallas Wings, Atlanta Dream, and New York Liberty.

Here is a list of WNBA Championship winners:

How to Read WNBA Championship Odds 

Odds for the WNBA Championship are listed with three numbers with either a plus or a minus. Teams with minus odds have a better than 50% chance of winning, but you’ll have to risk more to win less. The odds are what you’ll have to bet in order to win $100.

If a team has -400 odds to win, bettors will need to risk $400 to win $100.

Teams with plus money odds have less than a 50% chance to win, but bettors can win more. When a team has plus money odds, the number is what bettors will win if they bet $100. So, if someone were to bet $100 on the Fever at +2500, they’d win $2600 (their stake plus $2500 in winnings).

You do not have to bet $100 if you do not want to. If you want to see what you can win with the stake you are willing to bet, check out our odds calculator.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the WNBA Championship

Next to choosing a team to bet on, the hardest decision bettors often face is which sportsbook to bet with—and there can be more to the decision than whoever has the best odds. For more on specific sportsbooks, bettors can check out our full sportsbook reviews on our sportsbooks page.

To help you decide, here is a quick side-by-side look at three of the top sportsbooks, according to our reviews: