Image for Matt Cooper Matt Cooper - October 14, 2022

Arnold Palmer Invitational Predictions, Betting Odds, Top Picks

  • The PGA Tour’s annual celebration of the life of the great Arnold Palmer
  • The injured Bryson DeChambeau does not defend his title
  • World No. 1 Jon Rahm makes his tournament debut and heads the betting

The Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds

Odds from BetMGM. Get a $1,000 welcome bonus at BetMGM. Click on the links in the table below to head to the sportsbook and place your bet.

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Player Odds
Jon Rahm +800
Rory McIlroy +1100
Scottie Scheffler +1600
Viktor Hovland +1600
Hideki Matsuyama +2500
Matt Fitzpatrick +2500
Sungjae Im +2500
Will Zalatoris +2500
Adam Scott +2800
Tyrrell Hatton +3000

The Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks

Marc Leishman is the outright pick at +3000 with Caesars Sportsbook

Jason Kokrak can grab a top 10 at +500 with Unibet

Back Scottie Scheffler in a matchbet against Viktor Hovland at -118 with BetMGM

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Jon Rahm Arnold Palmer Invitational

The Arnold Palmer Invitational Predictions

It’s hard to do justice to the extent to which Arnold Palmer transformed the lives and careers of professional golfers.

When the great man joined the PGA Tour in the mid-1950s the sport was not the behemoth it is today and it was granted a huge opportunity with the arrival of color television in the early 1960s.

Together with his agent Mark McCormack, Palmer recognized this truth and he had all the firepower to take advantage: he was not only a thrilling golfer who attacked the course at every opportunity, but he also possessed a natural charm and a smile that lit up TV screens across America.

Suddenly money poured into the game making the most successful golfers incredibly wealthy.

Those golfers have always appreciated Palmer’s influence and the Arnold Palmer Invitational at his own Bay Hill Club & Lodge was always a golden opportunity to thank him.

Since his passing in 2016, it has instead become a chance to celebrate his memory.

The course was always set up in a way he preferred: demanding aggressive options from the tee, with rough that is difficult to play from, and greens that are hard and fast.

It is a mental challenge as much as a physical one, often described as “major-like”.

Aussie, Aussie, Aussie

There have been three Australian winners of this title in the 21st century and one of those winners, Marc Leishman, looks in the ideal form to make it four.

Since he missed the cut at last summer’s British Open, Leishman has never failed to play four rounds of golf and in the 2021/22 season alone he has six top 20s from nine starts.

It’s also worth bearing in mind that he is playing the par-3s exceptionally well this campaign because those holes are among the toughest at Bay Hill.

We also know that his excellent course form extends beyond the win: he has also finished second, third, and seventh.

“It’s a course I love,” he said after the win five years ago.

You need to have your game in a good spot, you’ve got to be mentally strong and then you need a couple of things to go right. It’s hard to win, but it’s doable.

“It’s such a good golf course. It tests every part of your game. You have to hit your irons in the right spot, particularly with how firm and fast the greens get on the weekend.”

“It’s as good a test as you’ll get.”

Rory McIlroy has to be respected this week – he has a win and another four top 10s in his last five starts at the course – but he keeps struggling to win. Jon Rahm is a debutant and Viktor Hovland has a best of T40th from three visits.

That’s a weakness in the case of each of the top three in the betting and Leishman can pounce.

Take him each way in the outright at +3000 with Caesars Sportsbook which pays out an industry best eight places.

Kokrak is well-suited for the test

Jason Kokrak has won three times in his last 33 starts and yet he’s one of those golfers whose price almost always remains tempting.

This week there is more than just a tasty quote; he also has a fine track record and has backed it up with a cogent argument to explain why he thrives on the test.

Since he missed the cut on debut, he has made the cut in seven of eight visits, landing six top 20s, four of them were top 10s.

“You don’t have to hit a lot of drivers here,” he explained. “You can if you would like to, but I hit a lot of long irons off the tees. Some of the other guys are hitting maybe a hybrid or a 5-wood off the tee where I’m hitting maybe a 4-iron so I think that makes the fairways a little bit bigger for me, easier to hit.

I’m also a high-ball hitter and I think being able to hit it higher into the greens means I can stop it in some spots that some other guys can’t.

At first glance, his form is a concern, but he’s made the cut in his last three starts, carding a round of 66 or lower in each of those weeks.

Back him to land a fifth tournament top 10 with Unibet offering top price +500.

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Scheffler Can Maintain His Run

BetMGM has paired young guns Scottie Scheffler and Viktor Hovland this week and it looks like a good opportunity to favor the American.

Throughout their careers, Scheffler leads the head-to-head count 22-18, but when you take the conditions into account the advantage rises.

On grainy putting surfaces, for example? Scheffler leads 16-5.

And what about at the course?

Well, they’ve only played it together on the one occasion, in 2020, when Scheffler earned the win.

But Hovland has played the course three times and never finished better than T40th. Scheffler finished T15th in that only previous start.

Favor Scheffler to trump Hovland again at -118 with BetMGM.

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How to Watch The Arnold Palmer Invitational

Event Information
Tournament The Arnold Palmer Invitational
Location The Bay Hill Club, Orlando, Florida
Time Thursday March 3 – Sunday March 6
How to watch Thursday 2pm & 7pm ET (Golf Channel), Friday 2pm & 9pm ET (Golf Channel), Saturday & Sunday 12.30pm & 8pm ET (Golf Channel). And all four days on Sky Sports.
Image for Matt Cooper


Matt Cooper

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Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics. Email: [email protected]

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