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The Blast Premier World Final is the concluding tournament of the Blast series for the year, with eight of the best teams in the CS:GO world participating, including the No. 1 team Natus Vincere, led by S1mple.
Na Vi will face former world No. 1 Liquid in the opening fixture of the tournament, while Gambit and Heroic, currently world No. 4 and 5 respectively, will face off in the next match of the opening day.
Na Vi will head into this tournament as the odds-on favorite for the title. One of the undeniable reasons for that is S1mple and his long-range proficiency.
He has racked up 843 kills with just 562 deaths at a sensational K/D ratio of 1.50 in the last three months of competitive CS:GO, with an average damage per round of 86.8 and a headshot rate of 40 percent.
Apart from that, Natus Vincere are presently on a 10-match winning streak. Six of their last eight wins have been without dropping a map. That has been their dominance in the last few months.
In fact, Natus Vincere’s lowest win percentage in each map is 75 percent (in Dust2, Mirage and Ancient). They have been simply prolific in Nuke, Inferno and Overpass. As a result, you would expect Na Vi to be too strong for Liquid in this matchup.
Liquid are not a bad team, not by any means. However, they might find the powerful Natus Vincere too strong for their current level of form. Liquid have now slipped to No. 12 in the world, without the same confidence, momentum and personnel that once carried them to the top of the CS:GO rankings.
In Na Vi’s recent prolific run, they have beaten Vitality twice, BIG, G2, NiP and Gambit in straight maps. That is incredulous form, which should continue in one of the premier CS:GO events in the world, especially in the last month of the year.
Liquid have also lost six of their last nine matches across competitions, which leaves them woefully short of confidence in a tournament that can often be cruel. A good bet would be to back Natus Vincere to win in straight maps.
Pick Gambit to Win
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These are two teams with an average age significantly lower than others in this tournament. That is particularly important in a sport like CS:GO because of the experience a team might need in a high-profile event like this one.
Gambit have now risen up to No. 4 in the world after a stellar year in the professional circuit. Their recent form includes seven wins in their last nine matches across competitions and across map lengths.
This proficiency has been led by Sh1ro, who has managed 0.82 kills and 0.53 deaths per round in the last three months of CS:GO action. These are spectacular numbers by any measure.
Sjuush has been in steady form in the last few months but there are some deeper-rooted problems within Heroic, which might not work well for them. Sjuush has managed to stay in consistent offensive rhythm, with 0.65 kills and 0.64 deaths per round along with an average damage per round of 71.5.
However, none of the other players have found much offensive momentum. That will be a fairly important differentiating factor between these two teams down the stretch.
In terms of form, Heroic have lost four of their last five matches across tournaments on the pro circuit. These are crucial factors because a lack of confidence could result in players not meeting their own aggressive templates even in their preferred maps.
Teams | Natus Vincere vs Liquid, Gambit vs Heroic |
Location | Copenhagen, LAN event |
Time | Tuesday, December 14 at 11.00 AM EST onwards |
How to watch | Blast’s Twitch and YouTube channels |
AUTHOR
Nikhil Kalro
574 Articles
With an interest in strategy and mathematics, applying that to sports writing was the natural progression. A writer at night and the founder of a gaming company, Nikhil’s previous experience includes working with ESPN for five years. His specialization includes soccer, basketball, tennis, and esports betting. Email: [email protected]
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