The first official weekend of summer will get underway with a three-game WNBA slate for tonight, June 20. With the matchups on deck, it looks like a pretty good slate for those who enjoy betting on WNBA Player Props.
Will Paige Bueckers have a big game against the Connecticut Sun? If A’ja Wilson returns, how much of an impact will she have against the Seattle Storm? We’ll go over relevant props for both and more on today’s WNBA Player Props and Best Bets list.
A couple of weeks ago, I would have probably said take the OVER on this prop. That’s because she consistently scored 10-20 points a game and pulled down 7-14 rebounds a game. Between the two, she was good for the OVER on this prop more often than not.
But in her last three games, she has scored 12, six, and eight points while pulling down five, eight, and six rebounds. In two games vs. Atlanta, she has gone 14/4 and 6/8. I don’t see her bouncing back against a solid Atlanta defense that kept her contained last Sunday.
In three of her first four games this season, Griner scored 15+ points and pulled down eight rebounds per game. Since then, she has scored less than ten points in five of her six games and is averaging just over four rebounds per game.
Griner finished UNDER this total in three of the four home games she has played in; the one outlier was vs. one of the worst defenses in the WNBA. She has also been playing fewer minutes in recent games (just over 20 mpg this month compared to almost 30 mpg last month).
A few things are working in Bueckers' favor in this game. For one, the Connecticut defense is the worst in the WNBA, and playing at home doesn’t really make a difference. Also, before missing time due to an injury, she averaged around 12 shot attempts per game.
Since coming back, she has taken 19, 19, and 18 shots and scored 35, 16, and 20 points. She may still have an off night and finish UNDER 17.5 points, but against a weak Connecticut defense…
Wilson is expected to return from the injury list (concussion) tonight. Such a scenario screams for a big night, which we know she is capable of. But the Aces have not been the same dominant team that fans have enjoyed watching the last few years.
Wilson has only had two nights where she would have gone OVER this total (May 17 vs. New York and May 30 vs. LA). The team just isn’t clicking this season, and it may be hard to get on track against a solid Seattle team. Don’t count on it.
In the first eight games of the season, Diggins had 2+ made threes in two games, but she has gone OVER this total in each of the last four. Teams are shooting better from three-point range vs. the Aces in Las Vegas (37.1%) than when the Aces are on the road (33.3%).
Diggins has shot 50% of her threes over the last four games. As long as she takes 4+ shots, she has a great chance of going OVER 1.5.
A couple of 10+ point games have helped drive her total back up to 9.5 points, but don’t bank on her going OVER that number. It is more likely that those two games were an anomaly rather than the new norm. In 12 games, she has scored 10+ points just three times.
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